A Escola das OddsExcelsior v Heerenveen
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
Excelsior (Local)
Previsão 33.07%3.02odd justa
EV -0.781%
Vantagem -0.260%
Kelly -0.390%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 3.00
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.71%33.04%33.03%34.32%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.602.802.803.0038.46%35.75%35.71%33.33%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Heerenveen (Visitante)
Previsão 41.27%2.42odd justa
EV -1.78%
Vantagem -0.749%
Kelly -1.29%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 2.38
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.88%41.27%41.26%42.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.002.262.282.3850.00%44.27%43.86%42.02%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Empate
Previsão 25.66%3.90odd justa
EV -1.21%
Vantagem -0.315%
Kelly -0.425%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 3.85
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.93%25.69%25.71%28.02%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.613.633.8533.33%27.70%27.51%25.97%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Odds das casas de apostas (54 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.81%EV -0.781%E -0.260%K -0.390%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.41%EV -7.15%E -3.18%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79%EV -5.06%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 19:54 |
| 1xBet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.86%EV -2.43%E -0.825%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.96%EV -4.67%E -2.02%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.18%EV -1.21%E -0.315%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-07 19:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -2.43%E -0.825%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -7.15%E -3.18%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -10.19%E -2.91%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| Betsson | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.57%EV -3.43%E -1.17%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.72%EV -5.91%E -2.59%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.71%EV -5.06%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 19:49 |
| NordicBet | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.57%EV -3.43%E -1.17%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.72%EV -5.91%E -2.59%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.71%EV -5.06%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 19:49 |
| Pinnacle | 2.91I 34.36%NM 33.30%EV -3.76%E -1.29%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.06%EV -2.61%E -1.11%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.64%EV -3.01%E -0.796%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-07 19:44 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.48%EV -4.09%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.97%EV -2.20%E -0.926%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.55%EV -2.50%E -0.657%K -0.891%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-07 19:24 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.48%EV -4.09%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.97%EV -2.20%E -0.926%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.55%EV -2.50%E -0.657%K -0.891%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-07 19:25 |
| BetUS | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -4.09%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.91%EV -7.56%E -3.38%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -6.34%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-07 19:49 |
| BetAnything | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -4.09%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.91%EV -7.56%E -3.38%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -6.34%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-07 19:49 |
| FanDuel | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -4.09%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -7.15%E -3.18%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-07 19:53 |
| Everygame | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -4.09%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.35%EV -9.21%E -4.19%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.53%EV -6.34%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-07 19:49 |
| Betway | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.16%EV -4.75%E -1.65%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.21%E -4.19%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-07 19:54 |
| Coral | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.07%EV -5.08%E -1.77%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.27%EV -5.08%E -2.21%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.65%EV -5.06%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 19:34 |
| SportsBet | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.30%EV -5.08%E -1.77%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.21%EV -7.15%E -3.18%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -10.19%E -2.91%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-07 19:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.61%EV -5.41%E -1.89%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.63%EV -7.56%E -3.38%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.76%EV -7.11%E -1.97%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-07 19:48 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.93%EV -5.74%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.63%EV -1.78%E -0.749%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.45%EV -2.50%E -0.657%K -0.891%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.93%EV -5.74%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.63%EV -1.78%E -0.749%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.45%EV -2.50%E -0.657%K -0.891%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.93%EV -5.74%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.63%EV -1.78%E -0.749%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.45%EV -2.50%E -0.657%K -0.891%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| BetMGM | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -5.74%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -5.08%E -2.21%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-07 19:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.03%EV -7.40%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.55%EV -3.02%E -1.29%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.41%EV -3.78%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-07 19:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.74%EV -7.40%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.07%EV -5.08%E -2.21%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -3.78%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 19:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -7.40%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.08%E -2.21%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -5.06%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 19:30 |
| DraftKings | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -7.40%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.08%E -2.21%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -5.06%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 19:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.40%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -5.08%E -2.21%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 19:34 |
| PlayUp | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.97%EV -7.40%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.03%EV -7.15%E -3.18%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.00%EV -8.91%E -2.51%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-07 19:49 |
| 888sport | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -7.40%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -9.21%E -4.19%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -10.19%E -2.91%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-07 19:54 |
| William Hill | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -7.40%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -9.21%E -4.19%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -10.19%E -2.91%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-07 19:54 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -7.40%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -9.21%E -4.19%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -10.19%E -2.91%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-07 19:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -7.40%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -9.21%E -4.19%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -10.19%E -2.91%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-07 19:54 |
| Paddy Power | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -7.40%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -9.21%E -4.19%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -12.76%E -3.75%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-07 19:28 |
| Unibet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.32%EV -9.05%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.51%EV -3.85%E -1.65%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -3.78%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| Casumo | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.15%EV -9.05%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.47%EV -4.26%E -1.84%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -5.06%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| LeoVegas | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.15%EV -9.05%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.47%EV -4.26%E -1.84%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -5.06%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| betPARX | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.15%EV -9.05%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.47%EV -4.26%E -1.84%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -5.06%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| Fanatics | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -9.05%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -3.02%E -1.29%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-07 18:19 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -9.05%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -3.02%E -1.29%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-07 19:44 |
| TABtouch | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -9.05%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -5.08%E -2.21%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -5.06%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| Grosvenor | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -9.05%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -5.08%E -2.21%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -5.06%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| BetRivers | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -9.05%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -5.08%E -2.21%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -5.06%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| Bet Right | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -9.05%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -5.08%E -2.21%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 19:45 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -9.05%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -5.08%E -2.21%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 19:09 |
| Sky Bet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -9.05%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -11.27%E -5.24%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -15.32%E -4.64%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-03-07 19:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.72I 36.76%NM 32.80%EV -10.04%E -3.69%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.08%EV -12.51%E -5.90%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.13%EV -8.91%E -2.51%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-07 19:36 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -10.70%E -3.96%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.50%EV -5.91%E -2.59%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.30%EV -6.34%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -10.70%E -3.96%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.36%EV -9.21%E -4.19%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -6.34%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-07 19:29 |
| BoyleSports | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -10.70%E -3.96%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -11.27%E -5.24%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -10.19%E -2.91%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-07 19:50 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.59%EV -10.70%E -3.96%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.90%EV -13.34%E -6.35%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.51%EV -11.48%E -3.33%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-03-07 19:34 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.67I 37.45%NM 32.71%EV -11.69%E -4.38%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.59%EV -13.34%E -6.35%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.69%EV -12.76%E -3.75%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-03-07 19:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.32%EV -12.36%E -4.66%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.42%EV -7.15%E -3.18%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.32%EV -12.36%E -4.66%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.42%EV -7.15%E -3.18%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 31.96%EV -13.02%E -4.95%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.02%EV -13.34%E -6.35%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.02%EV -23.02%E -7.67%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 19.0% | 2026-03-07 19:46 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.87%EV -14.01%E -5.39%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.96%EV -11.27%E -5.24%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%EV -10.19%E -2.91%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-07 19:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 32.00%EV -14.01%E -5.39%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 41.59%EV -17.46%E -8.73%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 26.41%EV -19.17%E -6.09%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 20.2% | 2026-03-07 19:50 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (6)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.07% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.77% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16% | 0.6% | 2026-03-07 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.07% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.77% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16% | 0.6% | 2026-03-07 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.07% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.77% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16% | 0.6% | 2026-03-07 19:55 |
| Matchbook | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.07% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.77% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16% | 0.6% | 2026-03-07 19:55 |
| Smarkets | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.20% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.61% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.19% | 1.8% | 2026-03-07 19:55 |
| Kalshi | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.39% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.12% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.49% | 1.9% | 2026-03-07 19:50 |