StandaardmodelInterkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst)

Excelsior v Heerenveen

Aanvang: 2026-03-07 20:00 UTC

Slotodds — de berekende kansen en verwachtingswaarde uit de laatste vóór aanvang geregistreerde odds, volgens het geselecteerde model. De wedstrijd is begonnen; dit zijn dus geen actuele cijfers. Beoordeel de betrouwbaarheid van de waarschijnlijkheidsprognoses van ieder model aan de hand van alle uitslagen van afgehandelde wedstrijden →

Wedstrijduitslag

54 wedaanbieders (20 in de analyse )

Geschatte kans op iedere uitslag volgens het model: Interkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst)

Excelsior (Thuis)

Prognose 33.07%3.02margevrije odds
EV -0.781%
Voordeel -0.260%
Kelly -0.390%
Groei +0.000%

bij maximale odds 3.00

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
31.71%33.04%33.03%34.32%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
2.602.802.803.0038.46%35.75%35.71%33.33%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Heerenveen (Uit)

Prognose 41.27%2.42margevrije odds
EV -1.78%
Voordeel -0.749%
Kelly -1.29%
Groei +0.000%

bij maximale odds 2.38

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
39.88%41.27%41.26%42.41%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
2.002.262.282.3850.00%44.27%43.86%42.02%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Gelijkspel

Prognose 25.66%3.90margevrije odds
EV -1.21%
Voordeel -0.315%
Kelly -0.425%
Groei +0.000%

bij maximale odds 3.85

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
24.93%25.69%25.71%28.02%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
3.003.613.633.8533.33%27.70%27.51%25.97%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Bij de laatste odds voor de aftrap schatte Interkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst) voor Wedstrijduitslag: Excelsior (Thuis): 33.07%; Heerenveen (Uit): 41.27%; Gelijkspel: 25.66%. Voor Excelsior (Thuis) kwam deze schatting overeen met eerlijke decimale odds van 3.02. Geen enkele geschikte wedaanbieder bood slotodds boven dat niveau: de beste waren 3.00, met een verwachtingswaarde van -0.781%; ze leverden geen positieve verwachtingswaarde op.

Odds van wedaanbieders (54 wedaanbieders)

Wij zijn niet verbonden aan enige wedaanbieder en ontvangen geen vergoeding voor transacties die bij hen worden verricht.

WedaanbiederThuis ▼UitGelijkspelMargeBijgewerkt
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.81%EV -0.781%E -0.260%K -0.390%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.41%EV -7.15%E -3.18%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79%EV -5.06%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 19:54
1xBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.86%EV -2.43%E -0.825%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.96%EV -4.67%E -2.02%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.18%EV -1.21%E -0.315%K -0.425%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-07 19:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -2.43%E -0.825%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -7.15%E -3.18%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -10.19%E -2.91%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 19:19
Betsson🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.57%EV -3.43%E -1.17%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.72%EV -5.91%E -2.59%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.71%EV -5.06%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 19:49
NordicBet🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.57%EV -3.43%E -1.17%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.72%EV -5.91%E -2.59%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.71%EV -5.06%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 19:49
Pinnacle🎯2.91I 34.36%NM 33.30%EV -3.76%E -1.29%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.06%EV -2.61%E -1.11%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.64%EV -3.01%E -0.796%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-07 19:44
LowVig.ag🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.48%EV -4.09%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.97%EV -2.20%E -0.926%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.55%EV -2.50%E -0.657%K -0.891%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-07 19:24
BetOnline.ag🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.48%EV -4.09%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.97%EV -2.20%E -0.926%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.55%EV -2.50%E -0.657%K -0.891%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-07 19:25
BetUS🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -4.09%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.91%EV -7.56%E -3.38%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -6.34%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 19:49
BetAnything🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -4.09%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.91%EV -7.56%E -3.38%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -6.34%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 19:49
FanDuel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -4.09%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -7.15%E -3.18%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 19:53
Everygame🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -4.09%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.35%EV -9.21%E -4.19%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.53%EV -6.34%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 19:49
Betway🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.16%EV -4.75%E -1.65%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.21%E -4.19%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 19:54
Coral🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 33.07%EV -5.08%E -1.77%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.27%EV -5.08%E -2.21%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.65%EV -5.06%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 19:34
SportsBet🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.30%EV -5.08%E -1.77%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.21%EV -7.15%E -3.18%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -10.19%E -2.91%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 19:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 32.61%EV -5.41%E -1.89%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.63%EV -7.56%E -3.38%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.76%EV -7.11%E -1.97%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 19:48
Unibet (NL)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.93%EV -5.74%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.63%EV -1.78%E -0.749%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.45%EV -2.50%E -0.657%K -0.891%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-07 19:19
Svenska Spel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.93%EV -5.74%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.63%EV -1.78%E -0.749%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.45%EV -2.50%E -0.657%K -0.891%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-07 19:19
ATG (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.93%EV -5.74%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.63%EV -1.78%E -0.749%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.45%EV -2.50%E -0.657%K -0.891%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-07 19:19
BetMGM🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -5.74%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -5.08%E -2.21%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 19:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.03%EV -7.40%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.55%EV -3.02%E -1.29%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.41%EV -3.78%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 19:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.74%EV -7.40%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.07%EV -5.08%E -2.21%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -3.78%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 19:30
Codere (IT)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -7.40%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.08%E -2.21%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -5.06%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 19:30
DraftKings🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -7.40%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.08%E -2.21%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -5.06%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 19:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.40%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -5.08%E -2.21%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 19:34
PlayUp🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.97%EV -7.40%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.03%EV -7.15%E -3.18%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.00%EV -8.91%E -2.51%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-07 19:49
888sport🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -7.40%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -9.21%E -4.19%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -10.19%E -2.91%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 19:54
William Hill🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -7.40%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -9.21%E -4.19%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -10.19%E -2.91%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 19:54
888sport (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -7.40%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -9.21%E -4.19%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -10.19%E -2.91%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 19:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -7.40%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -9.21%E -4.19%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -10.19%E -2.91%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 19:54
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -7.40%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -9.21%E -4.19%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -12.76%E -3.75%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-07 19:28
Unibet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.32%EV -9.05%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.51%EV -3.85%E -1.65%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -3.78%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 19:19
Casumo🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.15%EV -9.05%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.47%EV -4.26%E -1.84%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -5.06%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 19:19
LeoVegas🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.15%EV -9.05%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.47%EV -4.26%E -1.84%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -5.06%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 19:19
betPARX🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.15%EV -9.05%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.47%EV -4.26%E -1.84%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -5.06%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 19:19
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -9.05%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -3.02%E -1.29%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 18:19
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -9.05%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -3.02%E -1.29%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 19:44
TABtouch🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -9.05%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -5.08%E -2.21%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -5.06%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 19:19
Grosvenor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -9.05%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -5.08%E -2.21%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -5.06%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 19:19
BetRivers🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -9.05%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -5.08%E -2.21%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -5.06%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 19:19
Bet Right🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -9.05%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -5.08%E -2.21%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 19:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -9.05%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -5.08%E -2.21%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 19:09
Sky Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -9.05%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -11.27%E -5.24%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -15.32%E -4.64%K -6.66%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-07 19:50
Betclic (FR)🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 32.80%EV -10.04%E -3.69%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.08%EV -12.51%E -5.90%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.13%EV -8.91%E -2.51%K -3.49%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-07 19:36
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -10.70%E -3.96%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.50%EV -5.91%E -2.59%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.30%EV -6.34%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-07 19:19
Winamax (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -10.70%E -3.96%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.36%EV -9.21%E -4.19%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -6.34%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-07 19:29
BoyleSports🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -10.70%E -3.96%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -11.27%E -5.24%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -10.19%E -2.91%K -4.08%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-07 19:50
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.59%EV -10.70%E -3.96%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.90%EV -13.34%E -6.35%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.51%EV -11.48%E -3.33%K -4.68%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-07 19:34
NetBet (FR)🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 32.71%EV -11.69%E -4.38%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.59%EV -13.34%E -6.35%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.69%EV -12.76%E -3.75%K -5.32%G +0.000%14.5%2026-03-07 19:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.32%EV -12.36%E -4.66%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.42%EV -7.15%E -3.18%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-07 19:19
LiveScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.32%EV -12.36%E -4.66%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.42%EV -7.15%E -3.18%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-07 19:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 31.96%EV -13.02%E -4.95%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.02%EV -13.34%E -6.35%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.02%EV -23.02%E -7.67%K -11.51%G +0.000%19.0%2026-03-07 19:46
Winamax (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.87%EV -14.01%E -5.39%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.96%EV -11.27%E -5.24%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%EV -10.19%E -2.91%K -4.08%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-07 19:30
PMU (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 32.00%EV -14.01%E -5.39%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 41.59%EV -17.46%E -8.73%K -17.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.41%EV -19.17%E -6.09%K -8.92%G +0.000%20.2%2026-03-07 19:50
Marge = Marge · I = Impliciete kans · NM = Margevrije kans · EV = Verwachtingswaarde · E = Voordeel · K = Kelly-criterium · G = Groei van het speelkapitaal

Bijgewerkt geeft aan wanneer iedere wedaanbieder zijn odds voor het laatst wijzigde. Een ouder tijdstip betekent dus dat de odds niet zijn bewogen, niet dat ze verouderd zijn. Wedaanbieders die gedurende de laatste ongeveer 15 minuten niet zijn waargenomen, worden normaal uitgesloten; alleen wanneer de gegevensstroom van een volledige markt stilvalt, worden de laatst geregistreerde odds getoond.

Weddenschapsbeurzen (6)

WedaanbiederThuisUitGelijkspelMarge ▲Bijgewerkt
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.07%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.77%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16%0.6%2026-03-07 19:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.07%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.77%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16%0.6%2026-03-07 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.07%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.77%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16%0.6%2026-03-07 19:55
Matchbook3.10I 32.26%NM 32.07%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.77%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16%0.6%2026-03-07 19:55
Smarkets3.05I 32.79%NM 32.20%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.61%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.19%1.8%2026-03-07 19:55
Kalshi3.03I 33.00%NM 32.39%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.12%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.49%1.9%2026-03-07 19:50