مدرسة الاحتمالات

Legia Warszawa v Widzew Łódź

البداية: 2026-05-01 18:30 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Legia Warszawa 1–0 Widzew Łódź

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

53 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Legia Warszawa (المضيف)

التنبؤ 47.67%2.10السعر العادل
EV -2.27%
الأفضلية -1.11%
Kelly -2.17%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.05

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
45.79%47.74%47.43%49.37%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.781.941.952.0556.18%51.52%51.28%48.78%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Widzew Łódź (الضيف)

التنبؤ 22.88%4.37السعر العادل
EV +2.97%
الأفضلية +0.661%
Kelly +0.850%
النمو +0.025%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
20.85%22.83%22.98%25.86%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.403.903.904.5029.41%25.65%25.64%22.22%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 29.45%3.40السعر العادل
EV -2.83%
الأفضلية -0.857%
Kelly -1.23%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.30

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.17%29.43%29.59%31.16%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.133.153.3034.72%31.92%31.75%30.30%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (53 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.98I 50.51%NM 48.53%EV -5.61%E -2.83%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.35%EV +2.97%E +0.661%K +0.850%G +0.025%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.12%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-01 18:15
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 49.24%EV -8.95%E -4.68%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV +2.97%E +0.661%K +0.850%G +0.025%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.86%EV -7.25%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-01 18:24
LowVig.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 49.37%EV -9.42%E -4.96%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV +2.97%E +0.661%K +0.850%G +0.025%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -7.25%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-01 18:25
BetOnline.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 49.37%EV -9.42%E -4.96%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV +2.97%E +0.661%K +0.850%G +0.025%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -7.25%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-01 18:24
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 48.26%EV -7.04%E -3.61%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV +0.685%E +0.156%K +0.202%G +0.001%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.36%EV -8.72%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-01 17:40
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.48%EV -7.04%E -3.61%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.98%EV -1.60%E -0.373%K -0.486%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.54%EV -5.77%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-01 18:25
Tipico (DE)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.07%EV -10.86%E -5.80%K -12.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -1.60%E -0.373%K -0.486%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.72%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 17:29
1xBet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.01%EV -5.61%E -2.83%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%EV -2.75%E -0.646%K -0.845%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.62%EV -5.48%E -1.71%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-01 18:15
Bovada1.90I 52.63%NM 48.54%EV -9.42%E -4.96%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -2.75%E -0.646%K -0.845%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.72%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-01 18:23
Coolbet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.28%EV -5.61%E -2.83%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76%EV -3.89%E -0.927%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.97%EV -2.83%E -0.857%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-01 18:05
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 48.29%EV -8.95%E -4.68%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -3.89%E -0.927%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.72%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-01 17:54
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 47.95%EV -9.42%E -4.96%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.69%EV -3.89%E -0.927%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.37%EV -11.66%E -3.89%K -5.83%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-01 17:40
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 47.32%EV -8.95%E -4.68%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -3.89%E -0.927%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -14.61%E -5.04%K -7.69%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-01 17:39
Marathon Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 47.25%EV -6.56%E -3.35%K -6.84%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.87%EV -7.32%E -1.81%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -8.72%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-01 18:25
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.31%EV -5.61%E -2.83%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -5.77%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-01 17:38
Betway1.88I 53.19%NM 48.82%EV -10.38%E -5.52%K -11.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -4.30%E -1.32%K -1.91%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 18:25
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -7.04%E -3.61%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -11.66%E -3.89%K -5.83%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-01 18:10
PlayUp1.93I 51.81%NM 47.04%EV -7.99%E -4.14%K -8.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.66%E -3.89%K -5.83%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-01 18:25
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.81%EV -8.95%E -4.68%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -14.61%E -5.04%K -7.69%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-01 17:40
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 47.33%EV -7.04%E -3.61%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.37%EV -9.61%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -7.25%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-01 17:39
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.33%EV -7.04%E -3.61%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.37%EV -9.61%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -7.25%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-01 17:45
Codere (IT)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -7.04%E -3.61%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -10.76%E -2.76%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -8.72%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-01 17:45
Bet Victor1.90I 52.63%NM 48.06%EV -9.42%E -4.96%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.41%EV -10.76%E -2.76%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -5.77%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-01 18:14
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 46.51%EV -7.04%E -3.61%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -10.76%E -2.76%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -11.66%E -3.89%K -5.83%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-01 18:10
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.51%EV -7.04%E -3.61%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -10.76%E -2.76%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -11.66%E -3.89%K -5.83%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-01 18:10
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.51%EV -7.04%E -3.61%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -10.76%E -2.76%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -11.66%E -3.89%K -5.83%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-01 18:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.03%EV -8.95%E -4.68%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -10.76%E -2.76%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.94%EV -11.66%E -3.89%K -5.83%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-01 17:55
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 47.03%EV -8.95%E -4.68%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -10.76%E -2.76%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.94%EV -11.66%E -3.89%K -5.83%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-01 17:55
Winamax (DE)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.50%EV -8.47%E -4.41%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -13.04%E -3.43%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -5.77%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-01 17:39
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 47.55%EV -9.42%E -4.96%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.77%EV -13.04%E -3.43%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -7.25%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-01 17:45
Unibet (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 47.50%EV -10.86%E -5.80%K -12.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.38%EV -13.04%E -3.43%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.12%EV -10.19%E -3.34%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-01 18:05
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 47.27%EV -10.86%E -5.80%K -12.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -13.04%E -3.43%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.47%EV -11.66%E -3.89%K -5.83%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-01 17:24
NetBet (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 48.12%EV -15.15%E -8.51%K -19.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.54%EV -13.04%E -3.43%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 29.34%EV -14.02%E -4.80%K -7.30%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-01 18:25
Betclic (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 47.35%EV -10.86%E -5.80%K -12.48%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 23.43%EV -13.50%E -3.57%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 29.22%EV -10.78%E -3.56%K -5.31%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-01 18:00
betfred_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -7.04%E -3.61%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -14.19%E -3.78%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -5.77%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-01 18:05
Bet Right1.90I 52.63%NM 47.03%EV -9.42%E -4.96%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -15.33%E -4.14%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.82%EV -8.72%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-01 18:05
Unibet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -2.27%E -1.11%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -16.48%E -4.51%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -2.83%E -0.857%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-01 17:45
Unibet (NL)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -2.27%E -1.11%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -16.48%E -4.51%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -2.83%E -0.857%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-01 17:45
Unibet (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -2.27%E -1.11%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -16.48%E -4.51%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -2.83%E -0.857%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-01 17:45
ATG (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -2.27%E -1.11%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -16.48%E -4.51%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -2.83%E -0.857%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-01 17:45
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 47.18%EV -11.33%E -6.09%K -13.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.04%EV -16.48%E -4.51%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.77%EV -10.19%E -3.34%K -4.97%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-01 17:39
BetRivers2.02I 49.50%NM 46.01%EV -3.70%E -1.83%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -17.62%E -4.89%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -2.83%E -0.857%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-01 17:44
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 46.01%EV -3.70%E -1.83%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -17.62%E -4.89%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -2.83%E -0.857%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-01 17:45
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 46.01%EV -3.70%E -1.83%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -17.62%E -4.89%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -2.83%E -0.857%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-01 17:44
betPARX2.02I 49.50%NM 46.01%EV -3.70%E -1.83%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -17.62%E -4.89%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -2.83%E -0.857%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-01 17:45
Svenska Spel2.02I 49.50%NM 46.01%EV -3.70%E -1.83%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -17.62%E -4.89%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -2.83%E -0.857%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-01 17:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.65%EV -12.76%E -6.97%K -15.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.71%EV -17.62%E -4.89%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.64%EV -15.20%E -5.28%K -8.08%G +0.000%17.1%2026-05-01 17:24
TABtouch2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -4.66%E -2.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -18.77%E -5.29%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -4.30%E -1.32%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 17:45
LiveScore Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 45.95%EV -5.61%E -2.83%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -18.77%E -5.29%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -5.77%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-01 17:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.07%EV -6.09%E -3.09%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -18.77%E -5.29%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -5.77%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-01 17:45
Virgin Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 45.82%EV -6.56%E -3.35%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -19.91%E -5.69%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.51%EV -7.25%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-01 17:45
LeoVegas1.93I 51.81%NM 46.04%EV -7.99%E -4.14%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.75%EV -21.05%E -6.10%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.21%EV -7.25%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-01 17:45
PMU (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 45.79%EV -8.47%E -4.41%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.86%EV -22.20%E -6.53%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -8.72%E -2.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-01 17:45
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 49.02%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.44%2.0%2026-05-01 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.53%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.31%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.16%2.0%2026-05-01 18:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.53%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.31%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.16%2.0%2026-05-01 18:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.53%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.31%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.16%2.0%2026-05-01 18:25
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 48.53%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.31%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.16%2.0%2026-05-01 18:25
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 48.78%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.21%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.02%2.5%2026-05-01 18:25