La escuela de los momiosLegia Warszawa v Widzew Łódź
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Legia Warszawa (Local)
Predicción 47.67%2.10momio equitativo
EV -2.27%
Ventaja -1.11%
Kelly -2.17%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.05
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.79%47.74%47.43%49.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.781.941.952.0556.18%51.52%51.28%48.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Widzew Łódź (Visitante)
Predicción 22.88%4.37momio equitativo
EV +2.97%
Ventaja +0.661%
Kelly +0.850%
Crecimiento +0.025%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.85%22.83%22.98%25.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.903.904.5029.41%25.65%25.64%22.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 29.45%3.40momio equitativo
EV -2.83%
Ventaja -0.857%
Kelly -1.23%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.17%29.43%29.59%31.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.133.153.3034.72%31.92%31.75%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.53%EV -5.61%E -2.83%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.35%EV +2.97%E +0.661%K +0.850%G +0.025% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.12%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-01 18:15 |
| BetUS | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.24%EV -8.95%E -4.68%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV +2.97%E +0.661%K +0.850%G +0.025% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.86%EV -7.25%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-01 18:24 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.37%EV -9.42%E -4.96%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV +2.97%E +0.661%K +0.850%G +0.025% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -7.25%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-01 18:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.37%EV -9.42%E -4.96%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV +2.97%E +0.661%K +0.850%G +0.025% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -7.25%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-01 18:24 |
| FanDuel | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.26%EV -7.04%E -3.61%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV +0.685%E +0.156%K +0.202%G +0.001% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.36%EV -8.72%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-01 17:40 |
| DraftKings | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.48%EV -7.04%E -3.61%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.98%EV -1.60%E -0.373%K -0.486%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.54%EV -5.77%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-01 18:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.07%EV -10.86%E -5.80%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -1.60%E -0.373%K -0.486%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.72%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-01 17:29 |
| 1xBet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.01%EV -5.61%E -2.83%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%EV -2.75%E -0.646%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.62%EV -5.48%E -1.71%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-01 18:15 |
| Bovada | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.54%EV -9.42%E -4.96%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -2.75%E -0.646%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.72%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-01 18:23 |
| Coolbet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.28%EV -5.61%E -2.83%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76%EV -3.89%E -0.927%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.97%EV -2.83%E -0.857%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| BetMGM | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.29%EV -8.95%E -4.68%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -3.89%E -0.927%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.72%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-01 17:54 |
| SportsBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.95%EV -9.42%E -4.96%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.69%EV -3.89%E -0.927%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.37%EV -11.66%E -3.89%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-01 17:40 |
| Paddy Power | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.32%EV -8.95%E -4.68%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -3.89%E -0.927%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -14.61%E -5.04%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-01 17:39 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.25%EV -6.56%E -3.35%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.87%EV -7.32%E -1.81%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -8.72%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-01 18:25 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.31%EV -5.61%E -2.83%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -5.77%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-01 17:38 |
| Betway | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.82%EV -10.38%E -5.52%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -4.30%E -1.32%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-01 18:25 |
| Fanatics | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -7.04%E -3.61%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -11.66%E -3.89%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| PlayUp | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.04%EV -7.99%E -4.14%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.66%E -3.89%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-01 18:25 |
| Sky Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.81%EV -8.95%E -4.68%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -14.61%E -5.04%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-01 17:40 |
| Betsson | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.33%EV -7.04%E -3.61%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.37%EV -9.61%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -7.25%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-01 17:39 |
| NordicBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.33%EV -7.04%E -3.61%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.37%EV -9.61%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -7.25%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-01 17:45 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -7.04%E -3.61%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -10.76%E -2.76%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -8.72%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-01 17:45 |
| Bet Victor | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.06%EV -9.42%E -4.96%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.41%EV -10.76%E -2.76%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -5.77%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-01 18:14 |
| 888sport | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.51%EV -7.04%E -3.61%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -10.76%E -2.76%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -11.66%E -3.89%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.51%EV -7.04%E -3.61%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -10.76%E -2.76%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -11.66%E -3.89%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.51%EV -7.04%E -3.61%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -10.76%E -2.76%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -11.66%E -3.89%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.03%EV -8.95%E -4.68%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -10.76%E -2.76%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.94%EV -11.66%E -3.89%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-01 17:55 |
| Coral | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.03%EV -8.95%E -4.68%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -10.76%E -2.76%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.94%EV -11.66%E -3.89%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-01 17:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.50%EV -8.47%E -4.41%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -13.04%E -3.43%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -5.77%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-01 17:39 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.55%EV -9.42%E -4.96%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.77%EV -13.04%E -3.43%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -7.25%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-01 17:45 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.50%EV -10.86%E -5.80%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.38%EV -13.04%E -3.43%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.12%EV -10.19%E -3.34%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| BoyleSports | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.27%EV -10.86%E -5.80%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -13.04%E -3.43%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.47%EV -11.66%E -3.89%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-01 17:24 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 48.12%EV -15.15%E -8.51%K -19.42%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.54%EV -13.04%E -3.43%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 29.34%EV -14.02%E -4.80%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-05-01 18:25 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.35%EV -10.86%E -5.80%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 23.43%EV -13.50%E -3.57%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 29.22%EV -10.78%E -3.56%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-01 18:00 |
| betfred_uk | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -7.04%E -3.61%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -14.19%E -3.78%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -5.77%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| Bet Right | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.03%EV -9.42%E -4.96%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -15.33%E -4.14%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.82%EV -8.72%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| Unibet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -2.27%E -1.11%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -16.48%E -4.51%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -2.83%E -0.857%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-01 17:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -2.27%E -1.11%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -16.48%E -4.51%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -2.83%E -0.857%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-01 17:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -2.27%E -1.11%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -16.48%E -4.51%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -2.83%E -0.857%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-01 17:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -2.27%E -1.11%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -16.48%E -4.51%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -2.83%E -0.857%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-01 17:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 47.18%EV -11.33%E -6.09%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.04%EV -16.48%E -4.51%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.77%EV -10.19%E -3.34%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-01 17:39 |
| BetRivers | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.01%EV -3.70%E -1.83%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -17.62%E -4.89%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -2.83%E -0.857%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-01 17:44 |
| Grosvenor | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.01%EV -3.70%E -1.83%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -17.62%E -4.89%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -2.83%E -0.857%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-01 17:45 |
| Casumo | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.01%EV -3.70%E -1.83%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -17.62%E -4.89%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -2.83%E -0.857%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-01 17:44 |
| betPARX | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.01%EV -3.70%E -1.83%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -17.62%E -4.89%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -2.83%E -0.857%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-01 17:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.01%EV -3.70%E -1.83%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -17.62%E -4.89%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -2.83%E -0.857%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-01 17:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.65%EV -12.76%E -6.97%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.71%EV -17.62%E -4.89%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.64%EV -15.20%E -5.28%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-05-01 17:24 |
| TABtouch | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -4.66%E -2.33%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -18.77%E -5.29%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -4.30%E -1.32%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-01 17:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.95%EV -5.61%E -2.83%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -18.77%E -5.29%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -5.77%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-01 17:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.07%EV -6.09%E -3.09%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -18.77%E -5.29%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -5.77%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-01 17:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.82%EV -6.56%E -3.35%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -19.91%E -5.69%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.51%EV -7.25%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-01 17:45 |
| LeoVegas | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.04%EV -7.99%E -4.14%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.75%EV -21.05%E -6.10%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.21%EV -7.25%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-01 17:45 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.79%EV -8.47%E -4.41%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.86%EV -22.20%E -6.53%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -8.72%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-01 17:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.02% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.44% | 2.0% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.53% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.31% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.16% | 2.0% | 2026-05-01 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.53% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.31% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.16% | 2.0% | 2026-05-01 18:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.53% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.31% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.16% | 2.0% | 2026-05-01 18:25 |
| Matchbook | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.53% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.31% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.16% | 2.0% | 2026-05-01 18:25 |
| Smarkets | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.78% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.21% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.02% | 2.5% | 2026-05-01 18:25 |