L’École des cotesExcelsior v FC Volendam
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Excelsior (Local)
Prévision 55.79%1.79cote équitable
EV -3.48%
Avantage -2.01%
Kelly -4.77%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.73
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.75%55.71%55.79%56.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.611.671.681.7362.11%59.73%59.52%57.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
FC Volendam (Visiteur)
Prévision 19.92%5.02cote équitable
EV +4.19%
Avantage +0.801%
Kelly +0.990%
Croissance +0.041%
avec la cote maximale 5.23
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.33%19.84%20.03%21.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.684.605.2325.00%21.37%21.74%19.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 24.29%4.12cote équitable
EV +2.00%
Avantage +0.477%
Kelly +0.626%
Croissance +0.013%
avec la cote maximale 4.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.24%24.45%24.18%26.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.803.804.2030.30%26.29%26.32%23.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.38%EV -5.15%E -3.03%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 5.23I 19.12%NM 18.33%EV +4.19%E +0.801%K +0.990%G +0.041% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.29%EV -7.95%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-10 14:25 |
| Bovada | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.07%EV -6.27%E -3.73%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV +1.60%E +0.313%K +0.390%G +0.006% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -10.14%E -2.74%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 14:23 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.07%EV -6.27%E -3.73%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV +1.60%E +0.313%K +0.390%G +0.006% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -10.14%E -2.74%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.07%EV -6.27%E -3.73%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV +1.60%E +0.313%K +0.390%G +0.006% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -10.14%E -2.74%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| BetAnything | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.07%EV -6.27%E -3.73%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV +1.60%E +0.313%K +0.390%G +0.006% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -10.14%E -2.74%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| BetUS | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.88%EV -6.27%E -3.73%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.41%EV +1.60%E +0.313%K +0.390%G +0.006% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -11.35%E -3.11%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| 1xBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.81%EV -4.04%E -2.35%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 5.09I 19.65%NM 18.86%EV +1.40%E +0.275%K +0.342%G +0.005% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.33%EV -7.95%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| FanDuel | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.72%EV -5.71%E -3.38%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -0.395%E -0.079%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -10.14%E -2.74%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 14:33 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.68%EV -7.94%E -4.81%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -0.395%E -0.079%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -7.71%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Everygame | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -7.94%E -4.81%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -0.395%E -0.079%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -8.93%E -2.38%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -6.83%E -4.09%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.84%EV -1.39%E -0.281%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.34%EV -10.63%E -2.89%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| DraftKings | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.06%EV -5.71%E -3.38%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.33%EV -2.39%E -0.487%K -0.612%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.61%EV -6.50%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| NordicBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.07%EV -4.04%E -2.35%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.33%EV -2.39%E -0.487%K -0.612%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV -10.14%E -2.74%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Betsson | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.07%EV -4.04%E -2.35%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.33%EV -2.39%E -0.487%K -0.612%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV -10.14%E -2.74%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 14:23 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -3.48%E -2.01%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.34%EV -4.38%E -0.912%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.24%EV +2.00%E +0.477%K +0.626%G +0.013% | 2.4% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Bet Victor | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.42%EV -5.15%E -3.03%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.19%EV -5.38%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.39%EV -0.426%E -0.104%K -0.137%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-10 14:35 |
| Coolbet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.09%EV -5.15%E -3.03%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.07%EV -5.38%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -2.85%E -0.714%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-10 14:25 |
| Fanatics | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.23%EV -5.71%E -3.38%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01%EV -5.38%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -2.85%E -0.714%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| SportsBet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -5.15%E -3.03%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -5.38%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -10.14%E -2.74%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Paddy Power | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.98%EV -7.94%E -4.81%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -5.38%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -15.00%E -4.29%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-10 14:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.97%EV -5.15%E -3.03%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.24%EV -6.37%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -2.85%E -0.714%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.78%EV -5.71%E -3.38%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.06%EV -6.37%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.17%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| BetMGM | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -4.59%E -2.69%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.54%EV -8.36%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-10 14:23 |
| Coral | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -5.15%E -3.03%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -8.36%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 14:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -5.15%E -3.03%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -8.36%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -5.15%E -3.03%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -8.36%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Unibet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -6.27%E -3.73%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -8.36%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -2.85%E -0.714%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Casumo | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -6.27%E -3.73%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -8.36%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -2.85%E -0.714%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| BetRivers | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -6.83%E -4.09%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -8.36%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -2.85%E -0.714%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| TABtouch | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.14%EV -7.38%E -4.45%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -8.36%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.59%EV -4.07%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-10 14:35 |
| Grosvenor | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.14%EV -7.38%E -4.45%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -8.36%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.59%EV -4.07%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-10 14:35 |
| PlayUp | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.49%EV -5.15%E -3.03%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -8.36%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -11.35%E -3.11%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| 888sport | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -5.15%E -3.03%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -8.36%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -15.00%E -4.29%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-10 14:25 |
| William Hill | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -5.15%E -3.03%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -8.36%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -15.00%E -4.29%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-10 14:25 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.21%EV -9.62%E -5.94%K -15.51%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.01%EV -9.36%E -2.06%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 23.78%EV -6.98%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-10 14:32 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -5.15%E -3.03%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -10.36%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.58%EV -6.83%E -4.09%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.36%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.02%EV -8.50%E -5.18%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -10.36%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| LeoVegas | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.02%EV -8.50%E -5.18%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -10.36%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.16%EV -9.62%E -5.94%K -15.51%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -10.36%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -6.50%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.16%EV -9.62%E -5.94%K -15.51%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -10.36%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -6.50%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.16%EV -9.62%E -5.94%K -15.51%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -10.36%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -6.50%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-10 14:35 |
| BoyleSports | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%EV -9.62%E -5.94%K -15.51%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -10.36%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -8.93%E -2.38%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Sky Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.70%EV -6.83%E -4.09%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.93%EV -10.36%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -17.43%E -5.13%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.83%EV -10.17%E -6.32%K -16.68%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.20%EV -11.35%E -2.55%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.97%EV -8.93%E -2.38%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Bet Right | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -6.83%E -4.09%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -12.35%E -2.81%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -7.71%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Betway | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -5.15%E -3.03%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.34%EV -13.74%E -3.17%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -7.71%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| betfred_uk | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.61%EV -6.83%E -4.09%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.06%EV -13.74%E -3.17%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.32%EV -8.93%E -2.38%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.50%EV -8.50%E -5.18%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -14.34%E -3.33%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.19%EV -9.62%E -5.94%K -15.51%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -16.33%E -3.89%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -7.71%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 52.75%EV -9.62%E -5.94%K -15.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.36%EV -20.32%E -5.08%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.89%EV -19.85%E -6.02%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.98% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.80% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.22% | 0.4% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.98% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.80% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.22% | 0.4% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.98% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.80% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.22% | 0.4% | 2026-05-10 14:35 |
| Matchbook | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.98% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.80% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.22% | 0.4% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Smarkets | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.13% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.40% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.47% | 0.7% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |