Idioma:Español
Puebla v Guadalajara
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Puebla (Local)
Predicción 16.07%6.22momio equitativo
EV +5.29%
Ventaja +0.807%
Kelly +0.952%
Crecimiento +0.050%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.44%16.11%16.17%18.13%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
5.005.685.606.5520.00%17.60%17.86%15.27%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Guadalajara (Visitante)
Predicción 62.94%1.59momio equitativo
EV -2.44%
Ventaja -1.57%
Kelly -4.43%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.68%62.88%62.87%64.91%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.381.481.491.5572.46%67.59%67.11%64.52%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 20.98%4.77momio equitativo
EV +0.502%
Ventaja +0.105%
Kelly +0.132%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.79
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.72%21.01%20.96%22.76%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.954.314.204.7925.32%23.21%23.81%20.88%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Puebla (Local): 16.07%; Guadalajara (Visitante): 62.94%; Empate: 20.98%. Para Puebla (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 6.22. 5 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 6.55, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +5.29%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 6.55I 15.27%NM 14.77%EV +5.29%E +0.807%K +0.952%G +0.050% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.91%EV -6.21%E -4.17%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.32%EV -0.128%E -0.027%K -0.034%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-01 00:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 6.55I 15.27%NM 14.77%EV +5.29%E +0.807%K +0.952%G +0.050% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.91%EV -6.21%E -4.17%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.32%EV -0.128%E -0.027%K -0.034%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-01 00:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV +4.48%E +0.689%K +0.815%G +0.037% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -8.73%E -6.02%K -19.40%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -5.58%E -1.24%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-01 00:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 6.43I 15.55%NM 14.80%EV +3.36%E +0.522%K +0.618%G +0.021% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.29%EV -6.84%E -4.62%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.91%EV -4.53%E -0.996%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-01 00:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 6.23I 16.05%NM 15.47%EV +0.142%E +0.023%K +0.027%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.27%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.25%EV -0.128%E -0.027%K -0.034%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-01 00:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 6.11I 16.37%NM 15.75%EV -1.79%E -0.293%K -0.350%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.16%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 4.79I 20.88%NM 20.09%EV +0.502%E +0.105%K +0.132%G +0.001% | 3.9% | 2026-08-01 00:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -3.56%E -0.593%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.60%EV -6.21%E -4.17%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.60%EV -3.48%E -0.758%K -0.968%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-01 00:34 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -3.56%E -0.593%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.94%EV -8.73%E -6.02%K -19.40%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -5.58%E -1.24%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-01 00:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -3.56%E -0.593%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.83%EV -9.99%E -6.99%K -23.23%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.72%EV -1.39%E -0.295%K -0.375%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-01 00:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.95I 16.81%NM 15.57%EV -4.36%E -0.733%K -0.881%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.03%EV -7.47%E -5.08%K -15.90%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -9.15%E -2.11%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-01 00:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -5.16%E -0.875%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.58%EV -4.32%E -2.85%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -12.93%E -3.11%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-01 00:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -5.16%E -0.875%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.58%EV -4.32%E -2.85%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -12.93%E -3.11%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-01 00:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.81%EV -5.16%E -0.875%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.90%EV -8.10%E -5.55%K -17.61%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -3.48%E -0.758%K -0.968%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-01 00:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.38%EV -6.77%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.28%EV -2.44%E -1.57%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35%EV -10.83%E -2.55%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 00:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.38%EV -6.77%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.28%EV -2.44%E -1.57%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35%EV -10.83%E -2.55%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 00:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -7.57%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -5.58%E -1.24%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-01 00:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -7.57%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -5.58%E -1.24%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-01 00:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -7.57%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -9.15%E -2.11%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-01 00:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -7.57%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -13.98%E -3.41%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-01 00:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.70%EV -7.57%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.27%EV -8.73%E -6.02%K -19.40%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -13.98%E -3.41%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-01 00:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.14%EV -8.38%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.43%EV -8.73%E -6.02%K -19.40%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.44%EV -5.58%E -1.24%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-01 00:34 |
| GTbets🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.95%EV -9.99%E -1.78%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.46%EV -4.32%E -2.85%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 4.61I 21.69%NM 20.59%EV -3.27%E -0.710%K -0.907%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 00:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.62%EV -9.99%E -1.78%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -4.32%E -2.85%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.16%EV -11.88%E -2.83%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-01 00:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.55%EV -9.99%E -1.78%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -4.95%E -3.28%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -11.88%E -2.83%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-01 00:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.55%EV -9.99%E -1.78%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -4.95%E -3.28%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -11.88%E -2.83%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-01 00:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.55%EV -9.99%E -1.78%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -4.95%E -3.28%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -11.88%E -2.83%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-01 00:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.55%EV -9.99%E -1.78%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -4.95%E -3.28%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -11.88%E -2.83%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-01 00:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.55%EV -9.99%E -1.78%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -4.95%E -3.28%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -11.88%E -2.83%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-01 00:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.55%EV -9.99%E -1.78%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -4.95%E -3.28%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -11.88%E -2.83%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-01 00:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.40%EV -9.99%E -1.78%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -13.98%E -3.41%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-01 00:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.36%EV -9.99%E -1.78%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.33%EV -7.47%E -5.08%K -15.90%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.31%EV -9.78%E -2.27%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-01 00:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.59%E -2.11%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -11.88%E -2.83%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-01 00:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -11.59%E -2.11%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.19%EV -6.21%E -4.17%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%EV -13.98%E -3.41%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-01 00:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -11.59%E -2.11%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.19%EV -6.21%E -4.17%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%EV -13.98%E -3.41%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-01 00:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -11.59%E -2.11%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -16.07%E -4.02%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-01 00:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.35%EV -11.59%E -2.11%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.17%EV -7.47%E -5.08%K -15.90%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -16.07%E -4.02%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-01 00:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.18%EV -11.59%E -2.11%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.58%EV -11.88%E -8.48%K -29.70%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.23%EV -7.68%E -1.75%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-01 00:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.18%EV -11.59%E -2.11%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.58%EV -11.88%E -8.48%K -29.70%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.23%EV -7.68%E -1.75%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-01 00:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.28%EV -13.20%E -2.44%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.47%EV -9.99%E -6.99%K -23.23%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.25%EV -17.12%E -4.33%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-01 00:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.39%EV -14.81%E -2.79%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 62.93%EV -13.14%E -9.52%K -34.57%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.68%EV -11.88%E -2.83%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-08-01 00:53 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.13%EV -15.61%E -2.97%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.40%EV -2.44%E -1.57%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.47%EV -2.44%E -0.524%K -0.667%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-01 00:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.03%EV -15.61%E -2.97%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.67%EV -8.73%E -6.02%K -19.40%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -11.88%E -2.83%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-01 00:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.67%EV -15.61%E -2.97%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.50%EV -11.88%E -8.48%K -29.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.83%EV -11.88%E -2.83%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-01 00:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -19.63%E -3.93%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -9.36%E -6.50%K -21.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -16.07%E -4.02%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-01 00:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -19.63%E -3.93%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -9.36%E -6.50%K -21.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -16.07%E -4.02%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-01 00:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -19.63%E -3.93%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -9.36%E -6.50%K -21.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -16.07%E -4.02%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-01 00:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -19.63%E -3.93%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -9.36%E -6.50%K -21.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -16.07%E -4.02%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-01 00:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.41% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.46% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.13% | 1.4% | 2026-08-01 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.41% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.46% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.13% | 1.4% | 2026-08-01 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.41% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.46% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.13% | 1.4% | 2026-08-01 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.41% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.46% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.13% | 1.4% | 2026-08-01 00:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.72% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.63% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.65% | 1.8% | 2026-08-01 00:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.28% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.76% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.96% | 2.3% | 2026-08-01 00:55 |