StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Puebla v Guadalajara

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-01 01:00 UTC

Endstand: Puebla 1–1 Guadalajara

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

47 Wettanbieter (15 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Puebla (Heim)

Prognose 16.07%6.22faire Quote
EV +5.29%
Vorteil +0.807%
Kelly +0.952%
Wachstum +0.050%

bei einer Höchstquote von 6.55

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
14.44%16.11%16.17%18.13%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
5.005.685.606.5520.00%17.60%17.86%15.27%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Guadalajara (Auswärts)

Prognose 62.94%1.59faire Quote
EV -2.44%
Vorteil -1.57%
Kelly -4.43%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.55

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
60.68%62.88%62.87%64.91%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.381.481.491.5572.46%67.59%67.11%64.52%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 20.98%4.77faire Quote
EV +0.502%
Vorteil +0.105%
Kelly +0.132%
Wachstum +0.001%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.79

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
19.72%21.01%20.96%22.76%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.954.314.204.7925.32%23.21%23.81%20.88%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Puebla (Heim): 16.07%; Guadalajara (Auswärts): 62.94%; Unentschieden: 20.98%. Für Puebla (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 6.22. 5 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 6.55 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +5.29%.

Wettanbieterquoten (47 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsUnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
BetOnline.ag🎯6.55I 15.27%NM 14.77%EV +5.29%E +0.807%K +0.952%G +0.050%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.91%EV -6.21%E -4.17%K -12.68%G +0.000%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.32%EV -0.128%E -0.027%K -0.034%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-01 00:50
LowVig.ag🎯6.55I 15.27%NM 14.77%EV +5.29%E +0.807%K +0.952%G +0.050%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.91%EV -6.21%E -4.17%K -12.68%G +0.000%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.32%EV -0.128%E -0.027%K -0.034%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-01 00:50
Bet Victor🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV +4.48%E +0.689%K +0.815%G +0.037%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -8.73%E -6.02%K -19.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -5.58%E -1.24%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-01 00:54
BetUS🎯6.43I 15.55%NM 14.80%EV +3.36%E +0.522%K +0.618%G +0.021%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.29%EV -6.84%E -4.62%K -14.26%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.91%EV -4.53%E -0.996%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 00:44
Pinnacle🎯6.23I 16.05%NM 15.47%EV +0.142%E +0.023%K +0.027%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.27%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.25%EV -0.128%E -0.027%K -0.034%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-01 00:45
1xBet🎯6.11I 16.37%NM 15.75%EV -1.79%E -0.293%K -0.350%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.16%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.79I 20.88%NM 20.09%EV +0.502%E +0.105%K +0.132%G +0.001%3.9%2026-08-01 00:55
DraftKings🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -3.56%E -0.593%K -0.711%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.60%EV -6.21%E -4.17%K -12.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.60%EV -3.48%E -0.758%K -0.968%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-01 00:34
betano_uk🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -3.56%E -0.593%K -0.711%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.94%EV -8.73%E -6.02%K -19.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -5.58%E -1.24%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-01 00:54
FanDuel🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -3.56%E -0.593%K -0.711%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.83%EV -9.99%E -6.99%K -23.23%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.72%EV -1.39%E -0.295%K -0.375%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-01 00:50
Marathon Bet🎯5.95I 16.81%NM 15.57%EV -4.36%E -0.733%K -0.881%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.03%EV -7.47%E -5.08%K -15.90%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -9.15%E -2.11%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-01 00:50
Betsson🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -5.16%E -0.875%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.58%EV -4.32%E -2.85%K -8.32%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -12.93%E -3.11%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-01 00:55
NordicBet🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -5.16%E -0.875%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.58%EV -4.32%E -2.85%K -8.32%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -12.93%E -3.11%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-01 00:50
SportsBet🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 15.81%EV -5.16%E -0.875%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 63.90%EV -8.10%E -5.55%K -17.61%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -3.48%E -0.758%K -0.968%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-01 00:49
ATG (SE)🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.38%EV -6.77%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.28%EV -2.44%E -1.57%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35%EV -10.83%E -2.55%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 00:34
Svenska Spel🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.38%EV -6.77%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.28%EV -2.44%E -1.57%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35%EV -10.83%E -2.55%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 00:35
Fanatics🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -7.57%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -5.58%E -1.24%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-01 00:35
Unibet (UK)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -7.57%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -5.58%E -1.24%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-01 00:55
Betway🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -7.57%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -9.15%E -2.11%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-01 00:50
PlayUp🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -7.57%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -13.98%E -3.41%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-01 00:49
Everygame🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.70%EV -7.57%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.27%EV -8.73%E -6.02%K -19.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -13.98%E -3.41%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-01 00:54
Tipico (DE)🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 16.14%EV -8.38%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.43%EV -8.73%E -6.02%K -19.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.44%EV -5.58%E -1.24%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-01 00:34
GTbets🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.95%EV -9.99%E -1.78%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.46%EV -4.32%E -2.85%K -8.32%G +0.000%4.61I 21.69%NM 20.59%EV -3.27%E -0.710%K -0.907%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 00:35
Unibet🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.62%EV -9.99%E -1.78%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -4.32%E -2.85%K -8.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.16%EV -11.88%E -2.83%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-01 00:34
Unibet (SE)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.55%EV -9.99%E -1.78%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -4.95%E -3.28%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -11.88%E -2.83%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-01 00:35
Unibet (NL)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.55%EV -9.99%E -1.78%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -4.95%E -3.28%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -11.88%E -2.83%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-01 00:35
Grosvenor🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.55%EV -9.99%E -1.78%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -4.95%E -3.28%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -11.88%E -2.83%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-01 00:34
BetRivers🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.55%EV -9.99%E -1.78%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -4.95%E -3.28%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -11.88%E -2.83%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-01 00:35
Casumo🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.55%EV -9.99%E -1.78%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -4.95%E -3.28%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -11.88%E -2.83%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-01 00:35
betPARX🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.55%EV -9.99%E -1.78%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -4.95%E -3.28%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -11.88%E -2.83%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-01 00:35
TABtouch🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.40%EV -9.99%E -1.78%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -13.98%E -3.41%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-01 00:35
LeoVegas🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.36%EV -9.99%E -1.78%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.33%EV -7.47%E -5.08%K -15.90%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.31%EV -9.78%E -2.27%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-01 00:54
Bet Right🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.59%E -2.11%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -11.88%E -2.83%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-01 00:34
LiveScore Bet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -11.59%E -2.11%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.19%EV -6.21%E -4.17%K -12.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%EV -13.98%E -3.41%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-01 00:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -11.59%E -2.11%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.19%EV -6.21%E -4.17%K -12.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%EV -13.98%E -3.41%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-01 00:35
betfred_uk🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -11.59%E -2.11%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -16.07%E -4.02%K -5.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-01 00:34
Virgin Bet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.35%EV -11.59%E -2.11%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.17%EV -7.47%E -5.08%K -15.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -16.07%E -4.02%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-01 00:34
Paddy Power🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.18%EV -11.59%E -2.11%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.58%EV -11.88%E -8.48%K -29.70%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.23%EV -7.68%E -1.75%K -2.26%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-01 00:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.18%EV -11.59%E -2.11%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.58%EV -11.88%E -8.48%K -29.70%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.23%EV -7.68%E -1.75%K -2.26%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-01 00:49
PMU (FR)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 16.28%EV -13.20%E -2.44%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 61.47%EV -9.99%E -6.99%K -23.23%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.25%EV -17.12%E -4.33%K -5.80%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-01 00:35
NetBet (FR)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 16.39%EV -14.81%E -2.79%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 62.93%EV -13.14%E -9.52%K -34.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.68%EV -11.88%E -2.83%K -3.71%G +0.000%15.1%2026-08-01 00:53
Coolbet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.13%EV -15.61%E -2.97%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.40%EV -2.44%E -1.57%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.47%EV -2.44%E -0.524%K -0.667%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 00:54
Betclic (FR)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.03%EV -15.61%E -2.97%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 61.67%EV -8.73%E -6.02%K -19.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -11.88%E -2.83%K -3.71%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-01 00:54
Sky Bet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 16.67%EV -15.61%E -2.97%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 62.50%EV -11.88%E -8.48%K -29.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.83%EV -11.88%E -2.83%K -3.71%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-01 00:49
888sport🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -19.63%E -3.93%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -9.36%E -6.50%K -21.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -16.07%E -4.02%K -5.36%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-01 00:35
William Hill🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -19.63%E -3.93%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -9.36%E -6.50%K -21.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -16.07%E -4.02%K -5.36%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-01 00:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -19.63%E -3.93%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -9.36%E -6.50%K -21.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -16.07%E -4.02%K -5.36%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-01 00:35
888sport (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -19.63%E -3.93%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -9.36%E -6.50%K -21.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -16.07%E -4.02%K -5.36%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-01 00:35
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook6.40I 15.63%NM 15.41%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.46%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.13%1.4%2026-08-01 00:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.41%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.46%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.13%1.4%2026-08-01 00:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.41%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.46%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.13%1.4%2026-08-01 00:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.41%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.46%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.13%1.4%2026-08-01 00:55
Kalshi6.25I 16.00%NM 15.72%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.63%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.65%1.8%2026-08-01 00:55
Smarkets6.40I 15.63%NM 15.28%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.76%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.96%2.3%2026-08-01 00:55