預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Puebla v Toluca

開賽時間: 2026-09-05 01:00 UTC

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

46 家博彩公司 (17 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Puebla (主隊)

預測 20.46%4.89公平賠率
EV -1.77%
優勢 -0.369%
Kelly -0.466%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 4.80

博彩公司預測分布
19.43%20.46%20.45%21.36%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
4.204.514.504.8023.81%22.19%22.22%20.83%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Toluca (客隊)

預測 56.59%1.77公平賠率
EV -5.50%
優勢 -3.29%
Kelly -8.21%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.67

博彩公司預測分布
55.58%56.65%56.64%58.79%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.571.621.621.6763.69%61.68%61.73%59.88%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 22.95%4.36公平賠率
EV -1.32%
優勢 -0.307%
Kelly -0.400%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 4.30

博彩公司預測分布
21.74%22.89%22.91%23.97%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
3.753.984.004.3026.67%25.14%25.00%23.26%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Puebla (主隊):20.46%;Toluca (客隊):56.59%;和局:22.95%。 對於「和局」,該估計相當於4.36的公平十進位賠率。 當時沒有符合條件的博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率:最佳賠率為4.30,期望值為-1.32%,未產生正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (46 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊 ▼客隊和局利潤率更新時間
SportsBet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.64%EV -1.77%E -0.369%K -0.466%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.18%EV -8.33%E -5.14%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.18%EV -2.47%E -0.581%K -0.760%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 01:04
FanDuel🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -1.77%E -0.369%K -0.466%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.79%EV -10.03%E -6.31%K -16.99%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -1.32%E -0.307%K -0.400%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 01:05
Coolbet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.96%EV -2.80%E -0.588%K -0.745%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.46%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -3.62%E -0.861%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 12:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -2.80%E -0.588%K -0.745%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.91%EV -8.33%E -5.14%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -3.62%E -0.861%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-03 01:05
Fanatics🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -2.80%E -0.588%K -0.745%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.60%EV -8.33%E -5.14%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -5.91%E -1.44%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-31 00:25
PlayUp🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -2.80%E -0.588%K -0.745%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.61%EV -7.76%E -4.76%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.97%EV -11.65%E -3.03%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-03 01:05
LowVig.ag🎯4.72I 21.19%NM 20.16%EV -3.41%E -0.722%K -0.916%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.97%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 22.87%EV -4.53%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 13:25
BetOnline.ag🎯4.72I 21.19%NM 20.16%EV -3.41%E -0.722%K -0.916%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.97%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 22.87%EV -4.53%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 13:25
BetUS🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.21%EV -3.82%E -0.812%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.89%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.89%EV -4.76%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 17:10
Pinnacle🎯4.68I 21.37%NM 20.28%EV -4.23%E -0.903%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.84%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.87%EV -4.76%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 18:15
Marathon Bet🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 19.93%EV -4.84%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.20%EV -8.33%E -5.14%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.88%EV -7.06%E -1.74%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-04 12:35
NordicBet🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 19.69%EV -4.84%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.52%EV -8.33%E -5.14%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.78%EV -11.65%E -3.03%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-03 01:00
Betsson🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 19.69%EV -4.84%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.52%EV -8.33%E -5.14%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.78%EV -11.65%E -3.03%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-03 01:05
GTbets🎯4.64I 21.55%NM 20.35%EV -5.05%E -1.09%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.22%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.43%EV -3.39%E -0.804%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 21:40
1xBet🎯4.61I 21.69%NM 20.21%EV -5.66%E -1.23%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.80%EV -7.20%E -4.39%K -11.25%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.00%EV -7.06%E -1.74%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-04 12:39
Svenska Spel🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -5.86%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.31%EV -6.07%E -3.65%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.21%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 00:05
ATG (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -5.86%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.31%EV -6.07%E -3.65%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.21%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 00:05
Unibet (UK)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -8.21%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 20:10
Bet Right🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.44%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.13%EV -8.89%E -5.52%K -14.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -5.91%E -1.44%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-03 01:05
betano_uk🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.44%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.13%EV -8.89%E -5.52%K -14.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -5.91%E -1.44%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-03 03:59
Bet Victor🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.44%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.13%EV -8.89%E -5.52%K -14.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -5.91%E -1.44%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-03 04:00
Unibet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.02%EV -7.20%E -4.39%K -11.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -10.50%E -2.69%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 19:35
Casumo🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.02%EV -7.20%E -4.39%K -11.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -10.50%E -2.69%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 19:35
Unibet (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.02%EV -7.20%E -4.39%K -11.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -10.50%E -2.69%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 19:35
Grosvenor🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.02%EV -7.20%E -4.39%K -11.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -10.50%E -2.69%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 19:34
BetRivers🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.02%EV -7.20%E -4.39%K -11.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -10.50%E -2.69%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 19:35
Unibet (NL)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.02%EV -7.20%E -4.39%K -11.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -10.50%E -2.69%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 19:35
betPARX🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.02%EV -7.20%E -4.39%K -11.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -10.50%E -2.69%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 19:34
Paddy Power🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.96%EV -9.46%E -5.91%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -8.21%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-03 01:05
DraftKings🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -9.96%E -2.26%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.57%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -3.62%E -0.861%K -1.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-03 01:19
888sport🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.16%EV -9.96%E -2.26%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.50%EV -11.16%E -7.11%K -19.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.34%EV -12.80%E -3.37%K -4.57%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-31 01:15
William Hill🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.16%EV -9.96%E -2.26%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.50%EV -11.16%E -7.11%K -19.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.34%EV -12.80%E -3.37%K -4.57%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-31 01:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.16%EV -9.96%E -2.26%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.50%EV -11.16%E -7.11%K -19.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.34%EV -12.80%E -3.37%K -4.57%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-31 01:15
888sport (SE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.16%EV -9.96%E -2.26%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.50%EV -11.16%E -7.11%K -19.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.34%EV -12.80%E -3.37%K -4.57%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-31 01:15
TABtouch🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 20.56%EV -10.98%E -2.52%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.90%EV -9.46%E -5.91%K -15.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.54%EV -12.80%E -3.37%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-30 00:05
Betway🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -11.39%E -2.63%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.75%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -8.21%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-02 08:10
LeoVegas🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.05%EV -11.39%E -2.63%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.58%EV -7.20%E -4.39%K -11.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -10.50%E -2.69%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-03 01:14
betfred_uk🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 20.88%EV -11.39%E -2.63%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.51%EV -9.46%E -5.91%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -8.21%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-02 22:15
Sky Bet🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 20.54%EV -11.39%E -2.63%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.65%EV -11.16%E -7.11%K -19.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.81%EV -10.50%E -2.69%K -3.62%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-03 01:05
Tipico (DE)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -12.00%E -2.79%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.67%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -8.21%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-02 23:10
Virgin Bet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 20.54%EV -12.00%E -2.79%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 55.90%EV -10.59%E -6.70%K -18.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.55%EV -13.94%E -3.72%K -5.07%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-30 00:05
LiveScore Bet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 20.54%EV -12.00%E -2.79%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 55.90%EV -10.59%E -6.70%K -18.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.55%EV -13.94%E -3.72%K -5.07%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-30 00:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 20.47%EV -12.00%E -2.79%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.06%EV -11.16%E -7.11%K -19.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.47%EV -13.94%E -3.72%K -5.07%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-30 00:05
Betclic (FR)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.01%EV -13.03%E -3.07%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.80%EV -9.46%E -5.91%K -15.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.19%EV -11.65%E -3.03%K -4.09%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-02 20:10
BoyleSports🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.16%EV -14.05%E -3.35%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.62%EV -11.16%E -7.11%K -19.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -8.21%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-04 10:40
NetBet (FR)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 20.93%EV -14.05%E -3.35%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 55.63%EV -10.59%E -6.70%K -18.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.44%EV -13.94%E -3.72%K -5.07%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-04 12:35
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Kalshi◎5.00I 20.00%NM 19.78%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.49%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.73%1.1%2026-09-04 12:50
Matchbook◎4.70I 21.28%NM 20.23%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%5.2%2026-09-03 01:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.70I 21.28%NM 20.18%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.11%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.71%5.4%2026-09-04 13:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.70I 21.28%NM 20.18%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.11%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.71%5.4%2026-09-04 13:10
Smarkets◎4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.79%9.0%2026-09-03 02:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.30I 43.48%NM 34.06%1.69I 59.17%NM 46.35%4.00I 25.00%NM 19.58%27.6%2026-09-04 13:10