L’École des cotesLegia Warszawa v Widzew Łódź
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Legia Warszawa (Local)
Prévision 47.67%2.10cote équitable
EV -2.27%
Avantage -1.11%
Kelly -2.17%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.05
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.79%47.74%47.43%49.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.781.941.952.0556.18%51.52%51.28%48.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Widzew Łódź (Visiteur)
Prévision 22.88%4.37cote équitable
EV +2.97%
Avantage +0.661%
Kelly +0.850%
Croissance +0.025%
avec la cote maximale 4.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.85%22.83%22.98%25.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.903.904.5029.41%25.65%25.64%22.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 29.45%3.40cote équitable
EV -2.83%
Avantage -0.857%
Kelly -1.23%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.30
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.17%29.43%29.59%31.16%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.133.153.3034.72%31.92%31.75%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.53%EV -5.61%E -2.83%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.35%EV +2.97%E +0.661%K +0.850%G +0.025% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.12%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-01 18:15 |
| BetUS | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.24%EV -8.95%E -4.68%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV +2.97%E +0.661%K +0.850%G +0.025% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.86%EV -7.25%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-01 18:24 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.37%EV -9.42%E -4.96%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV +2.97%E +0.661%K +0.850%G +0.025% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -7.25%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-01 18:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.37%EV -9.42%E -4.96%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV +2.97%E +0.661%K +0.850%G +0.025% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -7.25%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-01 18:24 |
| FanDuel | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.26%EV -7.04%E -3.61%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV +0.685%E +0.156%K +0.202%G +0.001% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.36%EV -8.72%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-01 17:40 |
| DraftKings | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.48%EV -7.04%E -3.61%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.98%EV -1.60%E -0.373%K -0.486%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.54%EV -5.77%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-01 18:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.07%EV -10.86%E -5.80%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -1.60%E -0.373%K -0.486%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.72%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-01 17:29 |
| 1xBet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.01%EV -5.61%E -2.83%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%EV -2.75%E -0.646%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.62%EV -5.48%E -1.71%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-01 18:15 |
| Bovada | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.54%EV -9.42%E -4.96%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -2.75%E -0.646%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.72%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-01 18:23 |
| Coolbet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.28%EV -5.61%E -2.83%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76%EV -3.89%E -0.927%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.97%EV -2.83%E -0.857%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| BetMGM | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.29%EV -8.95%E -4.68%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -3.89%E -0.927%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.72%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-01 17:54 |
| SportsBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.95%EV -9.42%E -4.96%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.69%EV -3.89%E -0.927%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.37%EV -11.66%E -3.89%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-01 17:40 |
| Paddy Power | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.32%EV -8.95%E -4.68%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -3.89%E -0.927%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -14.61%E -5.04%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-01 17:39 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.25%EV -6.56%E -3.35%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.87%EV -7.32%E -1.81%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -8.72%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-01 18:25 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.31%EV -5.61%E -2.83%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -5.77%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-01 17:38 |
| Betway | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.82%EV -10.38%E -5.52%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -4.30%E -1.32%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-01 18:25 |
| Fanatics | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -7.04%E -3.61%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -11.66%E -3.89%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| PlayUp | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.04%EV -7.99%E -4.14%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.66%E -3.89%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-01 18:25 |
| Sky Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.81%EV -8.95%E -4.68%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -14.61%E -5.04%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-01 17:40 |
| Betsson | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.33%EV -7.04%E -3.61%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.37%EV -9.61%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -7.25%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-01 17:39 |
| NordicBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.33%EV -7.04%E -3.61%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.37%EV -9.61%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -7.25%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-01 17:45 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -7.04%E -3.61%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -10.76%E -2.76%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -8.72%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-01 17:45 |
| Bet Victor | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.06%EV -9.42%E -4.96%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.41%EV -10.76%E -2.76%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -5.77%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-01 18:14 |
| 888sport | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.51%EV -7.04%E -3.61%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -10.76%E -2.76%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -11.66%E -3.89%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.51%EV -7.04%E -3.61%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -10.76%E -2.76%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -11.66%E -3.89%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.51%EV -7.04%E -3.61%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -10.76%E -2.76%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -11.66%E -3.89%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.03%EV -8.95%E -4.68%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -10.76%E -2.76%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.94%EV -11.66%E -3.89%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-01 17:55 |
| Coral | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.03%EV -8.95%E -4.68%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -10.76%E -2.76%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.94%EV -11.66%E -3.89%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-01 17:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.50%EV -8.47%E -4.41%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -13.04%E -3.43%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -5.77%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-01 17:39 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.55%EV -9.42%E -4.96%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.77%EV -13.04%E -3.43%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -7.25%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-01 17:45 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.50%EV -10.86%E -5.80%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.38%EV -13.04%E -3.43%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.12%EV -10.19%E -3.34%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| BoyleSports | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.27%EV -10.86%E -5.80%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -13.04%E -3.43%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.47%EV -11.66%E -3.89%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-01 17:24 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 48.12%EV -15.15%E -8.51%K -19.42%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.54%EV -13.04%E -3.43%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 29.34%EV -14.02%E -4.80%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-05-01 18:25 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.35%EV -10.86%E -5.80%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 23.43%EV -13.50%E -3.57%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 29.22%EV -10.78%E -3.56%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-01 18:00 |
| betfred_uk | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -7.04%E -3.61%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -14.19%E -3.78%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -5.77%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| Bet Right | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.03%EV -9.42%E -4.96%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -15.33%E -4.14%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.82%EV -8.72%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| Unibet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -2.27%E -1.11%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -16.48%E -4.51%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -2.83%E -0.857%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-01 17:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -2.27%E -1.11%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -16.48%E -4.51%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -2.83%E -0.857%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-01 17:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -2.27%E -1.11%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -16.48%E -4.51%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -2.83%E -0.857%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-01 17:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -2.27%E -1.11%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -16.48%E -4.51%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -2.83%E -0.857%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-01 17:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 47.18%EV -11.33%E -6.09%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.04%EV -16.48%E -4.51%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.77%EV -10.19%E -3.34%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-01 17:39 |
| BetRivers | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.01%EV -3.70%E -1.83%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -17.62%E -4.89%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -2.83%E -0.857%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-01 17:44 |
| Grosvenor | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.01%EV -3.70%E -1.83%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -17.62%E -4.89%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -2.83%E -0.857%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-01 17:45 |
| Casumo | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.01%EV -3.70%E -1.83%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -17.62%E -4.89%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -2.83%E -0.857%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-01 17:44 |
| betPARX | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.01%EV -3.70%E -1.83%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -17.62%E -4.89%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -2.83%E -0.857%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-01 17:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.01%EV -3.70%E -1.83%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -17.62%E -4.89%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -2.83%E -0.857%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-01 17:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.65%EV -12.76%E -6.97%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.71%EV -17.62%E -4.89%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.64%EV -15.20%E -5.28%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-05-01 17:24 |
| TABtouch | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -4.66%E -2.33%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -18.77%E -5.29%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -4.30%E -1.32%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-01 17:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.95%EV -5.61%E -2.83%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -18.77%E -5.29%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -5.77%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-01 17:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.07%EV -6.09%E -3.09%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -18.77%E -5.29%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -5.77%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-01 17:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.82%EV -6.56%E -3.35%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -19.91%E -5.69%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.51%EV -7.25%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-01 17:45 |
| LeoVegas | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.04%EV -7.99%E -4.14%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.75%EV -21.05%E -6.10%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.21%EV -7.25%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-01 17:45 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.79%EV -8.47%E -4.41%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.86%EV -22.20%E -6.53%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -8.72%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-01 17:45 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.02% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.44% | 2.0% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.53% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.31% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.16% | 2.0% | 2026-05-01 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.53% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.31% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.16% | 2.0% | 2026-05-01 18:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.53% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.31% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.16% | 2.0% | 2026-05-01 18:25 |
| Matchbook | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.53% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.31% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.16% | 2.0% | 2026-05-01 18:25 |
| Smarkets | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.78% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.21% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.02% | 2.5% | 2026-05-01 18:25 |