مدرسة الاحتمالاتالعربية
Excelsior v FC Volendam
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
Excelsior (المضيف)
التنبؤ 55.79%1.79السعر العادل
EV -3.48%
الأفضلية -2.01%
Kelly -4.77%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.73
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
52.75%55.71%55.79%56.68%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.611.671.681.7362.11%59.73%59.52%57.80%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
FC Volendam (الضيف)
التنبؤ 19.92%5.02السعر العادل
EV +4.19%
الأفضلية +0.801%
Kelly +0.990%
النمو +0.041%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.23
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
18.33%19.84%20.03%21.36%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.004.684.605.2325.00%21.37%21.74%19.12%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
تعادل
التنبؤ 24.29%4.12السعر العادل
EV +2.00%
الأفضلية +0.477%
Kelly +0.626%
النمو +0.013%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.20
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.24%24.45%24.18%26.37%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.303.803.804.2030.30%26.29%26.32%23.81%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (51 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف ▼ | تعادل | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.38%EV -5.15%E -3.03%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 5.23I 19.12%NM 18.33%EV +4.19%E +0.801%K +0.990%G +0.041% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.29%EV -7.95%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-10 14:25 |
| Bovada | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.07%EV -6.27%E -3.73%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV +1.60%E +0.313%K +0.390%G +0.006% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -10.14%E -2.74%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 14:23 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.07%EV -6.27%E -3.73%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV +1.60%E +0.313%K +0.390%G +0.006% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -10.14%E -2.74%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.07%EV -6.27%E -3.73%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV +1.60%E +0.313%K +0.390%G +0.006% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -10.14%E -2.74%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| BetAnything | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.07%EV -6.27%E -3.73%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV +1.60%E +0.313%K +0.390%G +0.006% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -10.14%E -2.74%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| BetUS | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.88%EV -6.27%E -3.73%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.41%EV +1.60%E +0.313%K +0.390%G +0.006% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -11.35%E -3.11%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| 1xBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.81%EV -4.04%E -2.35%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 5.09I 19.65%NM 18.86%EV +1.40%E +0.275%K +0.342%G +0.005% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.33%EV -7.95%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| FanDuel | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.72%EV -5.71%E -3.38%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -0.395%E -0.079%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -10.14%E -2.74%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 14:33 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.68%EV -7.94%E -4.81%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -0.395%E -0.079%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -7.71%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Everygame | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -7.94%E -4.81%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -0.395%E -0.079%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -8.93%E -2.38%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -6.83%E -4.09%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.84%EV -1.39%E -0.281%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.34%EV -10.63%E -2.89%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| DraftKings | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.06%EV -5.71%E -3.38%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.33%EV -2.39%E -0.487%K -0.612%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.61%EV -6.50%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| NordicBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.07%EV -4.04%E -2.35%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.33%EV -2.39%E -0.487%K -0.612%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV -10.14%E -2.74%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Betsson | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.07%EV -4.04%E -2.35%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.33%EV -2.39%E -0.487%K -0.612%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV -10.14%E -2.74%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 14:23 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -3.48%E -2.01%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.34%EV -4.38%E -0.912%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.24%EV +2.00%E +0.477%K +0.626%G +0.013% | 2.4% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Bet Victor | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.42%EV -5.15%E -3.03%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.19%EV -5.38%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.39%EV -0.426%E -0.104%K -0.137%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-10 14:35 |
| Coolbet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.09%EV -5.15%E -3.03%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.07%EV -5.38%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -2.85%E -0.714%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-10 14:25 |
| Fanatics | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.23%EV -5.71%E -3.38%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01%EV -5.38%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -2.85%E -0.714%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| SportsBet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -5.15%E -3.03%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -5.38%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -10.14%E -2.74%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Paddy Power | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.98%EV -7.94%E -4.81%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -5.38%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -15.00%E -4.29%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-10 14:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.97%EV -5.15%E -3.03%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.24%EV -6.37%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -2.85%E -0.714%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.78%EV -5.71%E -3.38%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.06%EV -6.37%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.17%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| BetMGM | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -4.59%E -2.69%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.54%EV -8.36%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-10 14:23 |
| Coral | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -5.15%E -3.03%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -8.36%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 14:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -5.15%E -3.03%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -8.36%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -5.15%E -3.03%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -8.36%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Unibet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -6.27%E -3.73%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -8.36%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -2.85%E -0.714%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Casumo | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -6.27%E -3.73%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -8.36%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -2.85%E -0.714%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| BetRivers | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -6.83%E -4.09%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -8.36%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -2.85%E -0.714%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| TABtouch | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.14%EV -7.38%E -4.45%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -8.36%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.59%EV -4.07%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-10 14:35 |
| Grosvenor | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.14%EV -7.38%E -4.45%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -8.36%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.59%EV -4.07%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-10 14:35 |
| PlayUp | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.49%EV -5.15%E -3.03%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -8.36%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -11.35%E -3.11%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| 888sport | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -5.15%E -3.03%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -8.36%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -15.00%E -4.29%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-10 14:25 |
| William Hill | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -5.15%E -3.03%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -8.36%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -15.00%E -4.29%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-10 14:25 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.21%EV -9.62%E -5.94%K -15.51%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.01%EV -9.36%E -2.06%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 23.78%EV -6.98%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-10 14:32 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -5.15%E -3.03%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -10.36%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.58%EV -6.83%E -4.09%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.36%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.02%EV -8.50%E -5.18%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -10.36%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| LeoVegas | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.02%EV -8.50%E -5.18%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -10.36%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.16%EV -9.62%E -5.94%K -15.51%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -10.36%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -6.50%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.16%EV -9.62%E -5.94%K -15.51%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -10.36%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -6.50%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.16%EV -9.62%E -5.94%K -15.51%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -10.36%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -6.50%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-10 14:35 |
| BoyleSports | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%EV -9.62%E -5.94%K -15.51%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -10.36%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -8.93%E -2.38%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Sky Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.70%EV -6.83%E -4.09%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.93%EV -10.36%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -17.43%E -5.13%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.83%EV -10.17%E -6.32%K -16.68%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.20%EV -11.35%E -2.55%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.97%EV -8.93%E -2.38%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Bet Right | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -6.83%E -4.09%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -12.35%E -2.81%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -7.71%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Betway | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -5.15%E -3.03%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.34%EV -13.74%E -3.17%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -7.71%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| betfred_uk | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.61%EV -6.83%E -4.09%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.06%EV -13.74%E -3.17%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.32%EV -8.93%E -2.38%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.50%EV -8.50%E -5.18%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -14.34%E -3.33%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -5.28%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.19%EV -9.62%E -5.94%K -15.51%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -16.33%E -3.89%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -7.71%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 52.75%EV -9.62%E -5.94%K -15.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.36%EV -20.32%E -5.08%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.89%EV -19.85%E -6.02%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (5)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | تعادل | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.98% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.80% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.22% | 0.4% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.98% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.80% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.22% | 0.4% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.98% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.80% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.22% | 0.4% | 2026-05-10 14:35 |
| Matchbook | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.98% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.80% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.22% | 0.4% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Smarkets | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.13% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.40% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.47% | 0.7% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |