L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Excelsior v Heerenveen
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Excelsior (Local)
Prévision 33.07%3.02cote équitable
EV -0.781%
Avantage -0.260%
Kelly -0.390%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.71%33.04%33.03%34.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.602.802.803.0038.46%35.75%35.71%33.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Heerenveen (Visiteur)
Prévision 41.27%2.42cote équitable
EV -1.78%
Avantage -0.749%
Kelly -1.29%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.38
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.88%41.27%41.26%42.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.262.282.3850.00%44.27%43.86%42.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 25.66%3.90cote équitable
EV -1.21%
Avantage -0.315%
Kelly -0.425%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.85
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.93%25.69%25.71%28.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.613.633.8533.33%27.70%27.51%25.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.81%EV -0.781%E -0.260%K -0.390%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.41%EV -7.15%E -3.18%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79%EV -5.06%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 19:54 |
| 1xBet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.86%EV -2.43%E -0.825%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.96%EV -4.67%E -2.02%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.18%EV -1.21%E -0.315%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-07 19:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -2.43%E -0.825%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -7.15%E -3.18%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -10.19%E -2.91%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| Betsson | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.57%EV -3.43%E -1.17%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.72%EV -5.91%E -2.59%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.71%EV -5.06%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 19:49 |
| NordicBet | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.57%EV -3.43%E -1.17%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.72%EV -5.91%E -2.59%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.71%EV -5.06%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 19:49 |
| Pinnacle | 2.91I 34.36%NM 33.30%EV -3.76%E -1.29%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.06%EV -2.61%E -1.11%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.64%EV -3.01%E -0.796%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-07 19:44 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.48%EV -4.09%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.97%EV -2.20%E -0.926%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.55%EV -2.50%E -0.657%K -0.891%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-07 19:24 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.48%EV -4.09%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.97%EV -2.20%E -0.926%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.55%EV -2.50%E -0.657%K -0.891%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-07 19:25 |
| BetUS | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -4.09%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.91%EV -7.56%E -3.38%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -6.34%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-07 19:49 |
| BetAnything | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -4.09%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.91%EV -7.56%E -3.38%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -6.34%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-07 19:49 |
| FanDuel | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -4.09%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -7.15%E -3.18%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-07 19:53 |
| Everygame | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -4.09%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.35%EV -9.21%E -4.19%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.53%EV -6.34%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-07 19:49 |
| Betway | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.16%EV -4.75%E -1.65%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.21%E -4.19%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-07 19:54 |
| Coral | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.07%EV -5.08%E -1.77%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.27%EV -5.08%E -2.21%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.65%EV -5.06%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 19:34 |
| SportsBet | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.30%EV -5.08%E -1.77%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.21%EV -7.15%E -3.18%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -10.19%E -2.91%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-07 19:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.61%EV -5.41%E -1.89%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.63%EV -7.56%E -3.38%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.76%EV -7.11%E -1.97%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-07 19:48 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.93%EV -5.74%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.63%EV -1.78%E -0.749%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.45%EV -2.50%E -0.657%K -0.891%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.93%EV -5.74%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.63%EV -1.78%E -0.749%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.45%EV -2.50%E -0.657%K -0.891%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.93%EV -5.74%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.63%EV -1.78%E -0.749%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.45%EV -2.50%E -0.657%K -0.891%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| BetMGM | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -5.74%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -5.08%E -2.21%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-07 19:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.03%EV -7.40%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.55%EV -3.02%E -1.29%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.41%EV -3.78%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-07 19:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.74%EV -7.40%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.07%EV -5.08%E -2.21%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -3.78%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 19:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -7.40%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.08%E -2.21%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -5.06%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 19:30 |
| DraftKings | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -7.40%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.08%E -2.21%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -5.06%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 19:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.40%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -5.08%E -2.21%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 19:34 |
| PlayUp | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.97%EV -7.40%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.03%EV -7.15%E -3.18%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.00%EV -8.91%E -2.51%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-07 19:49 |
| 888sport | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -7.40%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -9.21%E -4.19%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -10.19%E -2.91%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-07 19:54 |
| William Hill | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -7.40%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -9.21%E -4.19%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -10.19%E -2.91%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-07 19:54 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -7.40%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -9.21%E -4.19%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -10.19%E -2.91%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-07 19:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -7.40%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -9.21%E -4.19%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -10.19%E -2.91%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-07 19:54 |
| Paddy Power | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -7.40%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -9.21%E -4.19%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -12.76%E -3.75%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-07 19:28 |
| Unibet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.32%EV -9.05%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.51%EV -3.85%E -1.65%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -3.78%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| Casumo | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.15%EV -9.05%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.47%EV -4.26%E -1.84%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -5.06%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| LeoVegas | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.15%EV -9.05%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.47%EV -4.26%E -1.84%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -5.06%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| betPARX | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.15%EV -9.05%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.47%EV -4.26%E -1.84%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -5.06%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| Fanatics | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -9.05%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -3.02%E -1.29%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-07 18:19 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -9.05%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -3.02%E -1.29%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-07 19:44 |
| TABtouch | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -9.05%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -5.08%E -2.21%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -5.06%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| Grosvenor | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -9.05%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -5.08%E -2.21%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -5.06%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| BetRivers | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -9.05%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -5.08%E -2.21%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -5.06%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| Bet Right | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -9.05%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -5.08%E -2.21%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 19:45 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -9.05%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -5.08%E -2.21%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 19:09 |
| Sky Bet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -9.05%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -11.27%E -5.24%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -15.32%E -4.64%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-03-07 19:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.72I 36.76%NM 32.80%EV -10.04%E -3.69%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.08%EV -12.51%E -5.90%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.13%EV -8.91%E -2.51%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-07 19:36 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -10.70%E -3.96%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.50%EV -5.91%E -2.59%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.30%EV -6.34%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -10.70%E -3.96%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.36%EV -9.21%E -4.19%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -6.34%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-07 19:29 |
| BoyleSports | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -10.70%E -3.96%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -11.27%E -5.24%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -10.19%E -2.91%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-07 19:50 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.59%EV -10.70%E -3.96%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.90%EV -13.34%E -6.35%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.51%EV -11.48%E -3.33%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-03-07 19:34 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.67I 37.45%NM 32.71%EV -11.69%E -4.38%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.59%EV -13.34%E -6.35%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.69%EV -12.76%E -3.75%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-03-07 19:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.32%EV -12.36%E -4.66%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.42%EV -7.15%E -3.18%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.32%EV -12.36%E -4.66%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.42%EV -7.15%E -3.18%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 31.96%EV -13.02%E -4.95%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.02%EV -13.34%E -6.35%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.02%EV -23.02%E -7.67%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 19.0% | 2026-03-07 19:46 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.87%EV -14.01%E -5.39%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.96%EV -11.27%E -5.24%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%EV -10.19%E -2.91%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-07 19:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 32.00%EV -14.01%E -5.39%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 41.59%EV -17.46%E -8.73%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 26.41%EV -19.17%E -6.09%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 20.2% | 2026-03-07 19:50 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.07% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.77% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16% | 0.6% | 2026-03-07 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.07% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.77% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16% | 0.6% | 2026-03-07 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.07% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.77% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16% | 0.6% | 2026-03-07 19:55 |
| Matchbook | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.07% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.77% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16% | 0.6% | 2026-03-07 19:55 |
| Smarkets | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.20% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.61% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.19% | 1.8% | 2026-03-07 19:55 |
| Kalshi | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.39% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.12% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.49% | 1.9% | 2026-03-07 19:50 |