Langue:Français
Puebla v Toluca
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Puebla (Local)
Prévision 20.46%4.89cote équitable
EV -1.77%
Avantage -0.369%
Kelly -0.466%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.80
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.43%20.46%20.45%21.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.204.514.504.8023.81%22.19%22.22%20.83%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Toluca (Visiteur)
Prévision 56.59%1.77cote équitable
EV -5.50%
Avantage -3.29%
Kelly -8.21%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.67
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.58%56.65%56.64%58.79%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.571.621.621.6763.69%61.68%61.73%59.88%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 22.95%4.36cote équitable
EV -1.32%
Avantage -0.307%
Kelly -0.400%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.30
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.74%22.89%22.91%23.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.753.984.004.3026.67%25.14%25.00%23.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Puebla (Local) : 20.46% ; Toluca (Visiteur) : 56.59% ; Match nul : 22.95%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.36. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 4.30, pour une espérance de -1.32% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.
Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.64%EV -1.77%E -0.369%K -0.466%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.18%EV -8.33%E -5.14%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.18%EV -2.47%E -0.581%K -0.760%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 01:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -1.77%E -0.369%K -0.466%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.79%EV -10.03%E -6.31%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -1.32%E -0.307%K -0.400%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-03 01:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.96%EV -2.80%E -0.588%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.46%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -3.62%E -0.861%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 12:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -2.80%E -0.588%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.91%EV -8.33%E -5.14%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -3.62%E -0.861%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-03 01:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -2.80%E -0.588%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.60%EV -8.33%E -5.14%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -5.91%E -1.44%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-31 00:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -2.80%E -0.588%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.61%EV -7.76%E -4.76%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.97%EV -11.65%E -3.03%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-03 01:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.72I 21.19%NM 20.16%EV -3.41%E -0.722%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.97%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 22.87%EV -4.53%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 13:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.72I 21.19%NM 20.16%EV -3.41%E -0.722%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.97%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 22.87%EV -4.53%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 13:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.21%EV -3.82%E -0.812%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.89%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.89%EV -4.76%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.68I 21.37%NM 20.28%EV -4.23%E -0.903%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.84%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.87%EV -4.76%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 18:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.93%EV -4.84%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.20%EV -8.33%E -5.14%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.88%EV -7.06%E -1.74%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-04 12:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.69%EV -4.84%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.52%EV -8.33%E -5.14%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.78%EV -11.65%E -3.03%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-03 01:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.69%EV -4.84%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.52%EV -8.33%E -5.14%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.78%EV -11.65%E -3.03%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-03 01:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.64I 21.55%NM 20.35%EV -5.05%E -1.09%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.22%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.21I 23.75%NM 22.43%EV -3.39%E -0.804%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.61I 21.69%NM 20.21%EV -5.66%E -1.23%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.80%EV -7.20%E -4.39%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.00%EV -7.06%E -1.74%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-04 12:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -5.86%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.31%EV -6.07%E -3.65%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.21%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 00:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -5.86%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.31%EV -6.07%E -3.65%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.21%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 00:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -8.21%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-02 20:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.44%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.13%EV -8.89%E -5.52%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -5.91%E -1.44%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-03 01:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.44%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.13%EV -8.89%E -5.52%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -5.91%E -1.44%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-03 03:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.44%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.13%EV -8.89%E -5.52%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -5.91%E -1.44%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-03 04:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.02%EV -7.20%E -4.39%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -10.50%E -2.69%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 19:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.02%EV -7.20%E -4.39%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -10.50%E -2.69%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 19:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.02%EV -7.20%E -4.39%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -10.50%E -2.69%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 19:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.02%EV -7.20%E -4.39%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -10.50%E -2.69%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 19:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.02%EV -7.20%E -4.39%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -10.50%E -2.69%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 19:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.02%EV -7.20%E -4.39%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -10.50%E -2.69%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 19:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.02%EV -7.20%E -4.39%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -10.50%E -2.69%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 19:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.96%EV -9.46%E -5.91%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -8.21%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-03 01:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -9.96%E -2.26%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.57%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -3.62%E -0.861%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-03 01:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.16%EV -9.96%E -2.26%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.50%EV -11.16%E -7.11%K -19.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.34%EV -12.80%E -3.37%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-31 01:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.16%EV -9.96%E -2.26%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.50%EV -11.16%E -7.11%K -19.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.34%EV -12.80%E -3.37%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-31 01:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.16%EV -9.96%E -2.26%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.50%EV -11.16%E -7.11%K -19.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.34%EV -12.80%E -3.37%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-31 01:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.16%EV -9.96%E -2.26%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.50%EV -11.16%E -7.11%K -19.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.34%EV -12.80%E -3.37%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-31 01:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.56%EV -10.98%E -2.52%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.90%EV -9.46%E -5.91%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.54%EV -12.80%E -3.37%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-30 00:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -11.39%E -2.63%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.75%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -8.21%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-02 08:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.05%EV -11.39%E -2.63%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.58%EV -7.20%E -4.39%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -10.50%E -2.69%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-03 01:14 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.88%EV -11.39%E -2.63%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.51%EV -9.46%E -5.91%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -8.21%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-02 22:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.54%EV -11.39%E -2.63%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.65%EV -11.16%E -7.11%K -19.58%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.81%EV -10.50%E -2.69%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-03 01:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -12.00%E -2.79%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.67%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -8.21%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-02 23:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.54%EV -12.00%E -2.79%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 55.90%EV -10.59%E -6.70%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.55%EV -13.94%E -3.72%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-30 00:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.54%EV -12.00%E -2.79%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 55.90%EV -10.59%E -6.70%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.55%EV -13.94%E -3.72%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-30 00:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.47%EV -12.00%E -2.79%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.06%EV -11.16%E -7.11%K -19.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.47%EV -13.94%E -3.72%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-08-30 00:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.01%EV -13.03%E -3.07%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.80%EV -9.46%E -5.91%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.19%EV -11.65%E -3.03%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-02 20:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.16%EV -14.05%E -3.35%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.62%EV -11.16%E -7.11%K -19.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -8.21%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.93%EV -14.05%E -3.35%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 55.63%EV -10.59%E -6.70%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.44%EV -13.94%E -3.72%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-09-04 12:35 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.78% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.49% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.73% | 1.1% | 2026-09-04 12:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.23% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19% | 5.2% | 2026-09-03 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.18% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.11% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.71% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 13:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.18% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.11% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.71% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 13:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.79% | 9.0% | 2026-09-03 02:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 34.06% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 46.35% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 19.58% | 27.6% | 2026-09-04 13:10 |