Language:English
Excelsior v FC Volendam
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Excelsior (Local)
Prediction 55.79%1.79fair odd
EV -3.48%
Edge -2.01%
Kelly -4.77%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.73
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.75%55.71%55.79%56.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.671.681.7362.11%59.73%59.52%57.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
FC Volendam (Visit)
Prediction 19.92%5.02fair odd
EV +4.19%
Edge +0.801%
Kelly +0.990%
Growth +0.041%
assuming max odds 5.23
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.33%19.84%20.03%21.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.684.605.2325.00%21.37%21.74%19.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.29%4.12fair odd
EV +2.00%
Edge +0.477%
Kelly +0.626%
Growth +0.013%
assuming max odds 4.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.24%24.45%24.18%26.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.803.804.2030.30%26.29%26.32%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Excelsior (Local): 55.79%; FC Volendam (Visit): 19.92%; Draw: 24.29%. For FC Volendam (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.02. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.23, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.19%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.38%EV -5.15%E -3.03%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 5.23I 19.12%NM 18.33%EV +4.19%E +0.801%K +0.990%G +0.041% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.29%EV -7.95%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-10 14:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.07%EV -6.27%E -3.73%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV +1.60%E +0.313%K +0.390%G +0.006% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -10.14%E -2.74%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 14:23 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.07%EV -6.27%E -3.73%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV +1.60%E +0.313%K +0.390%G +0.006% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -10.14%E -2.74%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.07%EV -6.27%E -3.73%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV +1.60%E +0.313%K +0.390%G +0.006% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -10.14%E -2.74%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.07%EV -6.27%E -3.73%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV +1.60%E +0.313%K +0.390%G +0.006% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -10.14%E -2.74%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.88%EV -6.27%E -3.73%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.41%EV +1.60%E +0.313%K +0.390%G +0.006% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -11.35%E -3.11%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.81%EV -4.04%E -2.35%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 5.09I 19.65%NM 18.86%EV +1.40%E +0.275%K +0.342%G +0.005% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.33%EV -7.95%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.72%EV -5.71%E -3.38%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -0.395%E -0.079%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -10.14%E -2.74%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 14:33 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.68%EV -7.94%E -4.81%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -0.395%E -0.079%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -7.71%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -7.94%E -4.81%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -0.395%E -0.079%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -8.93%E -2.38%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -6.83%E -4.09%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.84%EV -1.39%E -0.281%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.34%EV -10.63%E -2.89%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.06%EV -5.71%E -3.38%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.33%EV -2.39%E -0.487%K -0.612%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.61%EV -6.50%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.07%EV -4.04%E -2.35%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.33%EV -2.39%E -0.487%K -0.612%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV -10.14%E -2.74%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.07%EV -4.04%E -2.35%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.33%EV -2.39%E -0.487%K -0.612%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV -10.14%E -2.74%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 14:23 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -3.48%E -2.01%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.34%EV -4.38%E -0.912%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.24%EV +2.00%E +0.477%K +0.626%G +0.013% | 2.4% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.42%EV -5.15%E -3.03%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.19%EV -5.38%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.39%EV -0.426%E -0.104%K -0.137%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-10 14:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.09%EV -5.15%E -3.03%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.07%EV -5.38%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -2.85%E -0.714%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-10 14:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.23%EV -5.71%E -3.38%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01%EV -5.38%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -2.85%E -0.714%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -5.15%E -3.03%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -5.38%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -10.14%E -2.74%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.98%EV -7.94%E -4.81%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -5.38%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -15.00%E -4.29%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-10 14:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.97%EV -5.15%E -3.03%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.24%EV -6.37%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -2.85%E -0.714%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.78%EV -5.71%E -3.38%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.06%EV -6.37%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.17%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -4.59%E -2.69%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.54%EV -8.36%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-10 14:23 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -5.15%E -3.03%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -8.36%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 14:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -5.15%E -3.03%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -8.36%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -5.15%E -3.03%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -8.36%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -6.27%E -3.73%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -8.36%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -2.85%E -0.714%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -6.27%E -3.73%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -8.36%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -2.85%E -0.714%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -6.83%E -4.09%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -8.36%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -2.85%E -0.714%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.14%EV -7.38%E -4.45%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -8.36%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.59%EV -4.07%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-10 14:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.14%EV -7.38%E -4.45%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -8.36%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.59%EV -4.07%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-10 14:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.49%EV -5.15%E -3.03%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -8.36%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -11.35%E -3.11%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -5.15%E -3.03%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -8.36%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -15.00%E -4.29%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-10 14:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -5.15%E -3.03%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -8.36%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -15.00%E -4.29%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-10 14:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.21%EV -9.62%E -5.94%K -15.51%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.01%EV -9.36%E -2.06%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 23.78%EV -6.98%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-10 14:32 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -5.15%E -3.03%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -10.36%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.58%EV -6.83%E -4.09%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.36%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.02%EV -8.50%E -5.18%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -10.36%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.02%EV -8.50%E -5.18%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -10.36%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.16%EV -9.62%E -5.94%K -15.51%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -10.36%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -6.50%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.16%EV -9.62%E -5.94%K -15.51%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -10.36%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -6.50%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.16%EV -9.62%E -5.94%K -15.51%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -10.36%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -6.50%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-10 14:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%EV -9.62%E -5.94%K -15.51%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -10.36%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -8.93%E -2.38%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.70%EV -6.83%E -4.09%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.93%EV -10.36%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -17.43%E -5.13%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.83%EV -10.17%E -6.32%K -16.68%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.20%EV -11.35%E -2.55%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.97%EV -8.93%E -2.38%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -6.83%E -4.09%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -12.35%E -2.81%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -7.71%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -5.15%E -3.03%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.34%EV -13.74%E -3.17%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -7.71%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.61%EV -6.83%E -4.09%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.06%EV -13.74%E -3.17%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.32%EV -8.93%E -2.38%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.50%EV -8.50%E -5.18%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -14.34%E -3.33%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.19%EV -9.62%E -5.94%K -15.51%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -16.33%E -3.89%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -7.71%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 52.75%EV -9.62%E -5.94%K -15.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.36%EV -20.32%E -5.08%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.89%EV -19.85%E -6.02%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.98% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.80% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.22% | 0.4% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.98% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.80% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.22% | 0.4% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.98% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.80% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.22% | 0.4% | 2026-05-10 14:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.98% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.80% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.22% | 0.4% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.13% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.40% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.47% | 0.7% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |