La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Excelsior v Heerenveen
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Excelsior (Local)
Predicción 33.07%3.02momio equitativo
EV -0.781%
Ventaja -0.260%
Kelly -0.390%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.71%33.04%33.03%34.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.802.803.0038.46%35.75%35.71%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Heerenveen (Visitante)
Predicción 41.27%2.42momio equitativo
EV -1.78%
Ventaja -0.749%
Kelly -1.29%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.38
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.88%41.27%41.26%42.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.262.282.3850.00%44.27%43.86%42.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 25.66%3.90momio equitativo
EV -1.21%
Ventaja -0.315%
Kelly -0.425%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.93%25.69%25.71%28.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.613.633.8533.33%27.70%27.51%25.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.81%EV -0.781%E -0.260%K -0.390%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.41%EV -7.15%E -3.18%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79%EV -5.06%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 19:54 |
| 1xBet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.86%EV -2.43%E -0.825%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.96%EV -4.67%E -2.02%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.18%EV -1.21%E -0.315%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-07 19:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -2.43%E -0.825%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -7.15%E -3.18%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -10.19%E -2.91%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| Betsson | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.57%EV -3.43%E -1.17%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.72%EV -5.91%E -2.59%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.71%EV -5.06%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 19:49 |
| NordicBet | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.57%EV -3.43%E -1.17%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.72%EV -5.91%E -2.59%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.71%EV -5.06%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 19:49 |
| Pinnacle | 2.91I 34.36%NM 33.30%EV -3.76%E -1.29%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.06%EV -2.61%E -1.11%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.64%EV -3.01%E -0.796%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-07 19:44 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.48%EV -4.09%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.97%EV -2.20%E -0.926%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.55%EV -2.50%E -0.657%K -0.891%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-07 19:24 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.48%EV -4.09%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.97%EV -2.20%E -0.926%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.55%EV -2.50%E -0.657%K -0.891%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-07 19:25 |
| BetUS | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -4.09%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.91%EV -7.56%E -3.38%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -6.34%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-07 19:49 |
| BetAnything | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -4.09%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.91%EV -7.56%E -3.38%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -6.34%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-07 19:49 |
| FanDuel | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -4.09%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -7.15%E -3.18%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-07 19:53 |
| Everygame | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -4.09%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.35%EV -9.21%E -4.19%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.53%EV -6.34%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-07 19:49 |
| Betway | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.16%EV -4.75%E -1.65%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.21%E -4.19%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-07 19:54 |
| Coral | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.07%EV -5.08%E -1.77%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.27%EV -5.08%E -2.21%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.65%EV -5.06%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 19:34 |
| SportsBet | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.30%EV -5.08%E -1.77%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.21%EV -7.15%E -3.18%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -10.19%E -2.91%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-07 19:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.61%EV -5.41%E -1.89%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.63%EV -7.56%E -3.38%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.76%EV -7.11%E -1.97%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-07 19:48 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.93%EV -5.74%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.63%EV -1.78%E -0.749%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.45%EV -2.50%E -0.657%K -0.891%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.93%EV -5.74%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.63%EV -1.78%E -0.749%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.45%EV -2.50%E -0.657%K -0.891%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.93%EV -5.74%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.63%EV -1.78%E -0.749%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.45%EV -2.50%E -0.657%K -0.891%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| BetMGM | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -5.74%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -5.08%E -2.21%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-07 19:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.03%EV -7.40%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.55%EV -3.02%E -1.29%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.41%EV -3.78%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-07 19:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.74%EV -7.40%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.07%EV -5.08%E -2.21%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -3.78%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 19:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -7.40%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.08%E -2.21%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -5.06%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 19:30 |
| DraftKings | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -7.40%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.08%E -2.21%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -5.06%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 19:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.40%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -5.08%E -2.21%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 19:34 |
| PlayUp | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.97%EV -7.40%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.03%EV -7.15%E -3.18%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.00%EV -8.91%E -2.51%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-07 19:49 |
| 888sport | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -7.40%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -9.21%E -4.19%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -10.19%E -2.91%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-07 19:54 |
| William Hill | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -7.40%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -9.21%E -4.19%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -10.19%E -2.91%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-07 19:54 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -7.40%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -9.21%E -4.19%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -10.19%E -2.91%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-07 19:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -7.40%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -9.21%E -4.19%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -10.19%E -2.91%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-07 19:54 |
| Paddy Power | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -7.40%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -9.21%E -4.19%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -12.76%E -3.75%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-07 19:28 |
| Unibet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.32%EV -9.05%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.51%EV -3.85%E -1.65%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -3.78%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| Casumo | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.15%EV -9.05%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.47%EV -4.26%E -1.84%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -5.06%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| LeoVegas | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.15%EV -9.05%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.47%EV -4.26%E -1.84%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -5.06%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| betPARX | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.15%EV -9.05%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.47%EV -4.26%E -1.84%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -5.06%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| Fanatics | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -9.05%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -3.02%E -1.29%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-07 18:19 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -9.05%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -3.02%E -1.29%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-07 19:44 |
| TABtouch | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -9.05%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -5.08%E -2.21%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -5.06%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| Grosvenor | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -9.05%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -5.08%E -2.21%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -5.06%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| BetRivers | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -9.05%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -5.08%E -2.21%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -5.06%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| Bet Right | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -9.05%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -5.08%E -2.21%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 19:45 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -9.05%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -5.08%E -2.21%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 19:09 |
| Sky Bet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -9.05%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -11.27%E -5.24%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -15.32%E -4.64%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-03-07 19:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.72I 36.76%NM 32.80%EV -10.04%E -3.69%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.08%EV -12.51%E -5.90%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.13%EV -8.91%E -2.51%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-07 19:36 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -10.70%E -3.96%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.50%EV -5.91%E -2.59%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.30%EV -6.34%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -10.70%E -3.96%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.36%EV -9.21%E -4.19%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -6.34%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-07 19:29 |
| BoyleSports | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -10.70%E -3.96%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -11.27%E -5.24%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -10.19%E -2.91%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-07 19:50 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.59%EV -10.70%E -3.96%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.90%EV -13.34%E -6.35%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.51%EV -11.48%E -3.33%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-03-07 19:34 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.67I 37.45%NM 32.71%EV -11.69%E -4.38%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.59%EV -13.34%E -6.35%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.69%EV -12.76%E -3.75%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-03-07 19:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.32%EV -12.36%E -4.66%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.42%EV -7.15%E -3.18%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.32%EV -12.36%E -4.66%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.42%EV -7.15%E -3.18%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 31.96%EV -13.02%E -4.95%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.02%EV -13.34%E -6.35%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.02%EV -23.02%E -7.67%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 19.0% | 2026-03-07 19:46 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.87%EV -14.01%E -5.39%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.96%EV -11.27%E -5.24%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%EV -10.19%E -2.91%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-07 19:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 32.00%EV -14.01%E -5.39%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 41.59%EV -17.46%E -8.73%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 26.41%EV -19.17%E -6.09%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 20.2% | 2026-03-07 19:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.07% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.77% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16% | 0.6% | 2026-03-07 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.07% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.77% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16% | 0.6% | 2026-03-07 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.07% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.77% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16% | 0.6% | 2026-03-07 19:55 |
| Matchbook | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.07% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.77% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16% | 0.6% | 2026-03-07 19:55 |
| Smarkets | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.20% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.61% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.19% | 1.8% | 2026-03-07 19:55 |
| Kalshi | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.39% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.12% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.49% | 1.9% | 2026-03-07 19:50 |