Lingua:Italiano
Puebla v Toluca
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Puebla (Casa)
Previsione 20.46%4.89quota equa
EV -1.77%
Vantaggio -0.369%
Kelly -0.466%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.80
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
19.43%20.46%20.45%21.36%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.204.514.504.8023.81%22.19%22.22%20.83%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Toluca (Trasferta)
Previsione 56.59%1.77quota equa
EV -5.50%
Vantaggio -3.29%
Kelly -8.21%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.67
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
55.58%56.65%56.64%58.79%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.571.621.621.6763.69%61.68%61.73%59.88%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Pareggio
Previsione 22.95%4.36quota equa
EV -1.32%
Vantaggio -0.307%
Kelly -0.400%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.30
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.74%22.89%22.91%23.97%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.753.984.004.3026.67%25.14%25.00%23.26%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Puebla (Casa): 20.46%; Toluca (Trasferta): 56.59%; Pareggio: 22.95%. Per Pareggio, questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 4.36. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 4.30, con un valore atteso del -1.32%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.
Quote dei bookmaker (46 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.64%EV -1.77%E -0.369%K -0.466%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.18%EV -8.33%E -5.14%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.18%EV -2.47%E -0.581%K -0.760%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 01:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -1.77%E -0.369%K -0.466%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.79%EV -10.03%E -6.31%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -1.32%E -0.307%K -0.400%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-03 01:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.96%EV -2.80%E -0.588%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.46%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -3.62%E -0.861%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 12:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -2.80%E -0.588%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.91%EV -8.33%E -5.14%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -3.62%E -0.861%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-03 01:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -2.80%E -0.588%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.60%EV -8.33%E -5.14%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -5.91%E -1.44%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-31 00:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -2.80%E -0.588%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.61%EV -7.76%E -4.76%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.97%EV -11.65%E -3.03%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-03 01:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.72I 21.19%NM 20.16%EV -3.41%E -0.722%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.97%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 22.87%EV -4.53%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 13:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.72I 21.19%NM 20.16%EV -3.41%E -0.722%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.97%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 22.87%EV -4.53%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 13:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.21%EV -3.82%E -0.812%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.89%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.89%EV -4.76%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.68I 21.37%NM 20.28%EV -4.23%E -0.903%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.84%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.87%EV -4.76%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 18:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.93%EV -4.84%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.20%EV -8.33%E -5.14%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.88%EV -7.06%E -1.74%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-04 12:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.69%EV -4.84%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.52%EV -8.33%E -5.14%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.78%EV -11.65%E -3.03%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-03 01:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.69%EV -4.84%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.52%EV -8.33%E -5.14%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.78%EV -11.65%E -3.03%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-03 01:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.64I 21.55%NM 20.35%EV -5.05%E -1.09%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.22%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.21I 23.75%NM 22.43%EV -3.39%E -0.804%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.61I 21.69%NM 20.21%EV -5.66%E -1.23%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.80%EV -7.20%E -4.39%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.00%EV -7.06%E -1.74%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-04 12:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -5.86%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.31%EV -6.07%E -3.65%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.21%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 00:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -5.86%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.31%EV -6.07%E -3.65%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.21%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 00:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -8.21%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-02 20:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.44%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.13%EV -8.89%E -5.52%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -5.91%E -1.44%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-03 01:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.44%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.13%EV -8.89%E -5.52%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -5.91%E -1.44%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-03 03:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.44%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.13%EV -8.89%E -5.52%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -5.91%E -1.44%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-03 04:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.02%EV -7.20%E -4.39%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -10.50%E -2.69%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 19:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.02%EV -7.20%E -4.39%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -10.50%E -2.69%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 19:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.02%EV -7.20%E -4.39%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -10.50%E -2.69%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 19:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.02%EV -7.20%E -4.39%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -10.50%E -2.69%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 19:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.02%EV -7.20%E -4.39%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -10.50%E -2.69%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 19:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.02%EV -7.20%E -4.39%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -10.50%E -2.69%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 19:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.02%EV -7.20%E -4.39%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -10.50%E -2.69%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 19:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.96%EV -9.46%E -5.91%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -8.21%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-03 01:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -9.96%E -2.26%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.57%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -3.62%E -0.861%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-03 01:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.16%EV -9.96%E -2.26%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.50%EV -11.16%E -7.11%K -19.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.34%EV -12.80%E -3.37%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-31 01:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.16%EV -9.96%E -2.26%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.50%EV -11.16%E -7.11%K -19.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.34%EV -12.80%E -3.37%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-31 01:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.16%EV -9.96%E -2.26%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.50%EV -11.16%E -7.11%K -19.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.34%EV -12.80%E -3.37%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-31 01:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.16%EV -9.96%E -2.26%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.50%EV -11.16%E -7.11%K -19.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.34%EV -12.80%E -3.37%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-31 01:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.56%EV -10.98%E -2.52%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.90%EV -9.46%E -5.91%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.54%EV -12.80%E -3.37%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-30 00:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -11.39%E -2.63%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.75%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -8.21%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-02 08:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.05%EV -11.39%E -2.63%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.58%EV -7.20%E -4.39%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -10.50%E -2.69%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-03 01:14 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.88%EV -11.39%E -2.63%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.51%EV -9.46%E -5.91%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -8.21%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-02 22:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.54%EV -11.39%E -2.63%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.65%EV -11.16%E -7.11%K -19.58%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.81%EV -10.50%E -2.69%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-03 01:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -12.00%E -2.79%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.67%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -8.21%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-02 23:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.54%EV -12.00%E -2.79%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 55.90%EV -10.59%E -6.70%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.55%EV -13.94%E -3.72%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-30 00:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.54%EV -12.00%E -2.79%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 55.90%EV -10.59%E -6.70%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.55%EV -13.94%E -3.72%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-30 00:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.47%EV -12.00%E -2.79%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.06%EV -11.16%E -7.11%K -19.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.47%EV -13.94%E -3.72%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-08-30 00:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.01%EV -13.03%E -3.07%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.80%EV -9.46%E -5.91%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.19%EV -11.65%E -3.03%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-02 20:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.16%EV -14.05%E -3.35%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.62%EV -11.16%E -7.11%K -19.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -8.21%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.93%EV -14.05%E -3.35%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 55.63%EV -10.59%E -6.70%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.44%EV -13.94%E -3.72%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-09-04 12:35 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.78% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.49% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.73% | 1.1% | 2026-09-04 12:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.23% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19% | 5.2% | 2026-09-03 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.18% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.11% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.71% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 13:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.18% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.11% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.71% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 13:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.79% | 9.0% | 2026-09-03 02:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 34.06% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 46.35% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 19.58% | 27.6% | 2026-09-04 13:10 |