StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Puebla v Guadalajara

Matchstart: 2026-08-01 01:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Puebla 1–1 Guadalajara

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

47 spelbolag (15 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Puebla (Hemma)

Prognos 16.07%6.22rättvist odds
EV +5.29%
Fördel +0.807%
Kelly +0.952%
Tillväxt +0.050%

med antagandet om högsta odds 6.55

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
14.44%16.11%16.17%18.13%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
5.005.685.606.5520.00%17.60%17.86%15.27%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Guadalajara (Borta)

Prognos 62.94%1.59rättvist odds
EV -2.44%
Fördel -1.57%
Kelly -4.43%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.55

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
60.68%62.88%62.87%64.91%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.381.481.491.5572.46%67.59%67.11%64.52%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 20.98%4.77rättvist odds
EV +0.502%
Fördel +0.105%
Kelly +0.132%
Tillväxt +0.001%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.79

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
19.72%21.01%20.96%22.76%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.954.314.204.7925.32%23.21%23.81%20.88%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Puebla (Hemma): 16.07%; Guadalajara (Borta): 62.94%; Oavgjort: 20.98%. För Puebla (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 6.22. 5 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 6.55, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +5.29%.

Spelbolagsodds (47 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
BetOnline.ag🎯6.55I 15.27%NM 14.77%EV +5.29%E +0.807%K +0.952%G +0.050%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.91%EV -6.21%E -4.17%K -12.68%G +0.000%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.32%EV -0.128%E -0.027%K -0.034%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-01 00:50
LowVig.ag🎯6.55I 15.27%NM 14.77%EV +5.29%E +0.807%K +0.952%G +0.050%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.91%EV -6.21%E -4.17%K -12.68%G +0.000%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.32%EV -0.128%E -0.027%K -0.034%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-01 00:50
Bet Victor🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV +4.48%E +0.689%K +0.815%G +0.037%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -8.73%E -6.02%K -19.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -5.58%E -1.24%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-01 00:54
BetUS🎯6.43I 15.55%NM 14.80%EV +3.36%E +0.522%K +0.618%G +0.021%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.29%EV -6.84%E -4.62%K -14.26%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.91%EV -4.53%E -0.996%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 00:44
Pinnacle🎯6.23I 16.05%NM 15.47%EV +0.142%E +0.023%K +0.027%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.27%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.25%EV -0.128%E -0.027%K -0.034%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-01 00:45
1xBet🎯6.11I 16.37%NM 15.75%EV -1.79%E -0.293%K -0.350%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.16%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.79I 20.88%NM 20.09%EV +0.502%E +0.105%K +0.132%G +0.001%3.9%2026-08-01 00:55
DraftKings🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -3.56%E -0.593%K -0.711%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.60%EV -6.21%E -4.17%K -12.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.60%EV -3.48%E -0.758%K -0.968%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-01 00:34
betano_uk🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -3.56%E -0.593%K -0.711%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.94%EV -8.73%E -6.02%K -19.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -5.58%E -1.24%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-01 00:54
FanDuel🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -3.56%E -0.593%K -0.711%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.83%EV -9.99%E -6.99%K -23.23%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.72%EV -1.39%E -0.295%K -0.375%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-01 00:50
Marathon Bet🎯5.95I 16.81%NM 15.57%EV -4.36%E -0.733%K -0.881%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.03%EV -7.47%E -5.08%K -15.90%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -9.15%E -2.11%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-01 00:50
Betsson🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -5.16%E -0.875%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.58%EV -4.32%E -2.85%K -8.32%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -12.93%E -3.11%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-01 00:55
NordicBet🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -5.16%E -0.875%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.58%EV -4.32%E -2.85%K -8.32%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -12.93%E -3.11%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-01 00:50
SportsBet🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 15.81%EV -5.16%E -0.875%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 63.90%EV -8.10%E -5.55%K -17.61%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -3.48%E -0.758%K -0.968%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-01 00:49
ATG (SE)🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.38%EV -6.77%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.28%EV -2.44%E -1.57%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35%EV -10.83%E -2.55%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 00:34
Svenska Spel🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.38%EV -6.77%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.28%EV -2.44%E -1.57%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35%EV -10.83%E -2.55%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 00:35
Fanatics🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -7.57%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -5.58%E -1.24%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-01 00:35
Unibet (UK)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -7.57%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -5.58%E -1.24%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-01 00:55
Betway🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -7.57%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -9.15%E -2.11%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-01 00:50
PlayUp🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -7.57%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -13.98%E -3.41%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-01 00:49
Everygame🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.70%EV -7.57%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.27%EV -8.73%E -6.02%K -19.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -13.98%E -3.41%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-01 00:54
Tipico (DE)🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 16.14%EV -8.38%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.43%EV -8.73%E -6.02%K -19.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.44%EV -5.58%E -1.24%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-01 00:34
GTbets🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.95%EV -9.99%E -1.78%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.46%EV -4.32%E -2.85%K -8.32%G +0.000%4.61I 21.69%NM 20.59%EV -3.27%E -0.710%K -0.907%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 00:35
Unibet🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.62%EV -9.99%E -1.78%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -4.32%E -2.85%K -8.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.16%EV -11.88%E -2.83%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-01 00:34
Unibet (SE)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.55%EV -9.99%E -1.78%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -4.95%E -3.28%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -11.88%E -2.83%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-01 00:35
Unibet (NL)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.55%EV -9.99%E -1.78%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -4.95%E -3.28%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -11.88%E -2.83%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-01 00:35
Grosvenor🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.55%EV -9.99%E -1.78%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -4.95%E -3.28%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -11.88%E -2.83%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-01 00:34
BetRivers🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.55%EV -9.99%E -1.78%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -4.95%E -3.28%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -11.88%E -2.83%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-01 00:35
Casumo🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.55%EV -9.99%E -1.78%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -4.95%E -3.28%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -11.88%E -2.83%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-01 00:35
betPARX🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.55%EV -9.99%E -1.78%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -4.95%E -3.28%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -11.88%E -2.83%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-01 00:35
TABtouch🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.40%EV -9.99%E -1.78%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -13.98%E -3.41%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-01 00:35
LeoVegas🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.36%EV -9.99%E -1.78%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.33%EV -7.47%E -5.08%K -15.90%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.31%EV -9.78%E -2.27%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-01 00:54
Bet Right🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.59%E -2.11%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -11.88%E -2.83%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-01 00:34
LiveScore Bet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -11.59%E -2.11%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.19%EV -6.21%E -4.17%K -12.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%EV -13.98%E -3.41%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-01 00:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -11.59%E -2.11%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.19%EV -6.21%E -4.17%K -12.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%EV -13.98%E -3.41%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-01 00:35
betfred_uk🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -11.59%E -2.11%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -16.07%E -4.02%K -5.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-01 00:34
Virgin Bet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.35%EV -11.59%E -2.11%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.17%EV -7.47%E -5.08%K -15.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -16.07%E -4.02%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-01 00:34
Paddy Power🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.18%EV -11.59%E -2.11%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.58%EV -11.88%E -8.48%K -29.70%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.23%EV -7.68%E -1.75%K -2.26%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-01 00:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.18%EV -11.59%E -2.11%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.58%EV -11.88%E -8.48%K -29.70%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.23%EV -7.68%E -1.75%K -2.26%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-01 00:49
PMU (FR)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 16.28%EV -13.20%E -2.44%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 61.47%EV -9.99%E -6.99%K -23.23%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.25%EV -17.12%E -4.33%K -5.80%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-01 00:35
NetBet (FR)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 16.39%EV -14.81%E -2.79%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 62.93%EV -13.14%E -9.52%K -34.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.68%EV -11.88%E -2.83%K -3.71%G +0.000%15.1%2026-08-01 00:53
Coolbet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.13%EV -15.61%E -2.97%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.40%EV -2.44%E -1.57%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.47%EV -2.44%E -0.524%K -0.667%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 00:54
Betclic (FR)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.03%EV -15.61%E -2.97%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 61.67%EV -8.73%E -6.02%K -19.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -11.88%E -2.83%K -3.71%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-01 00:54
Sky Bet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 16.67%EV -15.61%E -2.97%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 62.50%EV -11.88%E -8.48%K -29.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.83%EV -11.88%E -2.83%K -3.71%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-01 00:49
888sport🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -19.63%E -3.93%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -9.36%E -6.50%K -21.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -16.07%E -4.02%K -5.36%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-01 00:35
William Hill🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -19.63%E -3.93%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -9.36%E -6.50%K -21.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -16.07%E -4.02%K -5.36%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-01 00:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -19.63%E -3.93%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -9.36%E -6.50%K -21.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -16.07%E -4.02%K -5.36%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-01 00:35
888sport (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -19.63%E -3.93%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -9.36%E -6.50%K -21.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -16.07%E -4.02%K -5.36%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-01 00:35
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook6.40I 15.63%NM 15.41%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.46%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.13%1.4%2026-08-01 00:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.41%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.46%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.13%1.4%2026-08-01 00:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.41%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.46%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.13%1.4%2026-08-01 00:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.41%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.46%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.13%1.4%2026-08-01 00:55
Kalshi6.25I 16.00%NM 15.72%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.63%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.65%1.8%2026-08-01 00:55
Smarkets6.40I 15.63%NM 15.28%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.76%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.96%2.3%2026-08-01 00:55