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Santos Laguna v Guadalajara
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Santos Laguna (Хозяева)
Прогноз 17.79%5.62справедливый коэффициент
EV +2.32%
Преимущество +0.403%
Kelly +0.488%
Рост +0.011%
при максимальном коэффициенте 5.75
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
16.27%17.87%17.73%19.28%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
4.605.225.255.7521.74%19.15%19.05%17.39%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Guadalajara (Гости)
Прогноз 60.75%1.65справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.59%
Преимущество -0.980%
Kelly -2.56%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.62
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
57.97%60.64%60.81%61.97%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.411.521.521.6270.92%65.94%65.79%61.73%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 21.46%4.66справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.224%
Преимущество -0.048%
Kelly -0.061%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 4.65
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
20.77%21.49%21.47%22.74%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.854.244.304.6525.97%23.58%23.26%21.51%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Santos Laguna (Хозяева): 17.79%; Guadalajara (Гости): 60.75%; Ничья: 21.46%. Для исхода «Santos Laguna (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 5.62. 2 букмекера предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 5.75, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +2.32%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (47 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV +2.32%E +0.403%K +0.488%G +0.011% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.97%EV -8.27%E -5.48%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.76%EV -7.73%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-17 00:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV +2.32%E +0.403%K +0.488%G +0.011% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.97%EV -8.27%E -5.48%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.76%EV -7.73%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-17 00:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -0.351%E -0.063%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -9.88%E -2.35%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-17 00:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -0.351%E -0.063%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -9.88%E -2.35%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-17 00:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -0.351%E -0.063%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -9.88%E -2.35%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-17 00:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -0.351%E -0.063%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -9.88%E -2.35%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-17 00:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -0.351%E -0.063%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -9.88%E -2.35%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-17 00:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -0.351%E -0.063%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -9.88%E -2.35%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-17 00:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -0.351%E -0.063%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -9.88%E -2.35%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-17 00:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.57I 17.95%NM 17.34%EV -0.884%E -0.159%K -0.194%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.90%EV -5.23%E -3.35%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.77%EV -0.224%E -0.048%K -0.061%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-17 00:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.57I 17.95%NM 17.34%EV -0.884%E -0.159%K -0.194%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.90%EV -5.23%E -3.35%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.77%EV -0.224%E -0.048%K -0.061%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-17 00:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 5.57I 17.95%NM 16.93%EV -0.884%E -0.159%K -0.194%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.64%EV -7.06%E -4.61%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.59%E -1.27%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-11 00:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.30%EV -2.13%E -0.387%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -6.45%E -4.19%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.91%EV -2.37%E -0.521%K -0.668%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-17 00:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.49I 18.21%NM 17.53%EV -2.31%E -0.420%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.31%EV -4.63%E -2.95%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.16%EV -2.37%E -0.521%K -0.668%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-17 01:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.62%EV -3.91%E -0.724%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -5.23%E -3.35%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -4.52%E -1.01%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-17 01:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.60%EV -3.91%E -0.724%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.99%EV -10.70%E -7.28%K -22.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -14.17%E -3.54%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-17 00:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.72%EV -5.69%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.40%EV -7.06%E -4.61%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -3.44%E -0.765%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-17 00:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.34%EV -5.69%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.28%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -7.73%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-16 23:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.72%EV -5.69%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.12%EV -11.91%E -8.22%K -26.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -14.17%E -3.54%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-17 00:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.72%EV -5.69%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.12%EV -11.91%E -8.22%K -26.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -14.17%E -3.54%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-17 00:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.65%EV -5.69%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.29%EV -12.52%E -8.70%K -28.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.06%EV -14.17%E -3.54%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-17 00:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -6.58%E -1.25%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.54%EV -5.23%E -3.35%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -5.59%E -1.27%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-17 01:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -6.58%E -1.25%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.09%EV -4.63%E -2.95%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.94%EV -7.73%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-17 01:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -6.58%E -1.25%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.55%EV -5.84%E -3.77%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.57%EV -6.66%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-17 01:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.86%EV -6.58%E -1.25%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.30%EV -7.06%E -4.61%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -3.44%E -0.765%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-17 00:44 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -6.58%E -1.25%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.80%EV -7.06%E -4.61%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.48%EV -7.09%E -1.64%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-17 00:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -6.58%E -1.25%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.80%EV -7.06%E -4.61%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.48%EV -7.09%E -1.64%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-17 01:03 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -6.58%E -1.25%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.95%EV -7.66%E -5.04%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -7.09%E -1.64%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-17 00:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.53%EV -6.58%E -1.25%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.55%EV -7.66%E -5.04%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.88%E -2.35%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-17 00:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 16.83%EV -9.25%E -1.81%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 60.88%EV -14.34%E -10.17%K -34.99%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.29%EV -17.39%E -4.52%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-08-17 00:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.08I 19.69%NM 18.90%EV -9.60%E -1.89%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.27%EV -1.59%E -0.980%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.82%EV -5.59%E -1.27%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-17 01:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.59%EV -11.03%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -5.84%E -3.77%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.46%EV -7.09%E -1.64%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-17 01:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -11.03%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.56%EV -5.84%E -3.77%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -9.88%E -2.35%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-17 01:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -11.03%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -7.06%E -4.61%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.29%EV -7.09%E -1.64%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-17 01:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -11.03%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -7.09%E -1.64%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-17 00:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -11.03%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -7.09%E -1.64%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-17 00:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -11.03%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -14.17%E -3.54%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-17 00:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -12.81%E -2.61%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.64%EV -5.84%E -3.77%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.50%EV -7.73%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-17 01:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -12.81%E -2.61%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.64%EV -5.84%E -3.77%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.50%EV -7.73%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-17 01:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.39%EV -13.70%E -2.82%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.86%EV -9.48%E -6.37%K -19.36%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.75%EV -12.03%E -2.93%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-17 01:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -14.59%E -3.04%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -9.88%E -2.35%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-17 00:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -14.59%E -3.04%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -14.17%E -3.54%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-17 01:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.88%EV -15.48%E -3.26%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -9.88%E -2.35%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-17 00:44 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.46%EV -16.37%E -3.48%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 59.84%EV -11.91%E -8.22%K -26.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.69%EV -14.17%E -3.54%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-08-17 01:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.28%EV -18.15%E -3.94%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.97%EV -7.06%E -4.61%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -16.32%E -4.18%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-17 01:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.28%EV -18.15%E -3.94%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.97%EV -7.06%E -4.61%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -16.32%E -4.18%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-17 01:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.28%EV -18.15%E -3.94%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.97%EV -7.06%E -4.61%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -16.32%E -4.18%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-17 01:04 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (6)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.86% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.11% | 0.8% | 2026-08-17 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.86% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.11% | 0.8% | 2026-08-17 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.86% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.11% | 0.8% | 2026-08-17 01:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.70% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.20% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.09% | 0.9% | 2026-08-17 01:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.80% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.42% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.78% | 1.1% | 2026-08-17 01:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.97% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.00% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.03% | 1.2% | 2026-08-17 01:05 |