默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Santos Laguna v Guadalajara

开赛时间: 2026-08-17 01:10 UTC

最终结果: Santos Laguna 0–1 Guadalajara

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

47 家博彩公司 (15 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Santos Laguna (主队)

预测 17.79%5.62公平赔率
EV +2.32%
优势 +0.403%
Kelly +0.488%
增长率 +0.011%

假设最高赔率为 5.75

博彩公司预测分布
16.27%17.87%17.73%19.28%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.605.225.255.7521.74%19.15%19.05%17.39%最小值均值中位数最大值

Guadalajara (客队)

预测 60.75%1.65公平赔率
EV -1.59%
优势 -0.980%
Kelly -2.56%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.62

博彩公司预测分布
57.97%60.64%60.81%61.97%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.411.521.521.6270.92%65.94%65.79%61.73%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 21.46%4.66公平赔率
EV -0.224%
优势 -0.048%
Kelly -0.061%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.65

博彩公司预测分布
20.77%21.49%21.47%22.74%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.854.244.304.6525.97%23.58%23.26%21.51%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Santos Laguna (主队):17.79%;Guadalajara (客队):60.75%;平局:21.46%。 对于“Santos Laguna (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.62。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为5.75,对应+2.32%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (47 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
ATG (SE)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV +2.32%E +0.403%K +0.488%G +0.011%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.97%EV -8.27%E -5.48%K -16.22%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.76%EV -7.73%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-17 00:35
Svenska Spel🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV +2.32%E +0.403%K +0.488%G +0.011%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.97%EV -8.27%E -5.48%K -16.22%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.76%EV -7.73%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-17 00:35
BetRivers🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -0.351%E -0.063%K -0.076%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -9.88%E -2.35%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-17 00:35
Grosvenor🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -0.351%E -0.063%K -0.076%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -9.88%E -2.35%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-17 00:35
Casumo🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -0.351%E -0.063%K -0.076%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -9.88%E -2.35%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-17 00:35
Unibet (SE)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -0.351%E -0.063%K -0.076%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -9.88%E -2.35%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-17 00:35
Unibet (NL)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -0.351%E -0.063%K -0.076%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -9.88%E -2.35%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-17 00:35
Unibet🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -0.351%E -0.063%K -0.076%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -9.88%E -2.35%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-17 00:35
betPARX🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -0.351%E -0.063%K -0.076%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -9.88%E -2.35%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-17 00:39
LowVig.ag🎯5.57I 17.95%NM 17.34%EV -0.884%E -0.159%K -0.194%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.90%EV -5.23%E -3.35%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.77%EV -0.224%E -0.048%K -0.061%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-17 00:14
BetOnline.ag🎯5.57I 17.95%NM 17.34%EV -0.884%E -0.159%K -0.194%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.90%EV -5.23%E -3.35%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.77%EV -0.224%E -0.048%K -0.061%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-17 00:15
GTbets🎯5.57I 17.95%NM 16.93%EV -0.884%E -0.159%K -0.194%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.64%EV -7.06%E -4.61%K -13.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.59%E -1.27%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-11 00:09
Coolbet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.30%EV -2.13%E -0.387%K -0.473%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -6.45%E -4.19%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.91%EV -2.37%E -0.521%K -0.668%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 00:24
Pinnacle🎯5.49I 18.21%NM 17.53%EV -2.31%E -0.420%K -0.514%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.31%EV -4.63%E -2.95%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.16%EV -2.37%E -0.521%K -0.668%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-17 01:05
BetUS🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.62%EV -3.91%E -0.724%K -0.889%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -5.23%E -3.35%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -4.52%E -1.01%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 01:04
TABtouch🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 16.60%EV -3.91%E -0.724%K -0.889%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 60.99%EV -10.70%E -7.28%K -22.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -14.17%E -3.54%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-17 00:35
FanDuel🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.72%EV -5.69%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.40%EV -7.06%E -4.61%K -13.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -3.44%E -0.765%K -0.984%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-17 00:44
Tipico (DE)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.34%EV -5.69%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.28%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -7.73%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-16 23:29
LiveScore Bet🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 16.72%EV -5.69%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 61.12%EV -11.91%E -8.22%K -26.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -14.17%E -3.54%K -4.72%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-17 00:35
Virgin Bet🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 16.72%EV -5.69%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 61.12%EV -11.91%E -8.22%K -26.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -14.17%E -3.54%K -4.72%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-17 00:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 16.65%EV -5.69%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.29%EV -12.52%E -8.70%K -28.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.06%EV -14.17%E -3.54%K -4.72%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-17 00:35
DraftKings🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -6.58%E -1.25%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.54%EV -5.23%E -3.35%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -5.59%E -1.27%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-17 01:04
Fanatics🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -6.58%E -1.25%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.09%EV -4.63%E -2.95%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.94%EV -7.73%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-17 01:04
Unibet (UK)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -6.58%E -1.25%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.55%EV -5.84%E -3.77%K -10.62%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.57%EV -6.66%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-17 01:00
SportsBet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.86%EV -6.58%E -1.25%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.30%EV -7.06%E -4.61%K -13.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -3.44%E -0.765%K -0.984%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-17 00:44
betano_uk🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -6.58%E -1.25%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.80%EV -7.06%E -4.61%K -13.31%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.48%EV -7.09%E -1.64%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-17 00:54
Bet Victor🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -6.58%E -1.25%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.80%EV -7.06%E -4.61%K -13.31%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.48%EV -7.09%E -1.64%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-17 01:03
Marathon Bet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -6.58%E -1.25%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.95%EV -7.66%E -5.04%K -14.74%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -7.09%E -1.64%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-17 00:55
Bet Right🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.53%EV -6.58%E -1.25%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.55%EV -7.66%E -5.04%K -14.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.88%E -2.35%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-17 00:49
PMU (FR)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 16.83%EV -9.25%E -1.81%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 60.88%EV -14.34%E -10.17%K -34.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.29%EV -17.39%E -4.52%K -6.10%G +0.000%16.5%2026-08-17 00:35
1xBet🎯5.08I 19.69%NM 18.90%EV -9.60%E -1.89%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.27%EV -1.59%E -0.980%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.82%EV -5.59%E -1.27%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-17 01:00
Betway🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.59%EV -11.03%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -5.84%E -3.77%K -10.62%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.46%EV -7.09%E -1.64%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-17 01:04
PlayUp🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -11.03%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.56%EV -5.84%E -3.77%K -10.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -9.88%E -2.35%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-17 01:04
LeoVegas🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -11.03%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -7.06%E -4.61%K -13.31%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.29%EV -7.09%E -1.64%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-17 01:04
Paddy Power🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -11.03%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -7.09%E -1.64%K -2.13%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-17 00:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -11.03%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -7.09%E -1.64%K -2.13%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-17 00:55
betfred_uk🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -11.03%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -14.17%E -3.54%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-17 00:49
NordicBet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -12.81%E -2.61%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.64%EV -5.84%E -3.77%K -10.62%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.50%EV -7.73%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-17 01:04
Betsson🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -12.81%E -2.61%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.64%EV -5.84%E -3.77%K -10.62%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.50%EV -7.73%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-17 01:04
Betclic (FR)🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 18.39%EV -13.70%E -2.82%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 59.86%EV -9.48%E -6.37%K -19.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.75%EV -12.03%E -2.93%K -3.88%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-17 01:05
Neds🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -14.59%E -3.04%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -9.88%E -2.35%K -3.09%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-17 00:35
William Hill🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -14.59%E -3.04%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -14.17%E -3.54%K -4.72%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-17 01:04
Sky Bet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 18.88%EV -15.48%E -3.26%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -9.88%E -2.35%K -3.09%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-17 00:44
NetBet (FR)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 18.46%EV -16.37%E -3.48%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 59.84%EV -11.91%E -8.22%K -26.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.69%EV -14.17%E -3.54%K -4.72%G +0.000%15.2%2026-08-17 01:04
888sport🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.28%EV -18.15%E -3.94%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 57.97%EV -7.06%E -4.61%K -13.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -16.32%E -4.18%K -5.63%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-17 01:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.28%EV -18.15%E -3.94%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 57.97%EV -7.06%E -4.61%K -13.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -16.32%E -4.18%K -5.63%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-17 01:04
888sport (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.28%EV -18.15%E -3.94%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 57.97%EV -7.06%E -4.61%K -13.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -16.32%E -4.18%K -5.63%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-17 01:04
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.11%0.8%2026-08-17 01:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.11%0.8%2026-08-17 01:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.11%0.8%2026-08-17 01:05
Matchbook5.60I 17.86%NM 17.70%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.20%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.09%0.9%2026-08-17 01:05
Kalshi5.26I 19.01%NM 18.80%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.42%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.78%1.1%2026-08-17 01:05
Smarkets5.50I 18.18%NM 17.97%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.00%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.03%1.2%2026-08-17 01:05