StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Excelsior v FC Volendam

Matchstart: 2026-05-10 14:45 UTC

Slutresultat: Excelsior 1–1 FC Volendam

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

51 spelbolag (20 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Excelsior (Hemma)

Prognos 55.79%1.79rättvist odds
EV -3.48%
Fördel -2.01%
Kelly -4.77%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.73

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
52.75%55.71%55.79%56.68%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.611.671.681.7362.11%59.73%59.52%57.80%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

FC Volendam (Borta)

Prognos 19.92%5.02rättvist odds
EV +4.19%
Fördel +0.801%
Kelly +0.990%
Tillväxt +0.041%

med antagandet om högsta odds 5.23

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
18.33%19.84%20.03%21.36%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.004.684.605.2325.00%21.37%21.74%19.12%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 24.29%4.12rättvist odds
EV +2.00%
Fördel +0.477%
Kelly +0.626%
Tillväxt +0.013%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.20

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
23.24%24.45%24.18%26.37%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.303.803.804.2030.30%26.29%26.32%23.81%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Excelsior (Hemma): 55.79%; FC Volendam (Borta): 19.92%; Oavgjort: 24.29%. För FC Volendam (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 5.02. 7 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 5.23, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +4.19%.

Spelbolagsodds (51 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.38%EV -5.15%E -3.03%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.23I 19.12%NM 18.33%EV +4.19%E +0.801%K +0.990%G +0.041%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.29%EV -7.95%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-10 14:25
Bovada🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.07%EV -6.27%E -3.73%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV +1.60%E +0.313%K +0.390%G +0.006%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -10.14%E -2.74%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 14:23
LowVig.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.07%EV -6.27%E -3.73%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV +1.60%E +0.313%K +0.390%G +0.006%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -10.14%E -2.74%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 14:24
BetOnline.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.07%EV -6.27%E -3.73%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV +1.60%E +0.313%K +0.390%G +0.006%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -10.14%E -2.74%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 14:24
BetAnything🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.07%EV -6.27%E -3.73%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV +1.60%E +0.313%K +0.390%G +0.006%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -10.14%E -2.74%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 14:24
BetUS🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.88%EV -6.27%E -3.73%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.41%EV +1.60%E +0.313%K +0.390%G +0.006%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -11.35%E -3.11%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 14:34
1xBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.81%EV -4.04%E -2.35%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.09I 19.65%NM 18.86%EV +1.40%E +0.275%K +0.342%G +0.005%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.33%EV -7.95%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-10 14:24
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.72%EV -5.71%E -3.38%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -0.395%E -0.079%K -0.099%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -10.14%E -2.74%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 14:33
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.68%EV -7.94%E -4.81%K -12.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -0.395%E -0.079%K -0.099%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -7.71%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-10 14:24
Everygame🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -7.94%E -4.81%K -12.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -0.395%E -0.079%K -0.099%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -8.93%E -2.38%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 14:24
Marathon Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -6.83%E -4.09%K -10.19%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.84%EV -1.39%E -0.281%K -0.352%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.34%EV -10.63%E -2.89%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 14:24
DraftKings🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.06%EV -5.71%E -3.38%K -8.28%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.33%EV -2.39%E -0.487%K -0.612%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.61%EV -6.50%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 14:24
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.07%EV -4.04%E -2.35%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.33%EV -2.39%E -0.487%K -0.612%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV -10.14%E -2.74%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 14:34
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.07%EV -4.04%E -2.35%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.33%EV -2.39%E -0.487%K -0.612%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV -10.14%E -2.74%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 14:23
Unibet (NL)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -3.48%E -2.01%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.34%EV -4.38%E -0.912%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.24%EV +2.00%E +0.477%K +0.626%G +0.013%2.4%2026-05-10 14:34
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.42%EV -5.15%E -3.03%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.19%EV -5.38%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.39%EV -0.426%E -0.104%K -0.137%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-10 14:35
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.09%EV -5.15%E -3.03%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.07%EV -5.38%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -2.85%E -0.714%K -0.951%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-10 14:25
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.23%EV -5.71%E -3.38%K -8.28%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01%EV -5.38%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -2.85%E -0.714%K -0.951%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-10 14:24
SportsBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -5.15%E -3.03%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -5.38%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -10.14%E -2.74%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-10 14:34
Paddy Power🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.98%EV -7.94%E -4.81%K -12.22%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -5.38%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -15.00%E -4.29%K -6.00%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-10 14:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.97%EV -5.15%E -3.03%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.24%EV -6.37%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -2.85%E -0.714%K -0.951%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 14:34
Codere (IT)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.78%EV -5.71%E -3.38%K -8.28%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.06%EV -6.37%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.17%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-10 14:24
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -4.59%E -2.69%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.54%EV -8.36%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 14:23
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -5.15%E -3.03%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -8.36%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 14:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -5.15%E -3.03%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -8.36%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 14:24
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -5.15%E -3.03%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -8.36%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 14:24
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -6.27%E -3.73%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -8.36%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -2.85%E -0.714%K -0.951%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 14:34
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -6.27%E -3.73%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -8.36%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -2.85%E -0.714%K -0.951%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 14:34
BetRivers🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -6.83%E -4.09%K -10.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -8.36%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -2.85%E -0.714%K -0.951%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 14:34
TABtouch🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.14%EV -7.38%E -4.45%K -11.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -8.36%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.59%EV -4.07%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 14:35
Grosvenor🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.14%EV -7.38%E -4.45%K -11.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -8.36%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.59%EV -4.07%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 14:35
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.49%EV -5.15%E -3.03%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -8.36%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -11.35%E -3.11%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-10 14:24
888sport🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -5.15%E -3.03%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -8.36%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -15.00%E -4.29%K -6.00%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-10 14:25
William Hill🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -5.15%E -3.03%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -8.36%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -15.00%E -4.29%K -6.00%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-10 14:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.21%EV -9.62%E -5.94%K -15.51%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.01%EV -9.36%E -2.06%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 23.78%EV -6.98%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-10 14:32
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -5.15%E -3.03%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -10.36%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 14:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.58%EV -6.83%E -4.09%K -10.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.36%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-10 14:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.02%EV -8.50%E -5.18%K -13.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -10.36%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-10 14:34
LeoVegas🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.02%EV -8.50%E -5.18%K -13.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -10.36%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-10 14:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.16%EV -9.62%E -5.94%K -15.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -10.36%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -6.50%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-10 14:34
LiveScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.16%EV -9.62%E -5.94%K -15.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -10.36%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -6.50%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-10 14:34
PMU (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.16%EV -9.62%E -5.94%K -15.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -10.36%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -6.50%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-10 14:35
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%EV -9.62%E -5.94%K -15.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -10.36%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -8.93%E -2.38%K -3.25%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-10 14:24
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.70%EV -6.83%E -4.09%K -10.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.93%EV -10.36%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -17.43%E -5.13%K -7.26%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-10 14:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.83%EV -10.17%E -6.32%K -16.68%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.20%EV -11.35%E -2.55%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.97%EV -8.93%E -2.38%K -3.25%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-10 14:24
Bet Right🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -6.83%E -4.09%K -10.19%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -12.35%E -2.81%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -7.71%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-10 14:24
Betway🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -5.15%E -3.03%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.34%EV -13.74%E -3.17%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -7.71%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-10 14:34
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.61%EV -6.83%E -4.09%K -10.19%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.06%EV -13.74%E -3.17%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.32%EV -8.93%E -2.38%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-10 14:24
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.50%EV -8.50%E -5.18%K -13.28%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -14.34%E -3.33%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-10 14:24
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.19%EV -9.62%E -5.94%K -15.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -16.33%E -3.89%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -7.71%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-10 14:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 52.75%EV -9.62%E -5.94%K -15.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.36%EV -20.32%E -5.08%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.89%EV -19.85%E -6.02%K -8.63%G +0.000%17.0%2026-05-10 14:34
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.98%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.80%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.22%0.4%2026-05-10 14:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.98%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.80%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.22%0.4%2026-05-10 14:34
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.98%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.80%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.22%0.4%2026-05-10 14:35
Matchbook1.78I 56.18%NM 55.98%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.80%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.22%0.4%2026-05-10 14:34
Smarkets1.77I 56.50%NM 56.13%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.40%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.47%0.7%2026-05-10 14:34