La escuela de los momiosExcelsior v FC Volendam
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Excelsior (Local)
Predicción 55.79%1.79momio equitativo
EV -3.48%
Ventaja -2.01%
Kelly -4.77%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.73
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.75%55.71%55.79%56.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.611.671.681.7362.11%59.73%59.52%57.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
FC Volendam (Visitante)
Predicción 19.92%5.02momio equitativo
EV +4.19%
Ventaja +0.801%
Kelly +0.990%
Crecimiento +0.041%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.23
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.33%19.84%20.03%21.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.684.605.2325.00%21.37%21.74%19.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 24.29%4.12momio equitativo
EV +2.00%
Ventaja +0.477%
Kelly +0.626%
Crecimiento +0.013%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.24%24.45%24.18%26.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.803.804.2030.30%26.29%26.32%23.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.38%EV -5.15%E -3.03%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 5.23I 19.12%NM 18.33%EV +4.19%E +0.801%K +0.990%G +0.041% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.29%EV -7.95%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-10 14:25 |
| Bovada | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.07%EV -6.27%E -3.73%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV +1.60%E +0.313%K +0.390%G +0.006% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -10.14%E -2.74%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 14:23 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.07%EV -6.27%E -3.73%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV +1.60%E +0.313%K +0.390%G +0.006% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -10.14%E -2.74%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.07%EV -6.27%E -3.73%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV +1.60%E +0.313%K +0.390%G +0.006% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -10.14%E -2.74%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| BetAnything | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.07%EV -6.27%E -3.73%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV +1.60%E +0.313%K +0.390%G +0.006% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -10.14%E -2.74%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| BetUS | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.88%EV -6.27%E -3.73%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.41%EV +1.60%E +0.313%K +0.390%G +0.006% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -11.35%E -3.11%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| 1xBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.81%EV -4.04%E -2.35%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 5.09I 19.65%NM 18.86%EV +1.40%E +0.275%K +0.342%G +0.005% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.33%EV -7.95%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| FanDuel | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.72%EV -5.71%E -3.38%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -0.395%E -0.079%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -10.14%E -2.74%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 14:33 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.68%EV -7.94%E -4.81%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -0.395%E -0.079%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -7.71%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Everygame | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -7.94%E -4.81%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -0.395%E -0.079%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -8.93%E -2.38%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -6.83%E -4.09%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.84%EV -1.39%E -0.281%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.34%EV -10.63%E -2.89%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| DraftKings | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.06%EV -5.71%E -3.38%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.33%EV -2.39%E -0.487%K -0.612%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.61%EV -6.50%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| NordicBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.07%EV -4.04%E -2.35%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.33%EV -2.39%E -0.487%K -0.612%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV -10.14%E -2.74%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Betsson | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.07%EV -4.04%E -2.35%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.33%EV -2.39%E -0.487%K -0.612%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV -10.14%E -2.74%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 14:23 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -3.48%E -2.01%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.34%EV -4.38%E -0.912%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.24%EV +2.00%E +0.477%K +0.626%G +0.013% | 2.4% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Bet Victor | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.42%EV -5.15%E -3.03%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.19%EV -5.38%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.39%EV -0.426%E -0.104%K -0.137%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-10 14:35 |
| Coolbet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.09%EV -5.15%E -3.03%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.07%EV -5.38%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -2.85%E -0.714%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-10 14:25 |
| Fanatics | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.23%EV -5.71%E -3.38%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01%EV -5.38%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -2.85%E -0.714%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| SportsBet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -5.15%E -3.03%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -5.38%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -10.14%E -2.74%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Paddy Power | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.98%EV -7.94%E -4.81%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -5.38%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -15.00%E -4.29%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-10 14:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.97%EV -5.15%E -3.03%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.24%EV -6.37%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -2.85%E -0.714%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.78%EV -5.71%E -3.38%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.06%EV -6.37%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.17%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| BetMGM | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -4.59%E -2.69%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.54%EV -8.36%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-10 14:23 |
| Coral | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -5.15%E -3.03%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -8.36%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 14:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -5.15%E -3.03%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -8.36%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -5.15%E -3.03%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -8.36%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Unibet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -6.27%E -3.73%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -8.36%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -2.85%E -0.714%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Casumo | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -6.27%E -3.73%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -8.36%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -2.85%E -0.714%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| BetRivers | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -6.83%E -4.09%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -8.36%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -2.85%E -0.714%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| TABtouch | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.14%EV -7.38%E -4.45%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -8.36%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.59%EV -4.07%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-10 14:35 |
| Grosvenor | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.14%EV -7.38%E -4.45%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -8.36%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.59%EV -4.07%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-10 14:35 |
| PlayUp | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.49%EV -5.15%E -3.03%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -8.36%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -11.35%E -3.11%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| 888sport | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -5.15%E -3.03%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -8.36%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -15.00%E -4.29%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-10 14:25 |
| William Hill | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -5.15%E -3.03%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -8.36%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -15.00%E -4.29%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-10 14:25 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.21%EV -9.62%E -5.94%K -15.51%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.01%EV -9.36%E -2.06%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 23.78%EV -6.98%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-10 14:32 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -5.15%E -3.03%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -10.36%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.58%EV -6.83%E -4.09%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.36%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.02%EV -8.50%E -5.18%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -10.36%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| LeoVegas | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.02%EV -8.50%E -5.18%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -10.36%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.16%EV -9.62%E -5.94%K -15.51%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -10.36%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -6.50%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.16%EV -9.62%E -5.94%K -15.51%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -10.36%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -6.50%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.16%EV -9.62%E -5.94%K -15.51%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -10.36%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -6.50%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-10 14:35 |
| BoyleSports | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%EV -9.62%E -5.94%K -15.51%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -10.36%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -8.93%E -2.38%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Sky Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.70%EV -6.83%E -4.09%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.93%EV -10.36%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -17.43%E -5.13%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.83%EV -10.17%E -6.32%K -16.68%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.20%EV -11.35%E -2.55%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.97%EV -8.93%E -2.38%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Bet Right | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -6.83%E -4.09%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -12.35%E -2.81%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -7.71%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Betway | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -5.15%E -3.03%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.34%EV -13.74%E -3.17%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -7.71%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| betfred_uk | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.61%EV -6.83%E -4.09%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.06%EV -13.74%E -3.17%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.32%EV -8.93%E -2.38%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.50%EV -8.50%E -5.18%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -14.34%E -3.33%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.19%EV -9.62%E -5.94%K -15.51%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -16.33%E -3.89%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -7.71%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 52.75%EV -9.62%E -5.94%K -15.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.36%EV -20.32%E -5.08%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.89%EV -19.85%E -6.02%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.98% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.80% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.22% | 0.4% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.98% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.80% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.22% | 0.4% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.98% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.80% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.22% | 0.4% | 2026-05-10 14:35 |
| Matchbook | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.98% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.80% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.22% | 0.4% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Smarkets | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.13% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.40% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.47% | 0.7% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |