مدرسة الاحتمالات

Excelsior v Heerenveen

البداية: 2026-03-07 20:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

54 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Excelsior (المضيف)

التنبؤ 33.07%3.02السعر العادل
EV -0.781%
الأفضلية -0.260%
Kelly -0.390%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
31.71%33.04%33.03%34.32%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.602.802.803.0038.46%35.75%35.71%33.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Heerenveen (الضيف)

التنبؤ 41.27%2.42السعر العادل
EV -1.78%
الأفضلية -0.749%
Kelly -1.29%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.38

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
39.88%41.27%41.26%42.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.002.262.282.3850.00%44.27%43.86%42.02%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 25.66%3.90السعر العادل
EV -1.21%
الأفضلية -0.315%
Kelly -0.425%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.85

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.93%25.69%25.71%28.02%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.613.633.8533.33%27.70%27.51%25.97%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (54 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 31.81%EV -0.781%E -0.260%K -0.390%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.41%EV -7.15%E -3.18%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79%EV -5.06%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 19:54
1xBet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.86%EV -2.43%E -0.825%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.96%EV -4.67%E -2.02%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.18%EV -1.21%E -0.315%K -0.425%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-07 19:55
Tipico (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -2.43%E -0.825%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -7.15%E -3.18%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -10.19%E -2.91%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 19:19
Betsson2.92I 34.25%NM 32.57%EV -3.43%E -1.17%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.72%EV -5.91%E -2.59%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.71%EV -5.06%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 19:49
NordicBet2.92I 34.25%NM 32.57%EV -3.43%E -1.17%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.72%EV -5.91%E -2.59%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.71%EV -5.06%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 19:49
Pinnacle2.91I 34.36%NM 33.30%EV -3.76%E -1.29%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.06%EV -2.61%E -1.11%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.64%EV -3.01%E -0.796%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-07 19:44
LowVig.ag2.90I 34.48%NM 33.48%EV -4.09%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.97%EV -2.20%E -0.926%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.55%EV -2.50%E -0.657%K -0.891%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-07 19:24
BetOnline.ag2.90I 34.48%NM 33.48%EV -4.09%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.97%EV -2.20%E -0.926%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.55%EV -2.50%E -0.657%K -0.891%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-07 19:25
BetUS2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -4.09%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.91%EV -7.56%E -3.38%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -6.34%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 19:49
BetAnything2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -4.09%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.91%EV -7.56%E -3.38%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -6.34%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 19:49
FanDuel2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -4.09%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -7.15%E -3.18%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 19:53
Everygame2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -4.09%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.35%EV -9.21%E -4.19%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.53%EV -6.34%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 19:49
Betway2.88I 34.72%NM 32.16%EV -4.75%E -1.65%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.21%E -4.19%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 19:54
Coral2.87I 34.84%NM 33.07%EV -5.08%E -1.77%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.27%EV -5.08%E -2.21%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.65%EV -5.06%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 19:34
SportsBet2.87I 34.84%NM 32.30%EV -5.08%E -1.77%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.21%EV -7.15%E -3.18%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -10.19%E -2.91%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 19:30
Marathon Bet2.86I 34.97%NM 32.61%EV -5.41%E -1.89%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.63%EV -7.56%E -3.38%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.76%EV -7.11%E -1.97%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 19:48
Unibet (NL)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.93%EV -5.74%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.63%EV -1.78%E -0.749%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.45%EV -2.50%E -0.657%K -0.891%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-07 19:19
Svenska Spel2.85I 35.09%NM 33.93%EV -5.74%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.63%EV -1.78%E -0.749%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.45%EV -2.50%E -0.657%K -0.891%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-07 19:19
ATG (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.93%EV -5.74%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.63%EV -1.78%E -0.749%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.45%EV -2.50%E -0.657%K -0.891%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-07 19:19
BetMGM2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -5.74%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -5.08%E -2.21%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 19:35
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.03%EV -7.40%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.55%EV -3.02%E -1.29%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.41%EV -3.78%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 19:20
Unibet (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.74%EV -7.40%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.07%EV -5.08%E -2.21%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -3.78%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 19:30
Codere (IT)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -7.40%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.08%E -2.21%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -5.06%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 19:30
DraftKings2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -7.40%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.08%E -2.21%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -5.06%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 19:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.40%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -5.08%E -2.21%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 19:34
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 32.97%EV -7.40%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.03%EV -7.15%E -3.18%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.00%EV -8.91%E -2.51%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-07 19:49
888sport2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -7.40%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -9.21%E -4.19%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -10.19%E -2.91%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 19:54
William Hill2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -7.40%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -9.21%E -4.19%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -10.19%E -2.91%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 19:54
888sport (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -7.40%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -9.21%E -4.19%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -10.19%E -2.91%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 19:55
Mr Green (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -7.40%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -9.21%E -4.19%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -10.19%E -2.91%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 19:54
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -7.40%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -9.21%E -4.19%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -12.76%E -3.75%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-07 19:28
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.32%EV -9.05%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.51%EV -3.85%E -1.65%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -3.78%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 19:19
Casumo2.75I 36.36%NM 34.15%EV -9.05%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.47%EV -4.26%E -1.84%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -5.06%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 19:19
LeoVegas2.75I 36.36%NM 34.15%EV -9.05%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.47%EV -4.26%E -1.84%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -5.06%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 19:19
betPARX2.75I 36.36%NM 34.15%EV -9.05%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.47%EV -4.26%E -1.84%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -5.06%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 19:19
Fanatics2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -9.05%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -3.02%E -1.29%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 18:19
Betr (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -9.05%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -3.02%E -1.29%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 19:44
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -9.05%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -5.08%E -2.21%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -5.06%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 19:19
Grosvenor2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -9.05%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -5.08%E -2.21%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -5.06%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 19:19
BetRivers2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -9.05%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -5.08%E -2.21%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -5.06%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 19:19
Bet Right2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -9.05%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -5.08%E -2.21%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 19:45
PointsBet (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -9.05%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -5.08%E -2.21%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 19:09
Sky Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -9.05%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -11.27%E -5.24%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -15.32%E -4.64%K -6.66%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-07 19:50
Betclic (FR)2.72I 36.76%NM 32.80%EV -10.04%E -3.69%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.08%EV -12.51%E -5.90%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.13%EV -8.91%E -2.51%K -3.49%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-07 19:36
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -10.70%E -3.96%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.50%EV -5.91%E -2.59%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.30%EV -6.34%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-07 19:19
Winamax (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -10.70%E -3.96%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.36%EV -9.21%E -4.19%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -6.34%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-07 19:29
BoyleSports2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -10.70%E -3.96%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -11.27%E -5.24%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -10.19%E -2.91%K -4.08%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-07 19:50
Parions Sport (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.59%EV -10.70%E -3.96%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.90%EV -13.34%E -6.35%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.51%EV -11.48%E -3.33%K -4.68%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-07 19:34
NetBet (FR)2.67I 37.45%NM 32.71%EV -11.69%E -4.38%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.59%EV -13.34%E -6.35%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.69%EV -12.76%E -3.75%K -5.32%G +0.000%14.5%2026-03-07 19:55
Virgin Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.32%EV -12.36%E -4.66%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.42%EV -7.15%E -3.18%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-07 19:19
LiveScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.32%EV -12.36%E -4.66%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.42%EV -7.15%E -3.18%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-07 19:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 31.96%EV -13.02%E -4.95%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.02%EV -13.34%E -6.35%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.02%EV -23.02%E -7.67%K -11.51%G +0.000%19.0%2026-03-07 19:46
Winamax (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 33.87%EV -14.01%E -5.39%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.96%EV -11.27%E -5.24%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%EV -10.19%E -2.91%K -4.08%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-07 19:30
PMU (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 32.00%EV -14.01%E -5.39%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 41.59%EV -17.46%E -8.73%K -17.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.41%EV -19.17%E -6.09%K -8.92%G +0.000%20.2%2026-03-07 19:50
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.07%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.77%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16%0.6%2026-03-07 19:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.07%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.77%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16%0.6%2026-03-07 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.07%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.77%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16%0.6%2026-03-07 19:55
Matchbook3.10I 32.26%NM 32.07%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.77%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16%0.6%2026-03-07 19:55
Smarkets3.05I 32.79%NM 32.20%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.61%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.19%1.8%2026-03-07 19:55
Kalshi3.03I 33.00%NM 32.39%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.12%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.49%1.9%2026-03-07 19:50