Szkoła Kursów

Toluca v Pachuca

Początek: 2026-05-04 01:15 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Toluca 0–1 Pachuca

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

53 bukmacherów (16 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Toluca (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 49.32%2.03kurs godziwy
EV -2.84%
Przewaga -1.44%
Kelly -2.93%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.97

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
47.73%49.38%49.44%52.39%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.681.831.831.9759.52%54.54%54.64%50.76%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Pachuca (Goście)

Prognoza 25.06%3.99kurs godziwy
EV +5.26%
Przewaga +1.25%
Kelly +1.65%
Wzrost +0.087%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.20

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
22.66%24.96%25.00%26.62%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.303.783.764.2030.30%26.47%26.60%23.81%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 25.62%3.90kurs godziwy
EV -0.087%
Przewaga -0.022%
Kelly -0.030%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.90

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
24.75%25.67%25.56%27.72%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.103.593.603.9032.26%27.89%27.78%25.64%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (53 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼RemisMarżaAktualizacja
Svenska Spel1.82I 54.95%NM 52.29%EV -10.24%E -5.63%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV +5.26%E +1.25%K +1.65%G +0.087%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.65%E -0.697%K -0.946%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-04 00:40
ATG (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.29%EV -10.24%E -5.63%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV +5.26%E +1.25%K +1.65%G +0.087%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.65%E -0.697%K -0.946%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-04 00:40
Unibet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.39%EV -12.21%E -6.86%K -15.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV +2.76%E +0.673%K +0.890%G +0.025%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -3.93%E -1.05%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-04 00:40
Unibet (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.39%EV -12.21%E -6.86%K -15.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV +2.76%E +0.673%K +0.890%G +0.025%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -3.93%E -1.05%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-04 00:40
Casumo1.78I 56.18%NM 52.39%EV -12.21%E -6.86%K -15.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV +2.76%E +0.673%K +0.890%G +0.025%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -3.93%E -1.05%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-04 00:40
Unibet (NL)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.39%EV -12.21%E -6.86%K -15.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV +2.76%E +0.673%K +0.890%G +0.025%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -3.93%E -1.05%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-04 00:40
Grosvenor1.78I 56.18%NM 52.39%EV -12.21%E -6.86%K -15.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV +2.76%E +0.673%K +0.890%G +0.025%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -3.93%E -1.05%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-04 00:40
betPARX1.78I 56.18%NM 52.39%EV -12.21%E -6.86%K -15.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV +2.76%E +0.673%K +0.890%G +0.025%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -3.93%E -1.05%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-04 00:41
FanDuel1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -7.77%E -4.16%K -8.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV +0.252%E +0.063%K +0.084%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -10.33%E -2.95%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-04 01:05
SportsBet1.86I 53.76%NM 50.09%EV -8.27%E -4.45%K -9.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV +0.252%E +0.063%K +0.084%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -10.33%E -2.95%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-04 01:06
BetRivers1.77I 56.50%NM 52.06%EV -12.71%E -7.18%K -16.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV +0.252%E +0.063%K +0.084%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -5.21%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-04 00:40
TABtouch1.76I 56.82%NM 52.20%EV -13.20%E -7.50%K -17.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV +0.252%E +0.063%K +0.084%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -5.21%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-04 00:40
LiveScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 52.31%EV -14.19%E -8.15%K -19.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV +0.252%E +0.063%K +0.084%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -6.49%E -1.78%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-04 00:41
LeoVegas (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.31%EV -14.19%E -8.15%K -19.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV +0.252%E +0.063%K +0.084%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -6.49%E -1.78%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-04 00:40
1xBet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.87%EV -6.79%E -3.59%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 24.10%EV +0.002%E +0.000%K +0.001%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 25.04%EV -1.62%E -0.423%K -0.572%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-04 01:06
Pinnacle1.93I 51.81%NM 50.05%EV -4.82%E -2.50%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.33%EV -0.500%E -0.126%K -0.168%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.62%EV -3.42%E -0.907%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-04 01:00
BetOnline.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 50.81%EV -6.30%E -3.31%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.44%EV -1.00%E -0.253%K -0.339%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.75%EV -0.087%E -0.022%K -0.030%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-04 00:45
LowVig.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 50.81%EV -6.30%E -3.31%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.44%EV -1.00%E -0.253%K -0.339%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.75%EV -0.087%E -0.022%K -0.030%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-04 00:40
Virgin Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 52.27%EV -15.17%E -8.82%K -21.07%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.76%EV -1.00%E -0.253%K -0.339%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -7.77%E -2.16%K -2.99%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-04 00:40
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 52.37%EV -17.15%E -10.21%K -25.21%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.85%EV -3.51%E -0.911%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.78%EV -9.05%E -2.55%K -3.55%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-04 00:41
PMU (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 52.37%EV -17.15%E -10.21%K -25.21%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.85%EV -3.51%E -0.911%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.78%EV -9.05%E -2.55%K -3.55%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-04 00:40
Marathon Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.12%EV -8.76%E -4.74%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.27%EV -4.26%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.61%EV -7.26%E -2.01%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-04 01:09
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.53%EV -5.80%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -4.76%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -5.21%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-04 01:00
Bet Victor1.87I 53.48%NM 50.06%EV -7.77%E -4.16%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -4.76%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -5.21%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-04 01:11
BetUS1.85I 54.05%NM 49.80%EV -8.76%E -4.74%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -4.76%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -9.05%E -2.55%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-04 01:10
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 49.51%EV -9.75%E -5.33%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -4.76%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -12.90%E -3.79%K -5.37%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-04 01:00
GTbets1.96I 51.02%NM 48.82%EV -3.34%E -1.70%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.45%EV -5.76%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.72%EV -4.70%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-04 00:36
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 49.55%EV -7.77%E -4.16%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -6.01%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.77%E -2.16%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-04 01:10
PlayUp1.88I 53.19%NM 49.24%EV -7.28%E -3.87%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -6.01%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -9.05%E -2.55%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-04 01:06
Bovada1.86I 53.76%NM 49.51%EV -8.27%E -4.45%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -6.01%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -9.05%E -2.55%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-04 01:00
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 49.91%EV -9.75%E -5.33%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -6.01%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.73%EV -9.05%E -2.55%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-04 01:10
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 49.54%EV -9.75%E -5.33%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.18%EV -6.01%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.28%EV -11.62%E -3.37%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-04 00:50
Sky Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 48.96%EV -9.75%E -5.33%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -6.01%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -15.46%E -4.68%K -6.72%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-04 01:00
Coolbet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.26%EV -2.84%E -1.44%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -7.27%E -1.96%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%EV -6.49%E -1.78%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-04 00:41
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -7.28%E -3.87%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -7.27%E -1.96%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -5.21%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-04 01:06
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -7.28%E -3.87%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -7.27%E -1.96%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -5.21%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-04 01:10
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.80%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -9.77%E -2.71%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.77%E -2.16%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-04 00:51
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.80%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -9.77%E -2.71%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.77%E -2.16%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-04 00:51
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -5.80%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.77%E -2.71%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -10.33%E -2.95%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-04 00:31
Bet Right1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -7.28%E -3.87%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -11.03%E -3.11%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -7.77%E -2.16%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-04 00:55
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -9.75%E -5.33%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -12.28%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -10.33%E -2.95%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-04 00:56
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 48.52%EV -9.75%E -5.33%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -12.28%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -12.90%E -3.79%K -5.37%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-04 00:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.52%EV -9.75%E -5.33%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -12.28%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -12.90%E -3.79%K -5.37%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-04 00:55
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -8.76%E -4.74%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -12.28%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -15.46%E -4.68%K -6.72%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-04 01:10
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -8.76%E -4.74%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -12.28%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -15.46%E -4.68%K -6.72%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-04 01:10
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -8.76%E -4.74%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -12.28%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -15.46%E -4.68%K -6.72%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-04 01:10
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -8.76%E -4.74%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -12.28%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -15.46%E -4.68%K -6.72%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-04 01:06
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 47.73%EV -11.23%E -6.24%K -14.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.55%EV -12.28%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.72%EV -20.58%E -6.64%K -9.80%G +0.000%16.4%2026-05-04 01:00
Winamax (DE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.54%EV -7.28%E -3.87%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -13.53%E -3.92%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -6.49%E -1.78%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-04 00:51
Unibet (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 49.39%EV -12.21%E -6.86%K -15.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.48%EV -13.53%E -3.92%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.12%EV -10.33%E -2.95%K -4.13%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-04 00:50
Betclic (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.68%EV -11.23%E -6.24%K -14.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.77%EV -14.79%E -4.35%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 25.55%EV -12.13%E -3.54%K -4.99%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-04 00:49
NetBet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.56%EV -14.68%E -8.49%K -20.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.22%EV -14.79%E -4.35%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.22%EV -12.90%E -3.79%K -5.37%G +0.000%16.6%2026-05-04 01:10
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 48.27%EV -10.24%E -5.63%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -17.29%E -5.24%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.10%EV -10.33%E -2.95%K -4.13%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-04 00:51
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Matchbook1.97I 50.76%NM 50.59%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.18%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.23%0.3%2026-05-04 01:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.54%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42%0.9%2026-05-04 01:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.54%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42%0.9%2026-05-04 01:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.54%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42%0.9%2026-05-04 01:05
Smarkets1.95I 51.28%NM 50.22%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.32%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.47%2.1%2026-05-04 01:10
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 50.54%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.26%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.20%3.1%2026-05-04 01:00