Język:Polski
Puebla v Toluca
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Puebla (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 20.46%4.89kurs godziwy
EV -1.77%
Przewaga -0.369%
Kelly -0.466%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 4.80
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
19.43%20.46%20.45%21.36%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
4.204.514.504.8023.81%22.19%22.22%20.83%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Toluca (Goście)
Prognoza 56.59%1.77kurs godziwy
EV -5.50%
Przewaga -3.29%
Kelly -8.21%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.67
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
55.58%56.65%56.64%58.79%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.571.621.621.6763.69%61.68%61.73%59.88%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Remis
Prognoza 22.95%4.36kurs godziwy
EV -1.32%
Przewaga -0.307%
Kelly -0.400%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 4.30
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
21.74%22.89%22.91%23.97%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.753.984.004.3026.67%25.14%25.00%23.26%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Puebla (Gospodarze): 20.46%; Toluca (Goście): 56.59%; Remis: 22.95%. Dla wyniku Remis oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 4.36. Żaden kwalifikujący się bukmacher nie oferował kursu zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu: najlepszy wynosił 4.30, przy wartości oczekiwanej -1.32%; nie dawał dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej.
Kursy bukmacherskie (46 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Remis | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.64%EV -1.77%E -0.369%K -0.466%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.18%EV -8.33%E -5.14%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.18%EV -2.47%E -0.581%K -0.760%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 01:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -1.77%E -0.369%K -0.466%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.79%EV -10.03%E -6.31%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -1.32%E -0.307%K -0.400%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-03 01:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.96%EV -2.80%E -0.588%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.46%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -3.62%E -0.861%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 12:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -2.80%E -0.588%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.91%EV -8.33%E -5.14%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -3.62%E -0.861%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-03 01:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -2.80%E -0.588%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.60%EV -8.33%E -5.14%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -5.91%E -1.44%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-31 00:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -2.80%E -0.588%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.61%EV -7.76%E -4.76%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.97%EV -11.65%E -3.03%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-03 01:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.72I 21.19%NM 20.16%EV -3.41%E -0.722%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.97%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 22.87%EV -4.53%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 13:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.72I 21.19%NM 20.16%EV -3.41%E -0.722%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.97%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 22.87%EV -4.53%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 13:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.21%EV -3.82%E -0.812%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.89%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.89%EV -4.76%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.68I 21.37%NM 20.28%EV -4.23%E -0.903%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.84%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.87%EV -4.76%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 18:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.93%EV -4.84%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.20%EV -8.33%E -5.14%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.88%EV -7.06%E -1.74%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-04 12:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.69%EV -4.84%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.52%EV -8.33%E -5.14%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.78%EV -11.65%E -3.03%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-03 01:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.69%EV -4.84%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.52%EV -8.33%E -5.14%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.78%EV -11.65%E -3.03%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-03 01:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.64I 21.55%NM 20.35%EV -5.05%E -1.09%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.22%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.21I 23.75%NM 22.43%EV -3.39%E -0.804%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.61I 21.69%NM 20.21%EV -5.66%E -1.23%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.80%EV -7.20%E -4.39%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.00%EV -7.06%E -1.74%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-04 12:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -5.86%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.31%EV -6.07%E -3.65%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.21%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 00:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -5.86%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.31%EV -6.07%E -3.65%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.21%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 00:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -8.21%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-02 20:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.44%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.13%EV -8.89%E -5.52%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -5.91%E -1.44%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-03 01:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.44%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.13%EV -8.89%E -5.52%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -5.91%E -1.44%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-03 03:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.44%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.13%EV -8.89%E -5.52%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -5.91%E -1.44%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-03 04:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.02%EV -7.20%E -4.39%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -10.50%E -2.69%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 19:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.02%EV -7.20%E -4.39%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -10.50%E -2.69%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 19:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.02%EV -7.20%E -4.39%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -10.50%E -2.69%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 19:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.02%EV -7.20%E -4.39%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -10.50%E -2.69%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 19:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.02%EV -7.20%E -4.39%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -10.50%E -2.69%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 19:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.02%EV -7.20%E -4.39%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -10.50%E -2.69%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 19:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.02%EV -7.20%E -4.39%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -10.50%E -2.69%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 19:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.96%EV -9.46%E -5.91%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -8.21%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-03 01:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -9.96%E -2.26%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.57%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -3.62%E -0.861%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-03 01:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.16%EV -9.96%E -2.26%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.50%EV -11.16%E -7.11%K -19.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.34%EV -12.80%E -3.37%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-31 01:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.16%EV -9.96%E -2.26%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.50%EV -11.16%E -7.11%K -19.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.34%EV -12.80%E -3.37%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-31 01:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.16%EV -9.96%E -2.26%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.50%EV -11.16%E -7.11%K -19.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.34%EV -12.80%E -3.37%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-31 01:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.16%EV -9.96%E -2.26%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.50%EV -11.16%E -7.11%K -19.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.34%EV -12.80%E -3.37%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-31 01:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.56%EV -10.98%E -2.52%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.90%EV -9.46%E -5.91%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.54%EV -12.80%E -3.37%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-30 00:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -11.39%E -2.63%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.75%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -8.21%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-02 08:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.05%EV -11.39%E -2.63%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.58%EV -7.20%E -4.39%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -10.50%E -2.69%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-03 01:14 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.88%EV -11.39%E -2.63%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.51%EV -9.46%E -5.91%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -8.21%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-02 22:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.54%EV -11.39%E -2.63%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.65%EV -11.16%E -7.11%K -19.58%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.81%EV -10.50%E -2.69%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-03 01:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -12.00%E -2.79%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.67%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -8.21%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-02 23:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.54%EV -12.00%E -2.79%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 55.90%EV -10.59%E -6.70%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.55%EV -13.94%E -3.72%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-30 00:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.54%EV -12.00%E -2.79%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 55.90%EV -10.59%E -6.70%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.55%EV -13.94%E -3.72%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-30 00:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.47%EV -12.00%E -2.79%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.06%EV -11.16%E -7.11%K -19.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.47%EV -13.94%E -3.72%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-08-30 00:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.01%EV -13.03%E -3.07%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.80%EV -9.46%E -5.91%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.19%EV -11.65%E -3.03%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-02 20:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.16%EV -14.05%E -3.35%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.62%EV -11.16%E -7.11%K -19.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -8.21%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.93%EV -14.05%E -3.35%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 55.63%EV -10.59%E -6.70%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.44%EV -13.94%E -3.72%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-09-04 12:35 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (6)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Remis | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.78% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.49% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.73% | 1.1% | 2026-09-04 12:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.23% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19% | 5.2% | 2026-09-03 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.18% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.11% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.71% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 13:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.18% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.11% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.71% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 13:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.79% | 9.0% | 2026-09-03 02:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 34.06% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 46.35% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 19.58% | 27.6% | 2026-09-04 13:10 |