Idioma:Español
Santos Laguna v Guadalajara
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Santos Laguna (Local)
Predicción 17.79%5.62momio equitativo
EV +2.32%
Ventaja +0.403%
Kelly +0.488%
Crecimiento +0.011%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.27%17.87%17.73%19.28%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.605.225.255.7521.74%19.15%19.05%17.39%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Guadalajara (Visitante)
Predicción 60.75%1.65momio equitativo
EV -1.59%
Ventaja -0.980%
Kelly -2.56%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.62
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.97%60.64%60.81%61.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.411.521.521.6270.92%65.94%65.79%61.73%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 21.46%4.66momio equitativo
EV -0.224%
Ventaja -0.048%
Kelly -0.061%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.77%21.49%21.47%22.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.854.244.304.6525.97%23.58%23.26%21.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Santos Laguna (Local): 17.79%; Guadalajara (Visitante): 60.75%; Empate: 21.46%. Para Santos Laguna (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 5.62. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 5.75, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.32%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV +2.32%E +0.403%K +0.488%G +0.011% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.97%EV -8.27%E -5.48%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.76%EV -7.73%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-17 00:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV +2.32%E +0.403%K +0.488%G +0.011% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.97%EV -8.27%E -5.48%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.76%EV -7.73%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-17 00:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -0.351%E -0.063%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -9.88%E -2.35%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-17 00:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -0.351%E -0.063%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -9.88%E -2.35%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-17 00:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -0.351%E -0.063%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -9.88%E -2.35%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-17 00:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -0.351%E -0.063%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -9.88%E -2.35%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-17 00:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -0.351%E -0.063%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -9.88%E -2.35%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-17 00:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -0.351%E -0.063%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -9.88%E -2.35%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-17 00:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -0.351%E -0.063%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -9.88%E -2.35%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-17 00:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.57I 17.95%NM 17.34%EV -0.884%E -0.159%K -0.194%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.90%EV -5.23%E -3.35%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.77%EV -0.224%E -0.048%K -0.061%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-17 00:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.57I 17.95%NM 17.34%EV -0.884%E -0.159%K -0.194%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.90%EV -5.23%E -3.35%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.77%EV -0.224%E -0.048%K -0.061%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-17 00:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 5.57I 17.95%NM 16.93%EV -0.884%E -0.159%K -0.194%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.64%EV -7.06%E -4.61%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.59%E -1.27%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-11 00:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.30%EV -2.13%E -0.387%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -6.45%E -4.19%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.91%EV -2.37%E -0.521%K -0.668%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-17 00:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.49I 18.21%NM 17.53%EV -2.31%E -0.420%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.31%EV -4.63%E -2.95%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.16%EV -2.37%E -0.521%K -0.668%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-17 01:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.62%EV -3.91%E -0.724%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -5.23%E -3.35%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -4.52%E -1.01%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-17 01:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.60%EV -3.91%E -0.724%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.99%EV -10.70%E -7.28%K -22.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -14.17%E -3.54%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-17 00:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.72%EV -5.69%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.40%EV -7.06%E -4.61%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -3.44%E -0.765%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-17 00:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.34%EV -5.69%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.28%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -7.73%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-16 23:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.72%EV -5.69%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.12%EV -11.91%E -8.22%K -26.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -14.17%E -3.54%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-17 00:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.72%EV -5.69%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.12%EV -11.91%E -8.22%K -26.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -14.17%E -3.54%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-17 00:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.65%EV -5.69%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.29%EV -12.52%E -8.70%K -28.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.06%EV -14.17%E -3.54%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-17 00:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -6.58%E -1.25%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.54%EV -5.23%E -3.35%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -5.59%E -1.27%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-17 01:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -6.58%E -1.25%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.09%EV -4.63%E -2.95%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.94%EV -7.73%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-17 01:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -6.58%E -1.25%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.55%EV -5.84%E -3.77%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.57%EV -6.66%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-17 01:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.86%EV -6.58%E -1.25%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.30%EV -7.06%E -4.61%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -3.44%E -0.765%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-17 00:44 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -6.58%E -1.25%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.80%EV -7.06%E -4.61%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.48%EV -7.09%E -1.64%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-17 00:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -6.58%E -1.25%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.80%EV -7.06%E -4.61%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.48%EV -7.09%E -1.64%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-17 01:03 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -6.58%E -1.25%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.95%EV -7.66%E -5.04%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -7.09%E -1.64%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-17 00:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.53%EV -6.58%E -1.25%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.55%EV -7.66%E -5.04%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.88%E -2.35%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-17 00:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 16.83%EV -9.25%E -1.81%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 60.88%EV -14.34%E -10.17%K -34.99%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.29%EV -17.39%E -4.52%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-08-17 00:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.08I 19.69%NM 18.90%EV -9.60%E -1.89%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.27%EV -1.59%E -0.980%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.82%EV -5.59%E -1.27%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-17 01:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.59%EV -11.03%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -5.84%E -3.77%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.46%EV -7.09%E -1.64%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-17 01:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -11.03%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.56%EV -5.84%E -3.77%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -9.88%E -2.35%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-17 01:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -11.03%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -7.06%E -4.61%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.29%EV -7.09%E -1.64%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-17 01:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -11.03%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -7.09%E -1.64%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-17 00:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -11.03%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -7.09%E -1.64%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-17 00:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -11.03%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -14.17%E -3.54%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-17 00:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -12.81%E -2.61%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.64%EV -5.84%E -3.77%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.50%EV -7.73%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-17 01:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -12.81%E -2.61%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.64%EV -5.84%E -3.77%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.50%EV -7.73%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-17 01:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.39%EV -13.70%E -2.82%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.86%EV -9.48%E -6.37%K -19.36%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.75%EV -12.03%E -2.93%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-17 01:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -14.59%E -3.04%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -9.88%E -2.35%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-17 00:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -14.59%E -3.04%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -14.17%E -3.54%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-17 01:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.88%EV -15.48%E -3.26%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -9.88%E -2.35%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-17 00:44 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.46%EV -16.37%E -3.48%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 59.84%EV -11.91%E -8.22%K -26.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.69%EV -14.17%E -3.54%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-08-17 01:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.28%EV -18.15%E -3.94%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.97%EV -7.06%E -4.61%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -16.32%E -4.18%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-17 01:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.28%EV -18.15%E -3.94%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.97%EV -7.06%E -4.61%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -16.32%E -4.18%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-17 01:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.28%EV -18.15%E -3.94%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.97%EV -7.06%E -4.61%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -16.32%E -4.18%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-17 01:04 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.86% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.11% | 0.8% | 2026-08-17 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.86% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.11% | 0.8% | 2026-08-17 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.86% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.11% | 0.8% | 2026-08-17 01:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.70% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.20% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.09% | 0.9% | 2026-08-17 01:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.80% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.42% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.78% | 1.1% | 2026-08-17 01:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.97% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.00% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.03% | 1.2% | 2026-08-17 01:05 |