Школа коэффициентов

Toluca v Pachuca

Начало: 2026-05-04 01:15 UTC

Итог: Toluca 0–1 Pachuca

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

53 букмекерские конторы (16 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Toluca (Хозяева)

Прогноз 49.32%2.03справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.84%
Преимущество -1.44%
Kelly -2.93%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.97

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
47.73%49.38%49.44%52.39%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.681.831.831.9759.52%54.54%54.64%50.76%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Pachuca (Гости)

Прогноз 25.06%3.99справедливый коэффициент
EV +5.26%
Преимущество +1.25%
Kelly +1.65%
Рост +0.087%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.20

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
22.66%24.96%25.00%26.62%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.303.783.764.2030.30%26.47%26.60%23.81%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 25.62%3.90справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.087%
Преимущество -0.022%
Kelly -0.030%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.90

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
24.75%25.67%25.56%27.72%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.103.593.603.9032.26%27.89%27.78%25.64%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (53 букмекерские конторы)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
Svenska Spel1.82I 54.95%NM 52.29%EV -10.24%E -5.63%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV +5.26%E +1.25%K +1.65%G +0.087%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.65%E -0.697%K -0.946%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-04 00:40
ATG (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.29%EV -10.24%E -5.63%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV +5.26%E +1.25%K +1.65%G +0.087%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.65%E -0.697%K -0.946%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-04 00:40
Unibet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.39%EV -12.21%E -6.86%K -15.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV +2.76%E +0.673%K +0.890%G +0.025%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -3.93%E -1.05%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-04 00:40
Unibet (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.39%EV -12.21%E -6.86%K -15.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV +2.76%E +0.673%K +0.890%G +0.025%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -3.93%E -1.05%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-04 00:40
Casumo1.78I 56.18%NM 52.39%EV -12.21%E -6.86%K -15.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV +2.76%E +0.673%K +0.890%G +0.025%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -3.93%E -1.05%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-04 00:40
Unibet (NL)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.39%EV -12.21%E -6.86%K -15.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV +2.76%E +0.673%K +0.890%G +0.025%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -3.93%E -1.05%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-04 00:40
Grosvenor1.78I 56.18%NM 52.39%EV -12.21%E -6.86%K -15.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV +2.76%E +0.673%K +0.890%G +0.025%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -3.93%E -1.05%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-04 00:40
betPARX1.78I 56.18%NM 52.39%EV -12.21%E -6.86%K -15.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV +2.76%E +0.673%K +0.890%G +0.025%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -3.93%E -1.05%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-04 00:41
FanDuel1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -7.77%E -4.16%K -8.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV +0.252%E +0.063%K +0.084%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -10.33%E -2.95%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-04 01:05
SportsBet1.86I 53.76%NM 50.09%EV -8.27%E -4.45%K -9.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV +0.252%E +0.063%K +0.084%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -10.33%E -2.95%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-04 01:06
BetRivers1.77I 56.50%NM 52.06%EV -12.71%E -7.18%K -16.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV +0.252%E +0.063%K +0.084%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -5.21%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-04 00:40
TABtouch1.76I 56.82%NM 52.20%EV -13.20%E -7.50%K -17.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV +0.252%E +0.063%K +0.084%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -5.21%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-04 00:40
LiveScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 52.31%EV -14.19%E -8.15%K -19.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV +0.252%E +0.063%K +0.084%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -6.49%E -1.78%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-04 00:41
LeoVegas (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.31%EV -14.19%E -8.15%K -19.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV +0.252%E +0.063%K +0.084%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -6.49%E -1.78%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-04 00:40
1xBet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.87%EV -6.79%E -3.59%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 24.10%EV +0.002%E +0.000%K +0.001%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 25.04%EV -1.62%E -0.423%K -0.572%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-04 01:06
Pinnacle1.93I 51.81%NM 50.05%EV -4.82%E -2.50%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.33%EV -0.500%E -0.126%K -0.168%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.62%EV -3.42%E -0.907%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-04 01:00
BetOnline.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 50.81%EV -6.30%E -3.31%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.44%EV -1.00%E -0.253%K -0.339%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.75%EV -0.087%E -0.022%K -0.030%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-04 00:45
LowVig.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 50.81%EV -6.30%E -3.31%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.44%EV -1.00%E -0.253%K -0.339%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.75%EV -0.087%E -0.022%K -0.030%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-04 00:40
Virgin Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 52.27%EV -15.17%E -8.82%K -21.07%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.76%EV -1.00%E -0.253%K -0.339%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -7.77%E -2.16%K -2.99%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-04 00:40
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 52.37%EV -17.15%E -10.21%K -25.21%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.85%EV -3.51%E -0.911%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.78%EV -9.05%E -2.55%K -3.55%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-04 00:41
PMU (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 52.37%EV -17.15%E -10.21%K -25.21%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.85%EV -3.51%E -0.911%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.78%EV -9.05%E -2.55%K -3.55%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-04 00:40
Marathon Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.12%EV -8.76%E -4.74%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.27%EV -4.26%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.61%EV -7.26%E -2.01%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-04 01:09
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.53%EV -5.80%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -4.76%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -5.21%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-04 01:00
Bet Victor1.87I 53.48%NM 50.06%EV -7.77%E -4.16%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -4.76%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -5.21%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-04 01:11
BetUS1.85I 54.05%NM 49.80%EV -8.76%E -4.74%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -4.76%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -9.05%E -2.55%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-04 01:10
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 49.51%EV -9.75%E -5.33%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -4.76%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -12.90%E -3.79%K -5.37%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-04 01:00
GTbets1.96I 51.02%NM 48.82%EV -3.34%E -1.70%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.45%EV -5.76%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.72%EV -4.70%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-04 00:36
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 49.55%EV -7.77%E -4.16%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -6.01%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.77%E -2.16%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-04 01:10
PlayUp1.88I 53.19%NM 49.24%EV -7.28%E -3.87%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -6.01%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -9.05%E -2.55%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-04 01:06
Bovada1.86I 53.76%NM 49.51%EV -8.27%E -4.45%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -6.01%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -9.05%E -2.55%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-04 01:00
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 49.91%EV -9.75%E -5.33%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -6.01%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.73%EV -9.05%E -2.55%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-04 01:10
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 49.54%EV -9.75%E -5.33%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.18%EV -6.01%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.28%EV -11.62%E -3.37%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-04 00:50
Sky Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 48.96%EV -9.75%E -5.33%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -6.01%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -15.46%E -4.68%K -6.72%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-04 01:00
Coolbet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.26%EV -2.84%E -1.44%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -7.27%E -1.96%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%EV -6.49%E -1.78%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-04 00:41
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -7.28%E -3.87%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -7.27%E -1.96%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -5.21%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-04 01:06
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -7.28%E -3.87%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -7.27%E -1.96%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -5.21%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-04 01:10
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.80%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -9.77%E -2.71%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.77%E -2.16%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-04 00:51
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.80%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -9.77%E -2.71%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.77%E -2.16%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-04 00:51
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -5.80%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.77%E -2.71%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -10.33%E -2.95%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-04 00:31
Bet Right1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -7.28%E -3.87%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -11.03%E -3.11%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -7.77%E -2.16%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-04 00:55
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -9.75%E -5.33%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -12.28%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -10.33%E -2.95%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-04 00:56
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 48.52%EV -9.75%E -5.33%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -12.28%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -12.90%E -3.79%K -5.37%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-04 00:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.52%EV -9.75%E -5.33%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -12.28%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -12.90%E -3.79%K -5.37%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-04 00:55
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -8.76%E -4.74%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -12.28%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -15.46%E -4.68%K -6.72%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-04 01:10
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -8.76%E -4.74%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -12.28%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -15.46%E -4.68%K -6.72%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-04 01:10
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -8.76%E -4.74%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -12.28%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -15.46%E -4.68%K -6.72%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-04 01:10
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -8.76%E -4.74%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -12.28%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -15.46%E -4.68%K -6.72%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-04 01:06
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 47.73%EV -11.23%E -6.24%K -14.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.55%EV -12.28%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.72%EV -20.58%E -6.64%K -9.80%G +0.000%16.4%2026-05-04 01:00
Winamax (DE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.54%EV -7.28%E -3.87%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -13.53%E -3.92%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -6.49%E -1.78%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-04 00:51
Unibet (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 49.39%EV -12.21%E -6.86%K -15.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.48%EV -13.53%E -3.92%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.12%EV -10.33%E -2.95%K -4.13%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-04 00:50
Betclic (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.68%EV -11.23%E -6.24%K -14.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.77%EV -14.79%E -4.35%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 25.55%EV -12.13%E -3.54%K -4.99%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-04 00:49
NetBet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.56%EV -14.68%E -8.49%K -20.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.22%EV -14.79%E -4.35%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.22%EV -12.90%E -3.79%K -5.37%G +0.000%16.6%2026-05-04 01:10
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 48.27%EV -10.24%E -5.63%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -17.29%E -5.24%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.10%EV -10.33%E -2.95%K -4.13%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-04 00:51
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Matchbook1.97I 50.76%NM 50.59%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.18%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.23%0.3%2026-05-04 01:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.54%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42%0.9%2026-05-04 01:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.54%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42%0.9%2026-05-04 01:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.54%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42%0.9%2026-05-04 01:05
Smarkets1.95I 51.28%NM 50.22%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.32%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.47%2.1%2026-05-04 01:10
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 50.54%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.26%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.20%3.1%2026-05-04 01:00