La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Legia Warszawa v Widzew Łódź
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Legia Warszawa (Casa)
Previsione 47.67%2.10quota equa
EV -2.27%
Vantaggio -1.11%
Kelly -2.17%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.05
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
45.79%47.74%47.43%49.37%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.781.941.952.0556.18%51.52%51.28%48.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Widzew Łódź (Trasferta)
Previsione 22.88%4.37quota equa
EV +2.97%
Vantaggio +0.661%
Kelly +0.850%
Crescita +0.025%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.50
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.85%22.83%22.98%25.86%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.403.903.904.5029.41%25.65%25.64%22.22%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 29.45%3.40quota equa
EV -2.83%
Vantaggio -0.857%
Kelly -1.23%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.30
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.17%29.43%29.59%31.16%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.133.153.3034.72%31.92%31.75%30.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (53 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.53%EV -5.61%E -2.83%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.35%EV +2.97%E +0.661%K +0.850%G +0.025% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.12%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-01 18:15 |
| BetUS | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.24%EV -8.95%E -4.68%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV +2.97%E +0.661%K +0.850%G +0.025% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.86%EV -7.25%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-01 18:24 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.37%EV -9.42%E -4.96%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV +2.97%E +0.661%K +0.850%G +0.025% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -7.25%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-01 18:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.37%EV -9.42%E -4.96%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV +2.97%E +0.661%K +0.850%G +0.025% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -7.25%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-01 18:24 |
| FanDuel | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.26%EV -7.04%E -3.61%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV +0.685%E +0.156%K +0.202%G +0.001% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.36%EV -8.72%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-01 17:40 |
| DraftKings | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.48%EV -7.04%E -3.61%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.98%EV -1.60%E -0.373%K -0.486%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.54%EV -5.77%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-01 18:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.07%EV -10.86%E -5.80%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -1.60%E -0.373%K -0.486%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.72%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-01 17:29 |
| 1xBet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.01%EV -5.61%E -2.83%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%EV -2.75%E -0.646%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.62%EV -5.48%E -1.71%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-01 18:15 |
| Bovada | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.54%EV -9.42%E -4.96%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -2.75%E -0.646%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.72%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-01 18:23 |
| Coolbet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.28%EV -5.61%E -2.83%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76%EV -3.89%E -0.927%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.97%EV -2.83%E -0.857%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| BetMGM | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.29%EV -8.95%E -4.68%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -3.89%E -0.927%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.72%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-01 17:54 |
| SportsBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.95%EV -9.42%E -4.96%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.69%EV -3.89%E -0.927%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.37%EV -11.66%E -3.89%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-01 17:40 |
| Paddy Power | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.32%EV -8.95%E -4.68%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -3.89%E -0.927%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -14.61%E -5.04%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-01 17:39 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.25%EV -6.56%E -3.35%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.87%EV -7.32%E -1.81%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -8.72%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-01 18:25 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.31%EV -5.61%E -2.83%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -5.77%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-01 17:38 |
| Betway | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.82%EV -10.38%E -5.52%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -4.30%E -1.32%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-01 18:25 |
| Fanatics | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -7.04%E -3.61%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -11.66%E -3.89%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| PlayUp | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.04%EV -7.99%E -4.14%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.66%E -3.89%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-01 18:25 |
| Sky Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.81%EV -8.95%E -4.68%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -14.61%E -5.04%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-01 17:40 |
| Betsson | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.33%EV -7.04%E -3.61%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.37%EV -9.61%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -7.25%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-01 17:39 |
| NordicBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.33%EV -7.04%E -3.61%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.37%EV -9.61%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -7.25%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-01 17:45 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -7.04%E -3.61%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -10.76%E -2.76%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -8.72%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-01 17:45 |
| Bet Victor | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.06%EV -9.42%E -4.96%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.41%EV -10.76%E -2.76%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -5.77%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-01 18:14 |
| 888sport | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.51%EV -7.04%E -3.61%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -10.76%E -2.76%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -11.66%E -3.89%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.51%EV -7.04%E -3.61%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -10.76%E -2.76%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -11.66%E -3.89%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.51%EV -7.04%E -3.61%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -10.76%E -2.76%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -11.66%E -3.89%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.03%EV -8.95%E -4.68%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -10.76%E -2.76%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.94%EV -11.66%E -3.89%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-01 17:55 |
| Coral | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.03%EV -8.95%E -4.68%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -10.76%E -2.76%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.94%EV -11.66%E -3.89%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-01 17:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.50%EV -8.47%E -4.41%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -13.04%E -3.43%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -5.77%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-01 17:39 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.55%EV -9.42%E -4.96%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.77%EV -13.04%E -3.43%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -7.25%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-01 17:45 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.50%EV -10.86%E -5.80%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.38%EV -13.04%E -3.43%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.12%EV -10.19%E -3.34%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| BoyleSports | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.27%EV -10.86%E -5.80%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -13.04%E -3.43%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.47%EV -11.66%E -3.89%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-01 17:24 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 48.12%EV -15.15%E -8.51%K -19.42%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.54%EV -13.04%E -3.43%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 29.34%EV -14.02%E -4.80%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-05-01 18:25 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.35%EV -10.86%E -5.80%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 23.43%EV -13.50%E -3.57%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 29.22%EV -10.78%E -3.56%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-01 18:00 |
| betfred_uk | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -7.04%E -3.61%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -14.19%E -3.78%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -5.77%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| Bet Right | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.03%EV -9.42%E -4.96%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -15.33%E -4.14%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.82%EV -8.72%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| Unibet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -2.27%E -1.11%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -16.48%E -4.51%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -2.83%E -0.857%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-01 17:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -2.27%E -1.11%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -16.48%E -4.51%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -2.83%E -0.857%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-01 17:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -2.27%E -1.11%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -16.48%E -4.51%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -2.83%E -0.857%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-01 17:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -2.27%E -1.11%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -16.48%E -4.51%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -2.83%E -0.857%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-01 17:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 47.18%EV -11.33%E -6.09%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.04%EV -16.48%E -4.51%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.77%EV -10.19%E -3.34%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-01 17:39 |
| BetRivers | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.01%EV -3.70%E -1.83%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -17.62%E -4.89%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -2.83%E -0.857%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-01 17:44 |
| Grosvenor | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.01%EV -3.70%E -1.83%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -17.62%E -4.89%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -2.83%E -0.857%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-01 17:45 |
| Casumo | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.01%EV -3.70%E -1.83%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -17.62%E -4.89%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -2.83%E -0.857%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-01 17:44 |
| betPARX | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.01%EV -3.70%E -1.83%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -17.62%E -4.89%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -2.83%E -0.857%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-01 17:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.01%EV -3.70%E -1.83%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -17.62%E -4.89%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -2.83%E -0.857%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-01 17:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.65%EV -12.76%E -6.97%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.71%EV -17.62%E -4.89%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.64%EV -15.20%E -5.28%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-05-01 17:24 |
| TABtouch | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -4.66%E -2.33%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -18.77%E -5.29%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -4.30%E -1.32%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-01 17:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.95%EV -5.61%E -2.83%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -18.77%E -5.29%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -5.77%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-01 17:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.07%EV -6.09%E -3.09%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -18.77%E -5.29%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -5.77%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-01 17:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.82%EV -6.56%E -3.35%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -19.91%E -5.69%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.51%EV -7.25%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-01 17:45 |
| LeoVegas | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.04%EV -7.99%E -4.14%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.75%EV -21.05%E -6.10%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.21%EV -7.25%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-01 17:45 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.79%EV -8.47%E -4.41%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.86%EV -22.20%E -6.53%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -8.72%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-01 17:45 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.02% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.44% | 2.0% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.53% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.31% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.16% | 2.0% | 2026-05-01 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.53% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.31% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.16% | 2.0% | 2026-05-01 18:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.53% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.31% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.16% | 2.0% | 2026-05-01 18:25 |
| Matchbook | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.53% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.31% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.16% | 2.0% | 2026-05-01 18:25 |
| Smarkets | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.78% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.21% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.02% | 2.5% | 2026-05-01 18:25 |