L’École des cotesToluca v Pachuca
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Toluca (Local)
Prévision 49.32%2.03cote équitable
EV -2.84%
Avantage -1.44%
Kelly -2.93%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.97
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.73%49.38%49.44%52.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.681.831.831.9759.52%54.54%54.64%50.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Pachuca (Visiteur)
Prévision 25.06%3.99cote équitable
EV +5.26%
Avantage +1.25%
Kelly +1.65%
Croissance +0.087%
avec la cote maximale 4.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.66%24.96%25.00%26.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.783.764.2030.30%26.47%26.60%23.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 25.62%3.90cote équitable
EV -0.087%
Avantage -0.022%
Kelly -0.030%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.90
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.75%25.67%25.56%27.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.593.603.9032.26%27.89%27.78%25.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.29%EV -10.24%E -5.63%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV +5.26%E +1.25%K +1.65%G +0.087% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.65%E -0.697%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-04 00:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.29%EV -10.24%E -5.63%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV +5.26%E +1.25%K +1.65%G +0.087% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.65%E -0.697%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-04 00:40 |
| Unibet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.39%EV -12.21%E -6.86%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV +2.76%E +0.673%K +0.890%G +0.025% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -3.93%E -1.05%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-04 00:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.39%EV -12.21%E -6.86%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV +2.76%E +0.673%K +0.890%G +0.025% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -3.93%E -1.05%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-04 00:40 |
| Casumo | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.39%EV -12.21%E -6.86%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV +2.76%E +0.673%K +0.890%G +0.025% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -3.93%E -1.05%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-04 00:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.39%EV -12.21%E -6.86%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV +2.76%E +0.673%K +0.890%G +0.025% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -3.93%E -1.05%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-04 00:40 |
| Grosvenor | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.39%EV -12.21%E -6.86%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV +2.76%E +0.673%K +0.890%G +0.025% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -3.93%E -1.05%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-04 00:40 |
| betPARX | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.39%EV -12.21%E -6.86%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV +2.76%E +0.673%K +0.890%G +0.025% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -3.93%E -1.05%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-04 00:41 |
| FanDuel | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -7.77%E -4.16%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV +0.252%E +0.063%K +0.084%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -10.33%E -2.95%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-04 01:05 |
| SportsBet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.09%EV -8.27%E -4.45%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV +0.252%E +0.063%K +0.084%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -10.33%E -2.95%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-04 01:06 |
| BetRivers | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.06%EV -12.71%E -7.18%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV +0.252%E +0.063%K +0.084%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -5.21%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-04 00:40 |
| TABtouch | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.20%EV -13.20%E -7.50%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV +0.252%E +0.063%K +0.084%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -5.21%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-04 00:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.31%EV -14.19%E -8.15%K -19.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV +0.252%E +0.063%K +0.084%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -6.49%E -1.78%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-04 00:41 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.31%EV -14.19%E -8.15%K -19.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV +0.252%E +0.063%K +0.084%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -6.49%E -1.78%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-04 00:40 |
| 1xBet | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.87%EV -6.79%E -3.59%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.99I 25.06%NM 24.10%EV +0.002%E +0.000%K +0.001%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 25.04%EV -1.62%E -0.423%K -0.572%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-04 01:06 |
| Pinnacle | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.05%EV -4.82%E -2.50%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 24.33%EV -0.500%E -0.126%K -0.168%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.62%EV -3.42%E -0.907%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-04 01:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.81%EV -6.30%E -3.31%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.44%EV -1.00%E -0.253%K -0.339%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.75%EV -0.087%E -0.022%K -0.030%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-04 00:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.81%EV -6.30%E -3.31%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.44%EV -1.00%E -0.253%K -0.339%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.75%EV -0.087%E -0.022%K -0.030%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-04 00:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.27%EV -15.17%E -8.82%K -21.07%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.76%EV -1.00%E -0.253%K -0.339%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -7.77%E -2.16%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-04 00:40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.37%EV -17.15%E -10.21%K -25.21%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.85%EV -3.51%E -0.911%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.78%EV -9.05%E -2.55%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-04 00:41 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.37%EV -17.15%E -10.21%K -25.21%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.85%EV -3.51%E -0.911%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.78%EV -9.05%E -2.55%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-04 00:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.12%EV -8.76%E -4.74%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.27%EV -4.26%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.61%EV -7.26%E -2.01%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-04 01:09 |
| DraftKings | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.53%EV -5.80%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -4.76%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -5.21%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-04 01:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.06%EV -7.77%E -4.16%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -4.76%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -5.21%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-04 01:11 |
| BetUS | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.80%EV -8.76%E -4.74%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -4.76%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -9.05%E -2.55%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-04 01:10 |
| Paddy Power | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.51%EV -9.75%E -5.33%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -4.76%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -12.90%E -3.79%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-04 01:00 |
| GTbets | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.82%EV -3.34%E -1.70%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.45%EV -5.76%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.72%EV -4.70%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-04 00:36 |
| BetMGM | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.55%EV -7.77%E -4.16%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -6.01%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.77%E -2.16%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-04 01:10 |
| PlayUp | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.24%EV -7.28%E -3.87%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -6.01%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -9.05%E -2.55%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-04 01:06 |
| Bovada | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.51%EV -8.27%E -4.45%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -6.01%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -9.05%E -2.55%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-04 01:00 |
| Fliff | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.91%EV -9.75%E -5.33%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -6.01%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.73%EV -9.05%E -2.55%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-04 01:10 |
| Everygame | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.54%EV -9.75%E -5.33%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.18%EV -6.01%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.28%EV -11.62%E -3.37%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-04 00:50 |
| Sky Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.96%EV -9.75%E -5.33%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -6.01%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -15.46%E -4.68%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-04 01:00 |
| Coolbet | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.26%EV -2.84%E -1.44%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -7.27%E -1.96%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%EV -6.49%E -1.78%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-04 00:41 |
| NordicBet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -7.28%E -3.87%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -7.27%E -1.96%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -5.21%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-04 01:06 |
| Betsson | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -7.28%E -3.87%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -7.27%E -1.96%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -5.21%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-04 01:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.80%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -9.77%E -2.71%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.77%E -2.16%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-04 00:51 |
| Betway | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.80%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -9.77%E -2.71%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.77%E -2.16%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-04 00:51 |
| Fanatics | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -5.80%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.77%E -2.71%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -10.33%E -2.95%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-04 00:31 |
| Bet Right | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -7.28%E -3.87%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -11.03%E -3.11%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -7.77%E -2.16%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-04 00:55 |
| betfred_uk | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -9.75%E -5.33%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -12.28%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -10.33%E -2.95%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-04 00:56 |
| Coral | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.52%EV -9.75%E -5.33%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -12.28%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -12.90%E -3.79%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-04 00:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.52%EV -9.75%E -5.33%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -12.28%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -12.90%E -3.79%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-04 00:55 |
| 888sport | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -8.76%E -4.74%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -12.28%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -15.46%E -4.68%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-04 01:10 |
| William Hill | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -8.76%E -4.74%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -12.28%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -15.46%E -4.68%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-04 01:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -8.76%E -4.74%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -12.28%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -15.46%E -4.68%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-04 01:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -8.76%E -4.74%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -12.28%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -15.46%E -4.68%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-04 01:06 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 47.73%EV -11.23%E -6.24%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.55%EV -12.28%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.72%EV -20.58%E -6.64%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-05-04 01:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.54%EV -7.28%E -3.87%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -13.53%E -3.92%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -6.49%E -1.78%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-04 00:51 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.39%EV -12.21%E -6.86%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.48%EV -13.53%E -3.92%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.12%EV -10.33%E -2.95%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-04 00:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.68%EV -11.23%E -6.24%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.77%EV -14.79%E -4.35%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 25.55%EV -12.13%E -3.54%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-04 00:49 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.56%EV -14.68%E -8.49%K -20.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.22%EV -14.79%E -4.35%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.22%EV -12.90%E -3.79%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-05-04 01:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.27%EV -10.24%E -5.63%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -17.29%E -5.24%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.10%EV -10.33%E -2.95%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-04 00:51 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.59% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.18% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.23% | 0.3% | 2026-05-04 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.54% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42% | 0.9% | 2026-05-04 01:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.54% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42% | 0.9% | 2026-05-04 01:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.54% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42% | 0.9% | 2026-05-04 01:05 |
| Smarkets | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.22% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.32% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.47% | 2.1% | 2026-05-04 01:10 |
| Kalshi | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.54% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.26% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.20% | 3.1% | 2026-05-04 01:00 |