Die Schule der Quoten

Toluca v Pachuca

Spielbeginn: 2026-05-04 01:15 UTC

Endstand: Toluca 0–1 Pachuca

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

53 Wettanbieter (16 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Toluca (Heim)

Prognose 49.32%2.03faire Quote
EV -2.84%
Vorteil -1.44%
Kelly -2.93%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.97

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
47.73%49.38%49.44%52.39%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.681.831.831.9759.52%54.54%54.64%50.76%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Pachuca (Auswärts)

Prognose 25.06%3.99faire Quote
EV +5.26%
Vorteil +1.25%
Kelly +1.65%
Wachstum +0.087%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.20

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
22.66%24.96%25.00%26.62%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.303.783.764.2030.30%26.47%26.60%23.81%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 25.62%3.90faire Quote
EV -0.087%
Vorteil -0.022%
Kelly -0.030%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.90

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
24.75%25.67%25.56%27.72%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.103.593.603.9032.26%27.89%27.78%25.64%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (53 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Svenska Spel1.82I 54.95%NM 52.29%EV -10.24%E -5.63%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV +5.26%E +1.25%K +1.65%G +0.087%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.65%E -0.697%K -0.946%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-04 00:40
ATG (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.29%EV -10.24%E -5.63%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV +5.26%E +1.25%K +1.65%G +0.087%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.65%E -0.697%K -0.946%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-04 00:40
Unibet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.39%EV -12.21%E -6.86%K -15.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV +2.76%E +0.673%K +0.890%G +0.025%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -3.93%E -1.05%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-04 00:40
Unibet (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.39%EV -12.21%E -6.86%K -15.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV +2.76%E +0.673%K +0.890%G +0.025%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -3.93%E -1.05%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-04 00:40
Casumo1.78I 56.18%NM 52.39%EV -12.21%E -6.86%K -15.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV +2.76%E +0.673%K +0.890%G +0.025%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -3.93%E -1.05%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-04 00:40
Unibet (NL)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.39%EV -12.21%E -6.86%K -15.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV +2.76%E +0.673%K +0.890%G +0.025%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -3.93%E -1.05%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-04 00:40
Grosvenor1.78I 56.18%NM 52.39%EV -12.21%E -6.86%K -15.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV +2.76%E +0.673%K +0.890%G +0.025%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -3.93%E -1.05%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-04 00:40
betPARX1.78I 56.18%NM 52.39%EV -12.21%E -6.86%K -15.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV +2.76%E +0.673%K +0.890%G +0.025%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -3.93%E -1.05%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-04 00:41
FanDuel1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -7.77%E -4.16%K -8.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV +0.252%E +0.063%K +0.084%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -10.33%E -2.95%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-04 01:05
SportsBet1.86I 53.76%NM 50.09%EV -8.27%E -4.45%K -9.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV +0.252%E +0.063%K +0.084%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -10.33%E -2.95%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-04 01:06
BetRivers1.77I 56.50%NM 52.06%EV -12.71%E -7.18%K -16.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV +0.252%E +0.063%K +0.084%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -5.21%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-04 00:40
TABtouch1.76I 56.82%NM 52.20%EV -13.20%E -7.50%K -17.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV +0.252%E +0.063%K +0.084%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -5.21%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-04 00:40
LiveScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 52.31%EV -14.19%E -8.15%K -19.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV +0.252%E +0.063%K +0.084%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -6.49%E -1.78%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-04 00:41
LeoVegas (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.31%EV -14.19%E -8.15%K -19.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV +0.252%E +0.063%K +0.084%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -6.49%E -1.78%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-04 00:40
1xBet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.87%EV -6.79%E -3.59%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 24.10%EV +0.002%E +0.000%K +0.001%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 25.04%EV -1.62%E -0.423%K -0.572%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-04 01:06
Pinnacle1.93I 51.81%NM 50.05%EV -4.82%E -2.50%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.33%EV -0.500%E -0.126%K -0.168%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.62%EV -3.42%E -0.907%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-04 01:00
BetOnline.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 50.81%EV -6.30%E -3.31%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.44%EV -1.00%E -0.253%K -0.339%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.75%EV -0.087%E -0.022%K -0.030%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-04 00:45
LowVig.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 50.81%EV -6.30%E -3.31%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.44%EV -1.00%E -0.253%K -0.339%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.75%EV -0.087%E -0.022%K -0.030%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-04 00:40
Virgin Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 52.27%EV -15.17%E -8.82%K -21.07%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.76%EV -1.00%E -0.253%K -0.339%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -7.77%E -2.16%K -2.99%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-04 00:40
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 52.37%EV -17.15%E -10.21%K -25.21%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.85%EV -3.51%E -0.911%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.78%EV -9.05%E -2.55%K -3.55%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-04 00:41
PMU (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 52.37%EV -17.15%E -10.21%K -25.21%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.85%EV -3.51%E -0.911%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.78%EV -9.05%E -2.55%K -3.55%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-04 00:40
Marathon Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.12%EV -8.76%E -4.74%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.27%EV -4.26%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.61%EV -7.26%E -2.01%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-04 01:09
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.53%EV -5.80%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -4.76%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -5.21%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-04 01:00
Bet Victor1.87I 53.48%NM 50.06%EV -7.77%E -4.16%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -4.76%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -5.21%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-04 01:11
BetUS1.85I 54.05%NM 49.80%EV -8.76%E -4.74%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -4.76%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -9.05%E -2.55%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-04 01:10
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 49.51%EV -9.75%E -5.33%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -4.76%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -12.90%E -3.79%K -5.37%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-04 01:00
GTbets1.96I 51.02%NM 48.82%EV -3.34%E -1.70%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.45%EV -5.76%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.72%EV -4.70%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-04 00:36
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 49.55%EV -7.77%E -4.16%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -6.01%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.77%E -2.16%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-04 01:10
PlayUp1.88I 53.19%NM 49.24%EV -7.28%E -3.87%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -6.01%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -9.05%E -2.55%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-04 01:06
Bovada1.86I 53.76%NM 49.51%EV -8.27%E -4.45%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -6.01%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -9.05%E -2.55%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-04 01:00
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 49.91%EV -9.75%E -5.33%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -6.01%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.73%EV -9.05%E -2.55%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-04 01:10
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 49.54%EV -9.75%E -5.33%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.18%EV -6.01%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.28%EV -11.62%E -3.37%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-04 00:50
Sky Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 48.96%EV -9.75%E -5.33%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -6.01%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -15.46%E -4.68%K -6.72%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-04 01:00
Coolbet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.26%EV -2.84%E -1.44%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -7.27%E -1.96%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%EV -6.49%E -1.78%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-04 00:41
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -7.28%E -3.87%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -7.27%E -1.96%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -5.21%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-04 01:06
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -7.28%E -3.87%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -7.27%E -1.96%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -5.21%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-04 01:10
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.80%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -9.77%E -2.71%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.77%E -2.16%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-04 00:51
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.80%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -9.77%E -2.71%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.77%E -2.16%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-04 00:51
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -5.80%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.77%E -2.71%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -10.33%E -2.95%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-04 00:31
Bet Right1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -7.28%E -3.87%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -11.03%E -3.11%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -7.77%E -2.16%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-04 00:55
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -9.75%E -5.33%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -12.28%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -10.33%E -2.95%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-04 00:56
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 48.52%EV -9.75%E -5.33%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -12.28%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -12.90%E -3.79%K -5.37%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-04 00:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.52%EV -9.75%E -5.33%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -12.28%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -12.90%E -3.79%K -5.37%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-04 00:55
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -8.76%E -4.74%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -12.28%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -15.46%E -4.68%K -6.72%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-04 01:10
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -8.76%E -4.74%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -12.28%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -15.46%E -4.68%K -6.72%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-04 01:10
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -8.76%E -4.74%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -12.28%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -15.46%E -4.68%K -6.72%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-04 01:10
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -8.76%E -4.74%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -12.28%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -15.46%E -4.68%K -6.72%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-04 01:06
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 47.73%EV -11.23%E -6.24%K -14.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.55%EV -12.28%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.72%EV -20.58%E -6.64%K -9.80%G +0.000%16.4%2026-05-04 01:00
Winamax (DE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.54%EV -7.28%E -3.87%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -13.53%E -3.92%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -6.49%E -1.78%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-04 00:51
Unibet (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 49.39%EV -12.21%E -6.86%K -15.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.48%EV -13.53%E -3.92%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.12%EV -10.33%E -2.95%K -4.13%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-04 00:50
Betclic (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.68%EV -11.23%E -6.24%K -14.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.77%EV -14.79%E -4.35%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 25.55%EV -12.13%E -3.54%K -4.99%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-04 00:49
NetBet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.56%EV -14.68%E -8.49%K -20.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.22%EV -14.79%E -4.35%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.22%EV -12.90%E -3.79%K -5.37%G +0.000%16.6%2026-05-04 01:10
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 48.27%EV -10.24%E -5.63%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -17.29%E -5.24%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.10%EV -10.33%E -2.95%K -4.13%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-04 00:51
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook1.97I 50.76%NM 50.59%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.18%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.23%0.3%2026-05-04 01:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.54%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42%0.9%2026-05-04 01:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.54%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42%0.9%2026-05-04 01:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.54%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42%0.9%2026-05-04 01:05
Smarkets1.95I 51.28%NM 50.22%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.32%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.47%2.1%2026-05-04 01:10
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 50.54%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.26%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.20%3.1%2026-05-04 01:00