Language:English
Santos Laguna v Guadalajara
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Santos Laguna (Local)
Prediction 17.79%5.62fair odd
EV +2.32%
Edge +0.403%
Kelly +0.488%
Growth +0.011%
assuming max odds 5.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.27%17.87%17.73%19.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.605.225.255.7521.74%19.15%19.05%17.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Guadalajara (Visit)
Prediction 60.75%1.65fair odd
EV -1.59%
Edge -0.980%
Kelly -2.56%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.97%60.64%60.81%61.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.411.521.521.6270.92%65.94%65.79%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 21.46%4.66fair odd
EV -0.224%
Edge -0.048%
Kelly -0.061%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.77%21.49%21.47%22.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.854.244.304.6525.97%23.58%23.26%21.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Santos Laguna (Local): 17.79%; Guadalajara (Visit): 60.75%; Draw: 21.46%. For Santos Laguna (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.62. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.32%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV +2.32%E +0.403%K +0.488%G +0.011% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.97%EV -8.27%E -5.48%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.76%EV -7.73%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-17 00:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV +2.32%E +0.403%K +0.488%G +0.011% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.97%EV -8.27%E -5.48%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.76%EV -7.73%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-17 00:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -0.351%E -0.063%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -9.88%E -2.35%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-17 00:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -0.351%E -0.063%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -9.88%E -2.35%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-17 00:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -0.351%E -0.063%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -9.88%E -2.35%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-17 00:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -0.351%E -0.063%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -9.88%E -2.35%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-17 00:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -0.351%E -0.063%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -9.88%E -2.35%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-17 00:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -0.351%E -0.063%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -9.88%E -2.35%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-17 00:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -0.351%E -0.063%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -9.88%E -2.35%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-17 00:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.57I 17.95%NM 17.34%EV -0.884%E -0.159%K -0.194%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.90%EV -5.23%E -3.35%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.77%EV -0.224%E -0.048%K -0.061%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-17 00:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.57I 17.95%NM 17.34%EV -0.884%E -0.159%K -0.194%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.90%EV -5.23%E -3.35%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.77%EV -0.224%E -0.048%K -0.061%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-17 00:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 5.57I 17.95%NM 16.93%EV -0.884%E -0.159%K -0.194%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.64%EV -7.06%E -4.61%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.59%E -1.27%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-11 00:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.30%EV -2.13%E -0.387%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -6.45%E -4.19%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.91%EV -2.37%E -0.521%K -0.668%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-17 00:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.49I 18.21%NM 17.53%EV -2.31%E -0.420%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.31%EV -4.63%E -2.95%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.16%EV -2.37%E -0.521%K -0.668%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-17 01:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.62%EV -3.91%E -0.724%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -5.23%E -3.35%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -4.52%E -1.01%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-17 01:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.60%EV -3.91%E -0.724%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.99%EV -10.70%E -7.28%K -22.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -14.17%E -3.54%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-17 00:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.72%EV -5.69%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.40%EV -7.06%E -4.61%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -3.44%E -0.765%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-17 00:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.34%EV -5.69%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.28%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -7.73%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-16 23:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.72%EV -5.69%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.12%EV -11.91%E -8.22%K -26.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -14.17%E -3.54%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-17 00:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.72%EV -5.69%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.12%EV -11.91%E -8.22%K -26.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -14.17%E -3.54%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-17 00:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.65%EV -5.69%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.29%EV -12.52%E -8.70%K -28.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.06%EV -14.17%E -3.54%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-17 00:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -6.58%E -1.25%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.54%EV -5.23%E -3.35%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -5.59%E -1.27%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-17 01:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -6.58%E -1.25%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.09%EV -4.63%E -2.95%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.94%EV -7.73%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-17 01:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -6.58%E -1.25%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.55%EV -5.84%E -3.77%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.57%EV -6.66%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-17 01:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.86%EV -6.58%E -1.25%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.30%EV -7.06%E -4.61%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -3.44%E -0.765%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-17 00:44 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -6.58%E -1.25%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.80%EV -7.06%E -4.61%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.48%EV -7.09%E -1.64%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-17 00:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -6.58%E -1.25%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.80%EV -7.06%E -4.61%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.48%EV -7.09%E -1.64%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-17 01:03 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -6.58%E -1.25%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.95%EV -7.66%E -5.04%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -7.09%E -1.64%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-17 00:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.53%EV -6.58%E -1.25%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.55%EV -7.66%E -5.04%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.88%E -2.35%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-17 00:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 16.83%EV -9.25%E -1.81%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 60.88%EV -14.34%E -10.17%K -34.99%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.29%EV -17.39%E -4.52%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-08-17 00:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.08I 19.69%NM 18.90%EV -9.60%E -1.89%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.27%EV -1.59%E -0.980%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.82%EV -5.59%E -1.27%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-17 01:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.59%EV -11.03%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -5.84%E -3.77%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.46%EV -7.09%E -1.64%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-17 01:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -11.03%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.56%EV -5.84%E -3.77%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -9.88%E -2.35%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-17 01:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -11.03%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -7.06%E -4.61%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.29%EV -7.09%E -1.64%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-17 01:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -11.03%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -7.09%E -1.64%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-17 00:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -11.03%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -7.09%E -1.64%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-17 00:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -11.03%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -14.17%E -3.54%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-17 00:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -12.81%E -2.61%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.64%EV -5.84%E -3.77%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.50%EV -7.73%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-17 01:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -12.81%E -2.61%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.64%EV -5.84%E -3.77%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.50%EV -7.73%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-17 01:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.39%EV -13.70%E -2.82%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.86%EV -9.48%E -6.37%K -19.36%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.75%EV -12.03%E -2.93%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-17 01:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -14.59%E -3.04%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -9.88%E -2.35%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-17 00:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -14.59%E -3.04%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -14.17%E -3.54%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-17 01:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.88%EV -15.48%E -3.26%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -9.88%E -2.35%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-17 00:44 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.46%EV -16.37%E -3.48%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 59.84%EV -11.91%E -8.22%K -26.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.69%EV -14.17%E -3.54%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-08-17 01:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.28%EV -18.15%E -3.94%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.97%EV -7.06%E -4.61%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -16.32%E -4.18%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-17 01:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.28%EV -18.15%E -3.94%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.97%EV -7.06%E -4.61%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -16.32%E -4.18%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-17 01:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.28%EV -18.15%E -3.94%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.97%EV -7.06%E -4.61%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -16.32%E -4.18%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-17 01:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.86% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.11% | 0.8% | 2026-08-17 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.86% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.11% | 0.8% | 2026-08-17 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.86% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.11% | 0.8% | 2026-08-17 01:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.70% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.20% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.09% | 0.9% | 2026-08-17 01:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.80% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.42% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.78% | 1.1% | 2026-08-17 01:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.97% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.00% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.03% | 1.2% | 2026-08-17 01:05 |