StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Santos Laguna v Guadalajara

Matchstart: 2026-08-17 01:10 UTC

Slutresultat: Santos Laguna 0–1 Guadalajara

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

47 spelbolag (15 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Santos Laguna (Hemma)

Prognos 17.79%5.62rättvist odds
EV +2.32%
Fördel +0.403%
Kelly +0.488%
Tillväxt +0.011%

med antagandet om högsta odds 5.75

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
16.27%17.87%17.73%19.28%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.605.225.255.7521.74%19.15%19.05%17.39%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Guadalajara (Borta)

Prognos 60.75%1.65rättvist odds
EV -1.59%
Fördel -0.980%
Kelly -2.56%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.62

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
57.97%60.64%60.81%61.97%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.411.521.521.6270.92%65.94%65.79%61.73%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 21.46%4.66rättvist odds
EV -0.224%
Fördel -0.048%
Kelly -0.061%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.65

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
20.77%21.49%21.47%22.74%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.854.244.304.6525.97%23.58%23.26%21.51%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Santos Laguna (Hemma): 17.79%; Guadalajara (Borta): 60.75%; Oavgjort: 21.46%. För Santos Laguna (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 5.62. 2 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 5.75, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +2.32%.

Spelbolagsodds (47 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
ATG (SE)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV +2.32%E +0.403%K +0.488%G +0.011%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.97%EV -8.27%E -5.48%K -16.22%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.76%EV -7.73%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-17 00:35
Svenska Spel🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV +2.32%E +0.403%K +0.488%G +0.011%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.97%EV -8.27%E -5.48%K -16.22%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.76%EV -7.73%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-17 00:35
BetRivers🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -0.351%E -0.063%K -0.076%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -9.88%E -2.35%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-17 00:35
Grosvenor🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -0.351%E -0.063%K -0.076%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -9.88%E -2.35%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-17 00:35
Casumo🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -0.351%E -0.063%K -0.076%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -9.88%E -2.35%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-17 00:35
Unibet (SE)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -0.351%E -0.063%K -0.076%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -9.88%E -2.35%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-17 00:35
Unibet (NL)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -0.351%E -0.063%K -0.076%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -9.88%E -2.35%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-17 00:35
Unibet🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -0.351%E -0.063%K -0.076%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -9.88%E -2.35%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-17 00:35
betPARX🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -0.351%E -0.063%K -0.076%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -9.88%E -2.35%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-17 00:39
LowVig.ag🎯5.57I 17.95%NM 17.34%EV -0.884%E -0.159%K -0.194%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.90%EV -5.23%E -3.35%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.77%EV -0.224%E -0.048%K -0.061%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-17 00:14
BetOnline.ag🎯5.57I 17.95%NM 17.34%EV -0.884%E -0.159%K -0.194%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.90%EV -5.23%E -3.35%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.77%EV -0.224%E -0.048%K -0.061%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-17 00:15
GTbets🎯5.57I 17.95%NM 16.93%EV -0.884%E -0.159%K -0.194%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.64%EV -7.06%E -4.61%K -13.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.59%E -1.27%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-11 00:09
Coolbet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.30%EV -2.13%E -0.387%K -0.473%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -6.45%E -4.19%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.91%EV -2.37%E -0.521%K -0.668%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 00:24
Pinnacle🎯5.49I 18.21%NM 17.53%EV -2.31%E -0.420%K -0.514%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.31%EV -4.63%E -2.95%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.16%EV -2.37%E -0.521%K -0.668%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-17 01:05
BetUS🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.62%EV -3.91%E -0.724%K -0.889%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -5.23%E -3.35%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -4.52%E -1.01%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 01:04
TABtouch🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 16.60%EV -3.91%E -0.724%K -0.889%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 60.99%EV -10.70%E -7.28%K -22.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -14.17%E -3.54%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-17 00:35
FanDuel🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.72%EV -5.69%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.40%EV -7.06%E -4.61%K -13.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -3.44%E -0.765%K -0.984%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-17 00:44
Tipico (DE)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.34%EV -5.69%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.28%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -7.73%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-16 23:29
LiveScore Bet🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 16.72%EV -5.69%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 61.12%EV -11.91%E -8.22%K -26.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -14.17%E -3.54%K -4.72%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-17 00:35
Virgin Bet🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 16.72%EV -5.69%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 61.12%EV -11.91%E -8.22%K -26.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -14.17%E -3.54%K -4.72%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-17 00:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 16.65%EV -5.69%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.29%EV -12.52%E -8.70%K -28.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.06%EV -14.17%E -3.54%K -4.72%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-17 00:35
DraftKings🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -6.58%E -1.25%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.54%EV -5.23%E -3.35%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -5.59%E -1.27%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-17 01:04
Fanatics🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -6.58%E -1.25%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.09%EV -4.63%E -2.95%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.94%EV -7.73%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-17 01:04
Unibet (UK)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -6.58%E -1.25%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.55%EV -5.84%E -3.77%K -10.62%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.57%EV -6.66%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-17 01:00
SportsBet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.86%EV -6.58%E -1.25%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.30%EV -7.06%E -4.61%K -13.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -3.44%E -0.765%K -0.984%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-17 00:44
betano_uk🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -6.58%E -1.25%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.80%EV -7.06%E -4.61%K -13.31%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.48%EV -7.09%E -1.64%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-17 00:54
Bet Victor🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -6.58%E -1.25%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.80%EV -7.06%E -4.61%K -13.31%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.48%EV -7.09%E -1.64%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-17 01:03
Marathon Bet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -6.58%E -1.25%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.95%EV -7.66%E -5.04%K -14.74%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -7.09%E -1.64%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-17 00:55
Bet Right🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.53%EV -6.58%E -1.25%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.55%EV -7.66%E -5.04%K -14.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.88%E -2.35%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-17 00:49
PMU (FR)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 16.83%EV -9.25%E -1.81%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 60.88%EV -14.34%E -10.17%K -34.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.29%EV -17.39%E -4.52%K -6.10%G +0.000%16.5%2026-08-17 00:35
1xBet🎯5.08I 19.69%NM 18.90%EV -9.60%E -1.89%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.27%EV -1.59%E -0.980%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.82%EV -5.59%E -1.27%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-17 01:00
Betway🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.59%EV -11.03%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -5.84%E -3.77%K -10.62%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.46%EV -7.09%E -1.64%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-17 01:04
PlayUp🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -11.03%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.56%EV -5.84%E -3.77%K -10.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -9.88%E -2.35%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-17 01:04
LeoVegas🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -11.03%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -7.06%E -4.61%K -13.31%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.29%EV -7.09%E -1.64%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-17 01:04
Paddy Power🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -11.03%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -7.09%E -1.64%K -2.13%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-17 00:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -11.03%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -7.09%E -1.64%K -2.13%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-17 00:55
betfred_uk🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -11.03%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -14.17%E -3.54%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-17 00:49
NordicBet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -12.81%E -2.61%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.64%EV -5.84%E -3.77%K -10.62%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.50%EV -7.73%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-17 01:04
Betsson🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -12.81%E -2.61%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.64%EV -5.84%E -3.77%K -10.62%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.50%EV -7.73%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-17 01:04
Betclic (FR)🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 18.39%EV -13.70%E -2.82%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 59.86%EV -9.48%E -6.37%K -19.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.75%EV -12.03%E -2.93%K -3.88%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-17 01:05
Neds🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -14.59%E -3.04%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -9.88%E -2.35%K -3.09%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-17 00:35
William Hill🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -14.59%E -3.04%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -14.17%E -3.54%K -4.72%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-17 01:04
Sky Bet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 18.88%EV -15.48%E -3.26%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -9.88%E -2.35%K -3.09%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-17 00:44
NetBet (FR)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 18.46%EV -16.37%E -3.48%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 59.84%EV -11.91%E -8.22%K -26.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.69%EV -14.17%E -3.54%K -4.72%G +0.000%15.2%2026-08-17 01:04
888sport🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.28%EV -18.15%E -3.94%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 57.97%EV -7.06%E -4.61%K -13.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -16.32%E -4.18%K -5.63%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-17 01:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.28%EV -18.15%E -3.94%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 57.97%EV -7.06%E -4.61%K -13.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -16.32%E -4.18%K -5.63%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-17 01:04
888sport (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.28%EV -18.15%E -3.94%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 57.97%EV -7.06%E -4.61%K -13.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -16.32%E -4.18%K -5.63%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-17 01:04
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.11%0.8%2026-08-17 01:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.11%0.8%2026-08-17 01:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.11%0.8%2026-08-17 01:05
Matchbook5.60I 17.86%NM 17.70%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.20%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.09%0.9%2026-08-17 01:05
Kalshi5.26I 19.01%NM 18.80%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.42%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.78%1.1%2026-08-17 01:05
Smarkets5.50I 18.18%NM 17.97%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.00%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.03%1.2%2026-08-17 01:05