Szkoła Kursów

Excelsior v Heerenveen

Początek: 2026-03-07 20:00 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

54 bukmacherów (20 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Excelsior (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 33.07%3.02kurs godziwy
EV -0.781%
Przewaga -0.260%
Kelly -0.390%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.00

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
31.71%33.04%33.03%34.32%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.602.802.803.0038.46%35.75%35.71%33.33%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Heerenveen (Goście)

Prognoza 41.27%2.42kurs godziwy
EV -1.78%
Przewaga -0.749%
Kelly -1.29%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.38

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
39.88%41.27%41.26%42.41%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.002.262.282.3850.00%44.27%43.86%42.02%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 25.66%3.90kurs godziwy
EV -1.21%
Przewaga -0.315%
Kelly -0.425%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.85

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
24.93%25.69%25.71%28.02%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.003.613.633.8533.33%27.70%27.51%25.97%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (54 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeRemisMarżaAktualizacja
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 31.81%EV -0.781%E -0.260%K -0.390%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.41%EV -7.15%E -3.18%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79%EV -5.06%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 19:54
1xBet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.86%EV -2.43%E -0.825%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.96%EV -4.67%E -2.02%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.18%EV -1.21%E -0.315%K -0.425%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-07 19:55
Tipico (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -2.43%E -0.825%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -7.15%E -3.18%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -10.19%E -2.91%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 19:19
Betsson2.92I 34.25%NM 32.57%EV -3.43%E -1.17%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.72%EV -5.91%E -2.59%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.71%EV -5.06%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 19:49
NordicBet2.92I 34.25%NM 32.57%EV -3.43%E -1.17%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.72%EV -5.91%E -2.59%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.71%EV -5.06%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 19:49
Pinnacle2.91I 34.36%NM 33.30%EV -3.76%E -1.29%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.06%EV -2.61%E -1.11%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.64%EV -3.01%E -0.796%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-07 19:44
LowVig.ag2.90I 34.48%NM 33.48%EV -4.09%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.97%EV -2.20%E -0.926%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.55%EV -2.50%E -0.657%K -0.891%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-07 19:24
BetOnline.ag2.90I 34.48%NM 33.48%EV -4.09%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.97%EV -2.20%E -0.926%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.55%EV -2.50%E -0.657%K -0.891%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-07 19:25
BetUS2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -4.09%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.91%EV -7.56%E -3.38%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -6.34%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 19:49
BetAnything2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -4.09%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.91%EV -7.56%E -3.38%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -6.34%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 19:49
FanDuel2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -4.09%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -7.15%E -3.18%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 19:53
Everygame2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -4.09%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.35%EV -9.21%E -4.19%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.53%EV -6.34%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 19:49
Betway2.88I 34.72%NM 32.16%EV -4.75%E -1.65%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.21%E -4.19%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 19:54
Coral2.87I 34.84%NM 33.07%EV -5.08%E -1.77%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.27%EV -5.08%E -2.21%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.65%EV -5.06%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 19:34
SportsBet2.87I 34.84%NM 32.30%EV -5.08%E -1.77%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.21%EV -7.15%E -3.18%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -10.19%E -2.91%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 19:30
Marathon Bet2.86I 34.97%NM 32.61%EV -5.41%E -1.89%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.63%EV -7.56%E -3.38%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.76%EV -7.11%E -1.97%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 19:48
Unibet (NL)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.93%EV -5.74%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.63%EV -1.78%E -0.749%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.45%EV -2.50%E -0.657%K -0.891%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-07 19:19
Svenska Spel2.85I 35.09%NM 33.93%EV -5.74%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.63%EV -1.78%E -0.749%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.45%EV -2.50%E -0.657%K -0.891%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-07 19:19
ATG (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.93%EV -5.74%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.63%EV -1.78%E -0.749%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.45%EV -2.50%E -0.657%K -0.891%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-07 19:19
BetMGM2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -5.74%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -5.08%E -2.21%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 19:35
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.03%EV -7.40%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.55%EV -3.02%E -1.29%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.41%EV -3.78%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 19:20
Unibet (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.74%EV -7.40%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.07%EV -5.08%E -2.21%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -3.78%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 19:30
Codere (IT)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -7.40%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.08%E -2.21%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -5.06%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 19:30
DraftKings2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -7.40%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.08%E -2.21%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -5.06%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 19:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.40%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -5.08%E -2.21%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 19:34
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 32.97%EV -7.40%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.03%EV -7.15%E -3.18%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.00%EV -8.91%E -2.51%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-07 19:49
888sport2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -7.40%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -9.21%E -4.19%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -10.19%E -2.91%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 19:54
William Hill2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -7.40%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -9.21%E -4.19%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -10.19%E -2.91%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 19:54
888sport (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -7.40%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -9.21%E -4.19%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -10.19%E -2.91%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 19:55
Mr Green (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -7.40%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -9.21%E -4.19%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -10.19%E -2.91%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 19:54
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -7.40%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -9.21%E -4.19%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -12.76%E -3.75%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-07 19:28
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.32%EV -9.05%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.51%EV -3.85%E -1.65%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -3.78%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 19:19
Casumo2.75I 36.36%NM 34.15%EV -9.05%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.47%EV -4.26%E -1.84%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -5.06%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 19:19
LeoVegas2.75I 36.36%NM 34.15%EV -9.05%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.47%EV -4.26%E -1.84%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -5.06%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 19:19
betPARX2.75I 36.36%NM 34.15%EV -9.05%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.47%EV -4.26%E -1.84%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -5.06%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 19:19
Fanatics2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -9.05%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -3.02%E -1.29%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 18:19
Betr (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -9.05%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -3.02%E -1.29%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 19:44
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -9.05%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -5.08%E -2.21%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -5.06%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 19:19
Grosvenor2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -9.05%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -5.08%E -2.21%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -5.06%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 19:19
BetRivers2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -9.05%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -5.08%E -2.21%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -5.06%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 19:19
Bet Right2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -9.05%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -5.08%E -2.21%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 19:45
PointsBet (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -9.05%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -5.08%E -2.21%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 19:09
Sky Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -9.05%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -11.27%E -5.24%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -15.32%E -4.64%K -6.66%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-07 19:50
Betclic (FR)2.72I 36.76%NM 32.80%EV -10.04%E -3.69%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.08%EV -12.51%E -5.90%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.13%EV -8.91%E -2.51%K -3.49%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-07 19:36
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -10.70%E -3.96%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.50%EV -5.91%E -2.59%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.30%EV -6.34%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-07 19:19
Winamax (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -10.70%E -3.96%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.36%EV -9.21%E -4.19%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -6.34%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-07 19:29
BoyleSports2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -10.70%E -3.96%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -11.27%E -5.24%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -10.19%E -2.91%K -4.08%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-07 19:50
Parions Sport (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.59%EV -10.70%E -3.96%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.90%EV -13.34%E -6.35%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.51%EV -11.48%E -3.33%K -4.68%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-07 19:34
NetBet (FR)2.67I 37.45%NM 32.71%EV -11.69%E -4.38%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.59%EV -13.34%E -6.35%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.69%EV -12.76%E -3.75%K -5.32%G +0.000%14.5%2026-03-07 19:55
Virgin Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.32%EV -12.36%E -4.66%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.42%EV -7.15%E -3.18%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-07 19:19
LiveScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.32%EV -12.36%E -4.66%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.42%EV -7.15%E -3.18%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-07 19:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 31.96%EV -13.02%E -4.95%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.02%EV -13.34%E -6.35%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.02%EV -23.02%E -7.67%K -11.51%G +0.000%19.0%2026-03-07 19:46
Winamax (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 33.87%EV -14.01%E -5.39%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.96%EV -11.27%E -5.24%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%EV -10.19%E -2.91%K -4.08%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-07 19:30
PMU (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 32.00%EV -14.01%E -5.39%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 41.59%EV -17.46%E -8.73%K -17.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.41%EV -19.17%E -6.09%K -8.92%G +0.000%20.2%2026-03-07 19:50
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.07%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.77%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16%0.6%2026-03-07 19:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.07%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.77%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16%0.6%2026-03-07 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.07%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.77%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16%0.6%2026-03-07 19:55
Matchbook3.10I 32.26%NM 32.07%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.77%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16%0.6%2026-03-07 19:55
Smarkets3.05I 32.79%NM 32.20%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.61%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.19%1.8%2026-03-07 19:55
Kalshi3.03I 33.00%NM 32.39%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.12%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.49%1.9%2026-03-07 19:50