Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Puebla v Guadalajara

Inizio: 2026-08-01 01:00 UTC

Finale: Puebla 1–1 Guadalajara

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

47 bookmaker (15 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Puebla (Casa)

Previsione 16.07%6.22quota equa
EV +5.29%
Vantaggio +0.807%
Kelly +0.952%
Crescita +0.050%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.55

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
14.44%16.11%16.17%18.13%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
5.005.685.606.5520.00%17.60%17.86%15.27%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Guadalajara (Trasferta)

Previsione 62.94%1.59quota equa
EV -2.44%
Vantaggio -1.57%
Kelly -4.43%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.55

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
60.68%62.88%62.87%64.91%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.381.481.491.5572.46%67.59%67.11%64.52%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 20.98%4.77quota equa
EV +0.502%
Vantaggio +0.105%
Kelly +0.132%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.79

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
19.72%21.01%20.96%22.76%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.954.314.204.7925.32%23.21%23.81%20.88%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Puebla (Casa): 16.07%; Guadalajara (Trasferta): 62.94%; Pareggio: 20.98%. Per Puebla (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 6.22. 5 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 6.55, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +5.29%.

Quote dei bookmaker (47 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
BetOnline.ag🎯6.55I 15.27%NM 14.77%EV +5.29%E +0.807%K +0.952%G +0.050%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.91%EV -6.21%E -4.17%K -12.68%G +0.000%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.32%EV -0.128%E -0.027%K -0.034%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-01 00:50
LowVig.ag🎯6.55I 15.27%NM 14.77%EV +5.29%E +0.807%K +0.952%G +0.050%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.91%EV -6.21%E -4.17%K -12.68%G +0.000%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.32%EV -0.128%E -0.027%K -0.034%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-01 00:50
Bet Victor🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV +4.48%E +0.689%K +0.815%G +0.037%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -8.73%E -6.02%K -19.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -5.58%E -1.24%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-01 00:54
BetUS🎯6.43I 15.55%NM 14.80%EV +3.36%E +0.522%K +0.618%G +0.021%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.29%EV -6.84%E -4.62%K -14.26%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.91%EV -4.53%E -0.996%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 00:44
Pinnacle🎯6.23I 16.05%NM 15.47%EV +0.142%E +0.023%K +0.027%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.27%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.25%EV -0.128%E -0.027%K -0.034%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-01 00:45
1xBet🎯6.11I 16.37%NM 15.75%EV -1.79%E -0.293%K -0.350%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.16%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.79I 20.88%NM 20.09%EV +0.502%E +0.105%K +0.132%G +0.001%3.9%2026-08-01 00:55
DraftKings🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -3.56%E -0.593%K -0.711%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.60%EV -6.21%E -4.17%K -12.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.60%EV -3.48%E -0.758%K -0.968%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-01 00:34
betano_uk🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -3.56%E -0.593%K -0.711%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.94%EV -8.73%E -6.02%K -19.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -5.58%E -1.24%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-01 00:54
FanDuel🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -3.56%E -0.593%K -0.711%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.83%EV -9.99%E -6.99%K -23.23%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.72%EV -1.39%E -0.295%K -0.375%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-01 00:50
Marathon Bet🎯5.95I 16.81%NM 15.57%EV -4.36%E -0.733%K -0.881%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.03%EV -7.47%E -5.08%K -15.90%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -9.15%E -2.11%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-01 00:50
Betsson🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -5.16%E -0.875%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.58%EV -4.32%E -2.85%K -8.32%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -12.93%E -3.11%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-01 00:55
NordicBet🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -5.16%E -0.875%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.58%EV -4.32%E -2.85%K -8.32%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -12.93%E -3.11%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-01 00:50
SportsBet🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 15.81%EV -5.16%E -0.875%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 63.90%EV -8.10%E -5.55%K -17.61%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -3.48%E -0.758%K -0.968%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-01 00:49
ATG (SE)🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.38%EV -6.77%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.28%EV -2.44%E -1.57%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35%EV -10.83%E -2.55%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 00:34
Svenska Spel🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.38%EV -6.77%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.28%EV -2.44%E -1.57%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35%EV -10.83%E -2.55%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 00:35
Fanatics🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -7.57%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -5.58%E -1.24%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-01 00:35
Unibet (UK)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -7.57%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -5.58%E -1.24%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-01 00:55
Betway🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -7.57%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -9.15%E -2.11%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-01 00:50
PlayUp🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -7.57%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -13.98%E -3.41%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-01 00:49
Everygame🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.70%EV -7.57%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.27%EV -8.73%E -6.02%K -19.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -13.98%E -3.41%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-01 00:54
Tipico (DE)🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 16.14%EV -8.38%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.43%EV -8.73%E -6.02%K -19.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.44%EV -5.58%E -1.24%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-01 00:34
GTbets🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.95%EV -9.99%E -1.78%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.46%EV -4.32%E -2.85%K -8.32%G +0.000%4.61I 21.69%NM 20.59%EV -3.27%E -0.710%K -0.907%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 00:35
Unibet🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.62%EV -9.99%E -1.78%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -4.32%E -2.85%K -8.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.16%EV -11.88%E -2.83%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-01 00:34
Unibet (SE)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.55%EV -9.99%E -1.78%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -4.95%E -3.28%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -11.88%E -2.83%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-01 00:35
Unibet (NL)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.55%EV -9.99%E -1.78%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -4.95%E -3.28%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -11.88%E -2.83%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-01 00:35
Grosvenor🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.55%EV -9.99%E -1.78%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -4.95%E -3.28%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -11.88%E -2.83%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-01 00:34
BetRivers🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.55%EV -9.99%E -1.78%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -4.95%E -3.28%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -11.88%E -2.83%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-01 00:35
Casumo🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.55%EV -9.99%E -1.78%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -4.95%E -3.28%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -11.88%E -2.83%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-01 00:35
betPARX🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.55%EV -9.99%E -1.78%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -4.95%E -3.28%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -11.88%E -2.83%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-01 00:35
TABtouch🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.40%EV -9.99%E -1.78%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -13.98%E -3.41%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-01 00:35
LeoVegas🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.36%EV -9.99%E -1.78%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.33%EV -7.47%E -5.08%K -15.90%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.31%EV -9.78%E -2.27%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-01 00:54
Bet Right🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.59%E -2.11%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -11.88%E -2.83%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-01 00:34
LiveScore Bet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -11.59%E -2.11%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.19%EV -6.21%E -4.17%K -12.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%EV -13.98%E -3.41%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-01 00:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -11.59%E -2.11%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.19%EV -6.21%E -4.17%K -12.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%EV -13.98%E -3.41%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-01 00:35
betfred_uk🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -11.59%E -2.11%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -16.07%E -4.02%K -5.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-01 00:34
Virgin Bet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.35%EV -11.59%E -2.11%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.17%EV -7.47%E -5.08%K -15.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -16.07%E -4.02%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-01 00:34
Paddy Power🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.18%EV -11.59%E -2.11%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.58%EV -11.88%E -8.48%K -29.70%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.23%EV -7.68%E -1.75%K -2.26%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-01 00:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.18%EV -11.59%E -2.11%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.58%EV -11.88%E -8.48%K -29.70%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.23%EV -7.68%E -1.75%K -2.26%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-01 00:49
PMU (FR)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 16.28%EV -13.20%E -2.44%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 61.47%EV -9.99%E -6.99%K -23.23%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.25%EV -17.12%E -4.33%K -5.80%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-01 00:35
NetBet (FR)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 16.39%EV -14.81%E -2.79%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 62.93%EV -13.14%E -9.52%K -34.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.68%EV -11.88%E -2.83%K -3.71%G +0.000%15.1%2026-08-01 00:53
Coolbet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.13%EV -15.61%E -2.97%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.40%EV -2.44%E -1.57%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.47%EV -2.44%E -0.524%K -0.667%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 00:54
Betclic (FR)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.03%EV -15.61%E -2.97%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 61.67%EV -8.73%E -6.02%K -19.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -11.88%E -2.83%K -3.71%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-01 00:54
Sky Bet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 16.67%EV -15.61%E -2.97%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 62.50%EV -11.88%E -8.48%K -29.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.83%EV -11.88%E -2.83%K -3.71%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-01 00:49
888sport🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -19.63%E -3.93%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -9.36%E -6.50%K -21.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -16.07%E -4.02%K -5.36%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-01 00:35
William Hill🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -19.63%E -3.93%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -9.36%E -6.50%K -21.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -16.07%E -4.02%K -5.36%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-01 00:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -19.63%E -3.93%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -9.36%E -6.50%K -21.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -16.07%E -4.02%K -5.36%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-01 00:35
888sport (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -19.63%E -3.93%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -9.36%E -6.50%K -21.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -16.07%E -4.02%K -5.36%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-01 00:35
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook6.40I 15.63%NM 15.41%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.46%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.13%1.4%2026-08-01 00:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.41%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.46%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.13%1.4%2026-08-01 00:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.41%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.46%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.13%1.4%2026-08-01 00:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.41%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.46%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.13%1.4%2026-08-01 00:55
Kalshi6.25I 16.00%NM 15.72%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.63%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.65%1.8%2026-08-01 00:55
Smarkets6.40I 15.63%NM 15.28%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.76%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.96%2.3%2026-08-01 00:55