StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Excelsior v Heerenveen

Matchstart: 2026-03-07 20:00 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

54 spelbolag (20 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Excelsior (Hemma)

Prognos 33.07%3.02rättvist odds
EV -0.781%
Fördel -0.260%
Kelly -0.390%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
31.71%33.04%33.03%34.32%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.602.802.803.0038.46%35.75%35.71%33.33%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Heerenveen (Borta)

Prognos 41.27%2.42rättvist odds
EV -1.78%
Fördel -0.749%
Kelly -1.29%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.38

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
39.88%41.27%41.26%42.41%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.002.262.282.3850.00%44.27%43.86%42.02%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 25.66%3.90rättvist odds
EV -1.21%
Fördel -0.315%
Kelly -0.425%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.85

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
24.93%25.69%25.71%28.02%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.003.613.633.8533.33%27.70%27.51%25.97%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Excelsior (Hemma): 33.07%; Heerenveen (Borta): 41.27%; Oavgjort: 25.66%. För Excelsior (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.02. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 3.00, med väntevärdet -0.781%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (54 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.81%EV -0.781%E -0.260%K -0.390%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.41%EV -7.15%E -3.18%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79%EV -5.06%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 19:54
1xBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.86%EV -2.43%E -0.825%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.96%EV -4.67%E -2.02%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.18%EV -1.21%E -0.315%K -0.425%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-07 19:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -2.43%E -0.825%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -7.15%E -3.18%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -10.19%E -2.91%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 19:19
Betsson🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.57%EV -3.43%E -1.17%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.72%EV -5.91%E -2.59%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.71%EV -5.06%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 19:49
NordicBet🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.57%EV -3.43%E -1.17%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.72%EV -5.91%E -2.59%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.71%EV -5.06%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 19:49
Pinnacle🎯2.91I 34.36%NM 33.30%EV -3.76%E -1.29%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.06%EV -2.61%E -1.11%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.64%EV -3.01%E -0.796%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-07 19:44
LowVig.ag🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.48%EV -4.09%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.97%EV -2.20%E -0.926%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.55%EV -2.50%E -0.657%K -0.891%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-07 19:24
BetOnline.ag🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.48%EV -4.09%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.97%EV -2.20%E -0.926%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.55%EV -2.50%E -0.657%K -0.891%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-07 19:25
BetUS🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -4.09%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.91%EV -7.56%E -3.38%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -6.34%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 19:49
BetAnything🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -4.09%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.91%EV -7.56%E -3.38%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -6.34%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 19:49
FanDuel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -4.09%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -7.15%E -3.18%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 19:53
Everygame🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -4.09%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.35%EV -9.21%E -4.19%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.53%EV -6.34%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 19:49
Betway🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.16%EV -4.75%E -1.65%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.21%E -4.19%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 19:54
Coral🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 33.07%EV -5.08%E -1.77%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.27%EV -5.08%E -2.21%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.65%EV -5.06%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 19:34
SportsBet🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.30%EV -5.08%E -1.77%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.21%EV -7.15%E -3.18%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -10.19%E -2.91%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 19:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 32.61%EV -5.41%E -1.89%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.63%EV -7.56%E -3.38%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.76%EV -7.11%E -1.97%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 19:48
Unibet (NL)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.93%EV -5.74%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.63%EV -1.78%E -0.749%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.45%EV -2.50%E -0.657%K -0.891%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-07 19:19
Svenska Spel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.93%EV -5.74%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.63%EV -1.78%E -0.749%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.45%EV -2.50%E -0.657%K -0.891%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-07 19:19
ATG (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.93%EV -5.74%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.63%EV -1.78%E -0.749%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.45%EV -2.50%E -0.657%K -0.891%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-07 19:19
BetMGM🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -5.74%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -5.08%E -2.21%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 19:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.03%EV -7.40%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.55%EV -3.02%E -1.29%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.41%EV -3.78%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 19:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.74%EV -7.40%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.07%EV -5.08%E -2.21%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -3.78%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 19:30
Codere (IT)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -7.40%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.08%E -2.21%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -5.06%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 19:30
DraftKings🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -7.40%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.08%E -2.21%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -5.06%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 19:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.40%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -5.08%E -2.21%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 19:34
PlayUp🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.97%EV -7.40%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.03%EV -7.15%E -3.18%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.00%EV -8.91%E -2.51%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-07 19:49
888sport🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -7.40%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -9.21%E -4.19%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -10.19%E -2.91%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 19:54
William Hill🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -7.40%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -9.21%E -4.19%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -10.19%E -2.91%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 19:54
888sport (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -7.40%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -9.21%E -4.19%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -10.19%E -2.91%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 19:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -7.40%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -9.21%E -4.19%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -10.19%E -2.91%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 19:54
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -7.40%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -9.21%E -4.19%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -12.76%E -3.75%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-07 19:28
Unibet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.32%EV -9.05%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.51%EV -3.85%E -1.65%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -3.78%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 19:19
Casumo🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.15%EV -9.05%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.47%EV -4.26%E -1.84%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -5.06%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 19:19
LeoVegas🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.15%EV -9.05%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.47%EV -4.26%E -1.84%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -5.06%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 19:19
betPARX🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.15%EV -9.05%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.47%EV -4.26%E -1.84%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -5.06%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 19:19
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -9.05%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -3.02%E -1.29%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 18:19
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -9.05%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -3.02%E -1.29%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 19:44
TABtouch🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -9.05%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -5.08%E -2.21%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -5.06%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 19:19
Grosvenor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -9.05%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -5.08%E -2.21%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -5.06%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 19:19
BetRivers🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -9.05%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -5.08%E -2.21%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -5.06%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 19:19
Bet Right🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -9.05%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -5.08%E -2.21%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 19:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -9.05%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -5.08%E -2.21%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 19:09
Sky Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -9.05%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -11.27%E -5.24%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -15.32%E -4.64%K -6.66%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-07 19:50
Betclic (FR)🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 32.80%EV -10.04%E -3.69%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.08%EV -12.51%E -5.90%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.13%EV -8.91%E -2.51%K -3.49%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-07 19:36
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -10.70%E -3.96%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.50%EV -5.91%E -2.59%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.30%EV -6.34%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-07 19:19
Winamax (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -10.70%E -3.96%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.36%EV -9.21%E -4.19%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -6.34%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-07 19:29
BoyleSports🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -10.70%E -3.96%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -11.27%E -5.24%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -10.19%E -2.91%K -4.08%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-07 19:50
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.59%EV -10.70%E -3.96%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.90%EV -13.34%E -6.35%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.51%EV -11.48%E -3.33%K -4.68%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-07 19:34
NetBet (FR)🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 32.71%EV -11.69%E -4.38%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.59%EV -13.34%E -6.35%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.69%EV -12.76%E -3.75%K -5.32%G +0.000%14.5%2026-03-07 19:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.32%EV -12.36%E -4.66%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.42%EV -7.15%E -3.18%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-07 19:19
LiveScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.32%EV -12.36%E -4.66%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.42%EV -7.15%E -3.18%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-07 19:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 31.96%EV -13.02%E -4.95%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.02%EV -13.34%E -6.35%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.02%EV -23.02%E -7.67%K -11.51%G +0.000%19.0%2026-03-07 19:46
Winamax (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.87%EV -14.01%E -5.39%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.96%EV -11.27%E -5.24%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%EV -10.19%E -2.91%K -4.08%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-07 19:30
PMU (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 32.00%EV -14.01%E -5.39%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 41.59%EV -17.46%E -8.73%K -17.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.41%EV -19.17%E -6.09%K -8.92%G +0.000%20.2%2026-03-07 19:50
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.07%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.77%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16%0.6%2026-03-07 19:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.07%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.77%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16%0.6%2026-03-07 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.07%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.77%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16%0.6%2026-03-07 19:55
Matchbook3.10I 32.26%NM 32.07%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.77%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16%0.6%2026-03-07 19:55
Smarkets3.05I 32.79%NM 32.20%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.61%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.19%1.8%2026-03-07 19:55
Kalshi3.03I 33.00%NM 32.39%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.12%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.49%1.9%2026-03-07 19:50