语言:简体中文
Puebla v Guadalajara
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Puebla (主队)
预测 16.07%6.22公平赔率
EV +5.29%
优势 +0.807%
Kelly +0.952%
增长率 +0.050%
假设最高赔率为 6.55
博彩公司预测分布
14.44%16.11%16.17%18.13%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.005.685.606.5520.00%17.60%17.86%15.27%最小值均值中位数最大值
Guadalajara (客队)
预测 62.94%1.59公平赔率
EV -2.44%
优势 -1.57%
Kelly -4.43%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.55
博彩公司预测分布
60.68%62.88%62.87%64.91%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.381.481.491.5572.46%67.59%67.11%64.52%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 20.98%4.77公平赔率
EV +0.502%
优势 +0.105%
Kelly +0.132%
增长率 +0.001%
假设最高赔率为 4.79
博彩公司预测分布
19.72%21.01%20.96%22.76%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.954.314.204.7925.32%23.21%23.81%20.88%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Puebla (主队)：16.07%；Guadalajara (客队)：62.94%；平局：20.98%。 对于“Puebla (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为6.22。 当时有5家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为6.55，对应+5.29%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (47 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 6.55I 15.27%NM 14.77%EV +5.29%E +0.807%K +0.952%G +0.050% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.91%EV -6.21%E -4.17%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.32%EV -0.128%E -0.027%K -0.034%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-01 00:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 6.55I 15.27%NM 14.77%EV +5.29%E +0.807%K +0.952%G +0.050% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.91%EV -6.21%E -4.17%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.32%EV -0.128%E -0.027%K -0.034%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-01 00:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV +4.48%E +0.689%K +0.815%G +0.037% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -8.73%E -6.02%K -19.40%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -5.58%E -1.24%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-01 00:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 6.43I 15.55%NM 14.80%EV +3.36%E +0.522%K +0.618%G +0.021% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.29%EV -6.84%E -4.62%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.91%EV -4.53%E -0.996%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-01 00:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 6.23I 16.05%NM 15.47%EV +0.142%E +0.023%K +0.027%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.27%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.25%EV -0.128%E -0.027%K -0.034%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-01 00:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 6.11I 16.37%NM 15.75%EV -1.79%E -0.293%K -0.350%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.16%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 4.79I 20.88%NM 20.09%EV +0.502%E +0.105%K +0.132%G +0.001% | 3.9% | 2026-08-01 00:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -3.56%E -0.593%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.60%EV -6.21%E -4.17%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.60%EV -3.48%E -0.758%K -0.968%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-01 00:34 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -3.56%E -0.593%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.94%EV -8.73%E -6.02%K -19.40%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -5.58%E -1.24%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-01 00:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -3.56%E -0.593%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.83%EV -9.99%E -6.99%K -23.23%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.72%EV -1.39%E -0.295%K -0.375%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-01 00:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.95I 16.81%NM 15.57%EV -4.36%E -0.733%K -0.881%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.03%EV -7.47%E -5.08%K -15.90%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -9.15%E -2.11%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-01 00:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -5.16%E -0.875%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.58%EV -4.32%E -2.85%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -12.93%E -3.11%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-01 00:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -5.16%E -0.875%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.58%EV -4.32%E -2.85%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -12.93%E -3.11%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-01 00:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.81%EV -5.16%E -0.875%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.90%EV -8.10%E -5.55%K -17.61%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -3.48%E -0.758%K -0.968%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-01 00:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.38%EV -6.77%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.28%EV -2.44%E -1.57%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35%EV -10.83%E -2.55%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 00:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.38%EV -6.77%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.28%EV -2.44%E -1.57%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35%EV -10.83%E -2.55%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 00:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -7.57%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -5.58%E -1.24%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-01 00:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -7.57%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -5.58%E -1.24%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-01 00:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -7.57%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -9.15%E -2.11%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-01 00:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -7.57%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -13.98%E -3.41%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-01 00:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.70%EV -7.57%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.27%EV -8.73%E -6.02%K -19.40%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -13.98%E -3.41%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-01 00:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.14%EV -8.38%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.43%EV -8.73%E -6.02%K -19.40%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.44%EV -5.58%E -1.24%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-01 00:34 |
| GTbets🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.95%EV -9.99%E -1.78%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.46%EV -4.32%E -2.85%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 4.61I 21.69%NM 20.59%EV -3.27%E -0.710%K -0.907%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 00:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.62%EV -9.99%E -1.78%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -4.32%E -2.85%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.16%EV -11.88%E -2.83%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-01 00:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.55%EV -9.99%E -1.78%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -4.95%E -3.28%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -11.88%E -2.83%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-01 00:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.55%EV -9.99%E -1.78%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -4.95%E -3.28%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -11.88%E -2.83%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-01 00:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.55%EV -9.99%E -1.78%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -4.95%E -3.28%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -11.88%E -2.83%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-01 00:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.55%EV -9.99%E -1.78%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -4.95%E -3.28%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -11.88%E -2.83%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-01 00:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.55%EV -9.99%E -1.78%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -4.95%E -3.28%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -11.88%E -2.83%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-01 00:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.55%EV -9.99%E -1.78%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -4.95%E -3.28%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -11.88%E -2.83%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-01 00:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.40%EV -9.99%E -1.78%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -13.98%E -3.41%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-01 00:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.36%EV -9.99%E -1.78%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.33%EV -7.47%E -5.08%K -15.90%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.31%EV -9.78%E -2.27%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-01 00:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.59%E -2.11%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -11.88%E -2.83%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-01 00:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -11.59%E -2.11%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.19%EV -6.21%E -4.17%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%EV -13.98%E -3.41%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-01 00:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -11.59%E -2.11%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.19%EV -6.21%E -4.17%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%EV -13.98%E -3.41%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-01 00:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -11.59%E -2.11%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -16.07%E -4.02%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-01 00:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.35%EV -11.59%E -2.11%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.17%EV -7.47%E -5.08%K -15.90%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -16.07%E -4.02%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-01 00:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.18%EV -11.59%E -2.11%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.58%EV -11.88%E -8.48%K -29.70%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.23%EV -7.68%E -1.75%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-01 00:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.18%EV -11.59%E -2.11%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.58%EV -11.88%E -8.48%K -29.70%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.23%EV -7.68%E -1.75%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-01 00:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.28%EV -13.20%E -2.44%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.47%EV -9.99%E -6.99%K -23.23%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.25%EV -17.12%E -4.33%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-01 00:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.39%EV -14.81%E -2.79%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 62.93%EV -13.14%E -9.52%K -34.57%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.68%EV -11.88%E -2.83%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-08-01 00:53 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.13%EV -15.61%E -2.97%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.40%EV -2.44%E -1.57%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.47%EV -2.44%E -0.524%K -0.667%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-01 00:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.03%EV -15.61%E -2.97%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.67%EV -8.73%E -6.02%K -19.40%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -11.88%E -2.83%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-01 00:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.67%EV -15.61%E -2.97%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.50%EV -11.88%E -8.48%K -29.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.83%EV -11.88%E -2.83%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-01 00:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -19.63%E -3.93%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -9.36%E -6.50%K -21.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -16.07%E -4.02%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-01 00:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -19.63%E -3.93%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -9.36%E -6.50%K -21.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -16.07%E -4.02%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-01 00:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -19.63%E -3.93%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -9.36%E -6.50%K -21.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -16.07%E -4.02%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-01 00:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -19.63%E -3.93%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -9.36%E -6.50%K -21.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -16.07%E -4.02%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-01 00:35 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (6)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.41% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.46% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.13% | 1.4% | 2026-08-01 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.41% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.46% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.13% | 1.4% | 2026-08-01 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.41% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.46% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.13% | 1.4% | 2026-08-01 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.41% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.46% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.13% | 1.4% | 2026-08-01 00:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.72% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.63% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.65% | 1.8% | 2026-08-01 00:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.28% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.76% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.96% | 2.3% | 2026-08-01 00:55 |