La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Toluca v Pachuca
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Toluca (Casa)
Previsione 49.32%2.03quota equa
EV -2.84%
Vantaggio -1.44%
Kelly -2.93%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.97
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
47.73%49.38%49.44%52.39%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.681.831.831.9759.52%54.54%54.64%50.76%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pachuca (Trasferta)
Previsione 25.06%3.99quota equa
EV +5.26%
Vantaggio +1.25%
Kelly +1.65%
Crescita +0.087%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.20
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.66%24.96%25.00%26.62%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.303.783.764.2030.30%26.47%26.60%23.81%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 25.62%3.90quota equa
EV -0.087%
Vantaggio -0.022%
Kelly -0.030%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.90
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.75%25.67%25.56%27.72%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.593.603.9032.26%27.89%27.78%25.64%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (53 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.29%EV -10.24%E -5.63%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV +5.26%E +1.25%K +1.65%G +0.087% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.65%E -0.697%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-04 00:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.29%EV -10.24%E -5.63%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV +5.26%E +1.25%K +1.65%G +0.087% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.65%E -0.697%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-04 00:40 |
| Unibet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.39%EV -12.21%E -6.86%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV +2.76%E +0.673%K +0.890%G +0.025% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -3.93%E -1.05%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-04 00:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.39%EV -12.21%E -6.86%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV +2.76%E +0.673%K +0.890%G +0.025% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -3.93%E -1.05%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-04 00:40 |
| Casumo | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.39%EV -12.21%E -6.86%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV +2.76%E +0.673%K +0.890%G +0.025% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -3.93%E -1.05%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-04 00:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.39%EV -12.21%E -6.86%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV +2.76%E +0.673%K +0.890%G +0.025% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -3.93%E -1.05%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-04 00:40 |
| Grosvenor | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.39%EV -12.21%E -6.86%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV +2.76%E +0.673%K +0.890%G +0.025% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -3.93%E -1.05%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-04 00:40 |
| betPARX | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.39%EV -12.21%E -6.86%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV +2.76%E +0.673%K +0.890%G +0.025% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -3.93%E -1.05%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-04 00:41 |
| FanDuel | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -7.77%E -4.16%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV +0.252%E +0.063%K +0.084%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -10.33%E -2.95%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-04 01:05 |
| SportsBet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.09%EV -8.27%E -4.45%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV +0.252%E +0.063%K +0.084%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -10.33%E -2.95%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-04 01:06 |
| BetRivers | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.06%EV -12.71%E -7.18%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV +0.252%E +0.063%K +0.084%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -5.21%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-04 00:40 |
| TABtouch | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.20%EV -13.20%E -7.50%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV +0.252%E +0.063%K +0.084%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -5.21%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-04 00:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.31%EV -14.19%E -8.15%K -19.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV +0.252%E +0.063%K +0.084%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -6.49%E -1.78%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-04 00:41 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.31%EV -14.19%E -8.15%K -19.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV +0.252%E +0.063%K +0.084%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -6.49%E -1.78%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-04 00:40 |
| 1xBet | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.87%EV -6.79%E -3.59%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.99I 25.06%NM 24.10%EV +0.002%E +0.000%K +0.001%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 25.04%EV -1.62%E -0.423%K -0.572%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-04 01:06 |
| Pinnacle | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.05%EV -4.82%E -2.50%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 24.33%EV -0.500%E -0.126%K -0.168%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.62%EV -3.42%E -0.907%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-04 01:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.81%EV -6.30%E -3.31%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.44%EV -1.00%E -0.253%K -0.339%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.75%EV -0.087%E -0.022%K -0.030%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-04 00:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.81%EV -6.30%E -3.31%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.44%EV -1.00%E -0.253%K -0.339%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.75%EV -0.087%E -0.022%K -0.030%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-04 00:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.27%EV -15.17%E -8.82%K -21.07%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.76%EV -1.00%E -0.253%K -0.339%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -7.77%E -2.16%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-04 00:40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.37%EV -17.15%E -10.21%K -25.21%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.85%EV -3.51%E -0.911%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.78%EV -9.05%E -2.55%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-04 00:41 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.37%EV -17.15%E -10.21%K -25.21%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.85%EV -3.51%E -0.911%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.78%EV -9.05%E -2.55%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-04 00:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.12%EV -8.76%E -4.74%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.27%EV -4.26%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.61%EV -7.26%E -2.01%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-04 01:09 |
| DraftKings | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.53%EV -5.80%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -4.76%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -5.21%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-04 01:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.06%EV -7.77%E -4.16%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -4.76%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -5.21%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-04 01:11 |
| BetUS | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.80%EV -8.76%E -4.74%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -4.76%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -9.05%E -2.55%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-04 01:10 |
| Paddy Power | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.51%EV -9.75%E -5.33%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -4.76%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -12.90%E -3.79%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-04 01:00 |
| GTbets | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.82%EV -3.34%E -1.70%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.45%EV -5.76%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.72%EV -4.70%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-04 00:36 |
| BetMGM | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.55%EV -7.77%E -4.16%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -6.01%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.77%E -2.16%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-04 01:10 |
| PlayUp | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.24%EV -7.28%E -3.87%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -6.01%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -9.05%E -2.55%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-04 01:06 |
| Bovada | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.51%EV -8.27%E -4.45%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -6.01%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -9.05%E -2.55%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-04 01:00 |
| Fliff | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.91%EV -9.75%E -5.33%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -6.01%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.73%EV -9.05%E -2.55%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-04 01:10 |
| Everygame | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.54%EV -9.75%E -5.33%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.18%EV -6.01%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.28%EV -11.62%E -3.37%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-04 00:50 |
| Sky Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.96%EV -9.75%E -5.33%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -6.01%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -15.46%E -4.68%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-04 01:00 |
| Coolbet | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.26%EV -2.84%E -1.44%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -7.27%E -1.96%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%EV -6.49%E -1.78%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-04 00:41 |
| NordicBet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -7.28%E -3.87%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -7.27%E -1.96%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -5.21%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-04 01:06 |
| Betsson | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -7.28%E -3.87%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -7.27%E -1.96%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -5.21%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-04 01:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.80%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -9.77%E -2.71%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.77%E -2.16%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-04 00:51 |
| Betway | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.80%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -9.77%E -2.71%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.77%E -2.16%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-04 00:51 |
| Fanatics | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -5.80%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.77%E -2.71%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -10.33%E -2.95%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-04 00:31 |
| Bet Right | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -7.28%E -3.87%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -11.03%E -3.11%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -7.77%E -2.16%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-04 00:55 |
| betfred_uk | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -9.75%E -5.33%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -12.28%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -10.33%E -2.95%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-04 00:56 |
| Coral | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.52%EV -9.75%E -5.33%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -12.28%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -12.90%E -3.79%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-04 00:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.52%EV -9.75%E -5.33%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -12.28%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -12.90%E -3.79%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-04 00:55 |
| 888sport | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -8.76%E -4.74%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -12.28%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -15.46%E -4.68%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-04 01:10 |
| William Hill | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -8.76%E -4.74%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -12.28%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -15.46%E -4.68%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-04 01:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -8.76%E -4.74%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -12.28%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -15.46%E -4.68%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-04 01:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -8.76%E -4.74%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -12.28%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -15.46%E -4.68%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-04 01:06 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 47.73%EV -11.23%E -6.24%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.55%EV -12.28%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.72%EV -20.58%E -6.64%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-05-04 01:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.54%EV -7.28%E -3.87%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -13.53%E -3.92%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -6.49%E -1.78%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-04 00:51 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.39%EV -12.21%E -6.86%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.48%EV -13.53%E -3.92%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.12%EV -10.33%E -2.95%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-04 00:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.68%EV -11.23%E -6.24%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.77%EV -14.79%E -4.35%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 25.55%EV -12.13%E -3.54%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-04 00:49 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.56%EV -14.68%E -8.49%K -20.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.22%EV -14.79%E -4.35%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.22%EV -12.90%E -3.79%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-05-04 01:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.27%EV -10.24%E -5.63%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -17.29%E -5.24%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.10%EV -10.33%E -2.95%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-04 00:51 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.59% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.18% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.23% | 0.3% | 2026-05-04 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.54% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42% | 0.9% | 2026-05-04 01:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.54% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42% | 0.9% | 2026-05-04 01:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.54% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42% | 0.9% | 2026-05-04 01:05 |
| Smarkets | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.22% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.32% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.47% | 2.1% | 2026-05-04 01:10 |
| Kalshi | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.54% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.26% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.20% | 3.1% | 2026-05-04 01:00 |