Langue:Français
Santos Laguna v Guadalajara
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Santos Laguna (Local)
Prévision 17.79%5.62cote équitable
EV +2.32%
Avantage +0.403%
Kelly +0.488%
Croissance +0.011%
avec la cote maximale 5.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.27%17.87%17.73%19.28%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.605.225.255.7521.74%19.15%19.05%17.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Guadalajara (Visiteur)
Prévision 60.75%1.65cote équitable
EV -1.59%
Avantage -0.980%
Kelly -2.56%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.62
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.97%60.64%60.81%61.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.411.521.521.6270.92%65.94%65.79%61.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 21.46%4.66cote équitable
EV -0.224%
Avantage -0.048%
Kelly -0.061%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.65
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.77%21.49%21.47%22.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.854.244.304.6525.97%23.58%23.26%21.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Santos Laguna (Local) : 17.79% ; Guadalajara (Visiteur) : 60.75% ; Match nul : 21.46%. Pour Santos Laguna (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.62. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.75, soit une espérance positive de +2.32%.
Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV +2.32%E +0.403%K +0.488%G +0.011% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.97%EV -8.27%E -5.48%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.76%EV -7.73%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-17 00:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV +2.32%E +0.403%K +0.488%G +0.011% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.97%EV -8.27%E -5.48%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.76%EV -7.73%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-17 00:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -0.351%E -0.063%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -9.88%E -2.35%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-17 00:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -0.351%E -0.063%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -9.88%E -2.35%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-17 00:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -0.351%E -0.063%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -9.88%E -2.35%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-17 00:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -0.351%E -0.063%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -9.88%E -2.35%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-17 00:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -0.351%E -0.063%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -9.88%E -2.35%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-17 00:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -0.351%E -0.063%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -9.88%E -2.35%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-17 00:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -0.351%E -0.063%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -9.88%E -2.35%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-17 00:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.57I 17.95%NM 17.34%EV -0.884%E -0.159%K -0.194%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.90%EV -5.23%E -3.35%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.77%EV -0.224%E -0.048%K -0.061%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-17 00:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.57I 17.95%NM 17.34%EV -0.884%E -0.159%K -0.194%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.90%EV -5.23%E -3.35%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.77%EV -0.224%E -0.048%K -0.061%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-17 00:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 5.57I 17.95%NM 16.93%EV -0.884%E -0.159%K -0.194%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.64%EV -7.06%E -4.61%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.59%E -1.27%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-11 00:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.30%EV -2.13%E -0.387%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -6.45%E -4.19%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.91%EV -2.37%E -0.521%K -0.668%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-17 00:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.49I 18.21%NM 17.53%EV -2.31%E -0.420%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.31%EV -4.63%E -2.95%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.16%EV -2.37%E -0.521%K -0.668%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-17 01:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.62%EV -3.91%E -0.724%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -5.23%E -3.35%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -4.52%E -1.01%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-17 01:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.60%EV -3.91%E -0.724%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.99%EV -10.70%E -7.28%K -22.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -14.17%E -3.54%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-17 00:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.72%EV -5.69%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.40%EV -7.06%E -4.61%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -3.44%E -0.765%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-17 00:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.34%EV -5.69%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.28%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -7.73%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-16 23:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.72%EV -5.69%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.12%EV -11.91%E -8.22%K -26.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -14.17%E -3.54%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-17 00:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.72%EV -5.69%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.12%EV -11.91%E -8.22%K -26.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -14.17%E -3.54%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-17 00:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.65%EV -5.69%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.29%EV -12.52%E -8.70%K -28.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.06%EV -14.17%E -3.54%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-17 00:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -6.58%E -1.25%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.54%EV -5.23%E -3.35%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -5.59%E -1.27%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-17 01:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -6.58%E -1.25%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.09%EV -4.63%E -2.95%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.94%EV -7.73%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-17 01:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -6.58%E -1.25%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.55%EV -5.84%E -3.77%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.57%EV -6.66%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-17 01:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.86%EV -6.58%E -1.25%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.30%EV -7.06%E -4.61%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -3.44%E -0.765%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-17 00:44 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -6.58%E -1.25%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.80%EV -7.06%E -4.61%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.48%EV -7.09%E -1.64%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-17 00:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -6.58%E -1.25%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.80%EV -7.06%E -4.61%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.48%EV -7.09%E -1.64%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-17 01:03 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -6.58%E -1.25%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.95%EV -7.66%E -5.04%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -7.09%E -1.64%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-17 00:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.53%EV -6.58%E -1.25%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.55%EV -7.66%E -5.04%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.88%E -2.35%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-17 00:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 16.83%EV -9.25%E -1.81%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 60.88%EV -14.34%E -10.17%K -34.99%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.29%EV -17.39%E -4.52%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-08-17 00:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.08I 19.69%NM 18.90%EV -9.60%E -1.89%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.27%EV -1.59%E -0.980%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.82%EV -5.59%E -1.27%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-17 01:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.59%EV -11.03%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -5.84%E -3.77%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.46%EV -7.09%E -1.64%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-17 01:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -11.03%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.56%EV -5.84%E -3.77%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -9.88%E -2.35%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-17 01:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -11.03%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -7.06%E -4.61%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.29%EV -7.09%E -1.64%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-17 01:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -11.03%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -7.09%E -1.64%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-17 00:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -11.03%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -7.09%E -1.64%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-17 00:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -11.03%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -14.17%E -3.54%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-17 00:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -12.81%E -2.61%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.64%EV -5.84%E -3.77%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.50%EV -7.73%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-17 01:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -12.81%E -2.61%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.64%EV -5.84%E -3.77%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.50%EV -7.73%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-17 01:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.39%EV -13.70%E -2.82%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.86%EV -9.48%E -6.37%K -19.36%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.75%EV -12.03%E -2.93%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-17 01:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -14.59%E -3.04%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -9.88%E -2.35%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-17 00:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -14.59%E -3.04%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -14.17%E -3.54%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-17 01:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.88%EV -15.48%E -3.26%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -9.88%E -2.35%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-17 00:44 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.46%EV -16.37%E -3.48%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 59.84%EV -11.91%E -8.22%K -26.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.69%EV -14.17%E -3.54%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-08-17 01:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.28%EV -18.15%E -3.94%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.97%EV -7.06%E -4.61%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -16.32%E -4.18%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-17 01:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.28%EV -18.15%E -3.94%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.97%EV -7.06%E -4.61%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -16.32%E -4.18%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-17 01:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.28%EV -18.15%E -3.94%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.97%EV -7.06%E -4.61%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -16.32%E -4.18%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-17 01:04 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.86% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.11% | 0.8% | 2026-08-17 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.86% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.11% | 0.8% | 2026-08-17 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.86% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.11% | 0.8% | 2026-08-17 01:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.70% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.20% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.09% | 0.9% | 2026-08-17 01:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.80% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.42% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.78% | 1.1% | 2026-08-17 01:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.97% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.00% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.03% | 1.2% | 2026-08-17 01:05 |