La scuola delle quote

Excelsior v FC Volendam

Inizio: 2026-05-10 14:45 UTC

Finale: Excelsior 1–1 FC Volendam

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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51 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Excelsior (Casa)

Previsione 55.79%1.79quota equa
EV -3.48%
Vantaggio -2.01%
Kelly -4.77%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.73

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
52.75%55.71%55.79%56.68%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.611.671.681.7362.11%59.73%59.52%57.80%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

FC Volendam (Trasferta)

Previsione 19.92%5.02quota equa
EV +4.19%
Vantaggio +0.801%
Kelly +0.990%
Crescita +0.041%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.23

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
18.33%19.84%20.03%21.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.004.684.605.2325.00%21.37%21.74%19.12%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 24.29%4.12quota equa
EV +2.00%
Vantaggio +0.477%
Kelly +0.626%
Crescita +0.013%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.24%24.45%24.18%26.37%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.303.803.804.2030.30%26.29%26.32%23.81%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (51 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.70I 58.82%NM 56.38%EV -5.15%E -3.03%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.23I 19.12%NM 18.33%EV +4.19%E +0.801%K +0.990%G +0.041%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.29%EV -7.95%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-10 14:25
Bovada1.68I 59.52%NM 56.07%EV -6.27%E -3.73%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV +1.60%E +0.313%K +0.390%G +0.006%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -10.14%E -2.74%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 14:23
LowVig.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 56.07%EV -6.27%E -3.73%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV +1.60%E +0.313%K +0.390%G +0.006%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -10.14%E -2.74%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 14:24
BetOnline.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 56.07%EV -6.27%E -3.73%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV +1.60%E +0.313%K +0.390%G +0.006%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -10.14%E -2.74%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 14:24
BetAnything1.68I 59.52%NM 56.07%EV -6.27%E -3.73%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV +1.60%E +0.313%K +0.390%G +0.006%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -10.14%E -2.74%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 14:24
BetUS1.68I 59.52%NM 55.88%EV -6.27%E -3.73%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.41%EV +1.60%E +0.313%K +0.390%G +0.006%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -11.35%E -3.11%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 14:34
1xBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.81%EV -4.04%E -2.35%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.09I 19.65%NM 18.86%EV +1.40%E +0.275%K +0.342%G +0.005%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.33%EV -7.95%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-10 14:24
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 55.72%EV -5.71%E -3.38%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -0.395%E -0.079%K -0.099%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -10.14%E -2.74%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 14:33
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.68%EV -7.94%E -4.81%K -12.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -0.395%E -0.079%K -0.099%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -7.71%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-10 14:24
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -7.94%E -4.81%K -12.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -0.395%E -0.079%K -0.099%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -8.93%E -2.38%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 14:24
Marathon Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -6.83%E -4.09%K -10.19%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.84%EV -1.39%E -0.281%K -0.352%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.34%EV -10.63%E -2.89%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 14:24
DraftKings1.69I 59.17%NM 56.06%EV -5.71%E -3.38%K -8.28%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.33%EV -2.39%E -0.487%K -0.612%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.61%EV -6.50%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 14:24
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.07%EV -4.04%E -2.35%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.33%EV -2.39%E -0.487%K -0.612%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV -10.14%E -2.74%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 14:34
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 55.07%EV -4.04%E -2.35%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.33%EV -2.39%E -0.487%K -0.612%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV -10.14%E -2.74%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 14:23
Unibet (NL)1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -3.48%E -2.01%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.34%EV -4.38%E -0.912%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.24%EV +2.00%E +0.477%K +0.626%G +0.013%2.4%2026-05-10 14:34
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 56.42%EV -5.15%E -3.03%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.19%EV -5.38%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.39%EV -0.426%E -0.104%K -0.137%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-10 14:35
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.09%EV -5.15%E -3.03%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.07%EV -5.38%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -2.85%E -0.714%K -0.951%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-10 14:25
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.23%EV -5.71%E -3.38%K -8.28%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01%EV -5.38%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -2.85%E -0.714%K -0.951%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-10 14:24
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -5.15%E -3.03%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -5.38%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -10.14%E -2.74%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-10 14:34
Paddy Power1.65I 60.61%NM 54.98%EV -7.94%E -4.81%K -12.22%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -5.38%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -15.00%E -4.29%K -6.00%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-10 14:35
Unibet (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.97%EV -5.15%E -3.03%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.24%EV -6.37%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -2.85%E -0.714%K -0.951%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 14:34
Codere (IT)1.69I 59.17%NM 55.78%EV -5.71%E -3.38%K -8.28%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.06%EV -6.37%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.17%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-10 14:24
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -4.59%E -2.69%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.54%EV -8.36%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 14:23
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -5.15%E -3.03%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -8.36%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 14:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -5.15%E -3.03%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -8.36%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 14:24
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -5.15%E -3.03%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -8.36%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 14:24
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -6.27%E -3.73%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -8.36%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -2.85%E -0.714%K -0.951%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 14:34
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -6.27%E -3.73%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -8.36%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -2.85%E -0.714%K -0.951%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 14:34
BetRivers1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -6.83%E -4.09%K -10.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -8.36%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -2.85%E -0.714%K -0.951%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 14:34
TABtouch1.66I 60.24%NM 56.14%EV -7.38%E -4.45%K -11.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -8.36%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.59%EV -4.07%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 14:35
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 56.14%EV -7.38%E -4.45%K -11.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -8.36%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.59%EV -4.07%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 14:35
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 54.49%EV -5.15%E -3.03%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -8.36%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -11.35%E -3.11%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-10 14:24
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -5.15%E -3.03%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -8.36%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -15.00%E -4.29%K -6.00%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-10 14:25
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -5.15%E -3.03%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -8.36%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -15.00%E -4.29%K -6.00%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-10 14:25
Betclic (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.21%EV -9.62%E -5.94%K -15.51%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.01%EV -9.36%E -2.06%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 23.78%EV -6.98%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-10 14:32
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -5.15%E -3.03%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -10.36%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 14:24
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.58%EV -6.83%E -4.09%K -10.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.36%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-10 14:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.02%EV -8.50%E -5.18%K -13.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -10.36%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-10 14:34
LeoVegas1.64I 60.98%NM 56.02%EV -8.50%E -5.18%K -13.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -10.36%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-10 14:34
Virgin Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 56.16%EV -9.62%E -5.94%K -15.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -10.36%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -6.50%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-10 14:34
LiveScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 56.16%EV -9.62%E -5.94%K -15.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -10.36%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -6.50%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-10 14:34
PMU (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.16%EV -9.62%E -5.94%K -15.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -10.36%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -6.50%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-10 14:35
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%EV -9.62%E -5.94%K -15.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -10.36%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -8.93%E -2.38%K -3.25%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-10 14:24
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 53.70%EV -6.83%E -4.09%K -10.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.93%EV -10.36%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -17.43%E -5.13%K -7.26%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-10 14:34
Unibet (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 55.83%EV -10.17%E -6.32%K -16.68%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.20%EV -11.35%E -2.55%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.97%EV -8.93%E -2.38%K -3.25%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-10 14:24
Bet Right1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -6.83%E -4.09%K -10.19%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -12.35%E -2.81%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -7.71%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-10 14:24
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -5.15%E -3.03%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.34%EV -13.74%E -3.17%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -7.71%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-10 14:34
betfred_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 54.61%EV -6.83%E -4.09%K -10.19%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.06%EV -13.74%E -3.17%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.32%EV -8.93%E -2.38%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-10 14:24
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.50%EV -8.50%E -5.18%K -13.28%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -14.34%E -3.33%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-10 14:24
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.19%EV -9.62%E -5.94%K -15.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -16.33%E -3.89%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -7.71%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-10 14:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 52.75%EV -9.62%E -5.94%K -15.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.36%EV -20.32%E -5.08%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.89%EV -19.85%E -6.02%K -8.63%G +0.000%17.0%2026-05-10 14:34
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.98%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.80%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.22%0.4%2026-05-10 14:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.98%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.80%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.22%0.4%2026-05-10 14:34
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.98%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.80%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.22%0.4%2026-05-10 14:35
Matchbook1.78I 56.18%NM 55.98%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.80%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.22%0.4%2026-05-10 14:34
Smarkets1.77I 56.50%NM 56.13%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.40%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.47%0.7%2026-05-10 14:34