Langue:Français
Puebla v Guadalajara
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Puebla (Local)
Prévision 16.07%6.22cote équitable
EV +5.29%
Avantage +0.807%
Kelly +0.952%
Croissance +0.050%
avec la cote maximale 6.55
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.44%16.11%16.17%18.13%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.005.685.606.5520.00%17.60%17.86%15.27%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Guadalajara (Visiteur)
Prévision 62.94%1.59cote équitable
EV -2.44%
Avantage -1.57%
Kelly -4.43%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.55
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.68%62.88%62.87%64.91%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.381.481.491.5572.46%67.59%67.11%64.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 20.98%4.77cote équitable
EV +0.502%
Avantage +0.105%
Kelly +0.132%
Croissance +0.001%
avec la cote maximale 4.79
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.72%21.01%20.96%22.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.954.314.204.7925.32%23.21%23.81%20.88%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Puebla (Local) : 16.07% ; Guadalajara (Visiteur) : 62.94% ; Match nul : 20.98%. Pour Puebla (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 6.22. 5 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 6.55, soit une espérance positive de +5.29%.
Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 6.55I 15.27%NM 14.77%EV +5.29%E +0.807%K +0.952%G +0.050% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.91%EV -6.21%E -4.17%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.32%EV -0.128%E -0.027%K -0.034%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-01 00:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 6.55I 15.27%NM 14.77%EV +5.29%E +0.807%K +0.952%G +0.050% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.91%EV -6.21%E -4.17%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.32%EV -0.128%E -0.027%K -0.034%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-01 00:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV +4.48%E +0.689%K +0.815%G +0.037% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -8.73%E -6.02%K -19.40%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -5.58%E -1.24%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-01 00:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 6.43I 15.55%NM 14.80%EV +3.36%E +0.522%K +0.618%G +0.021% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.29%EV -6.84%E -4.62%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.91%EV -4.53%E -0.996%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-01 00:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 6.23I 16.05%NM 15.47%EV +0.142%E +0.023%K +0.027%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.27%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.25%EV -0.128%E -0.027%K -0.034%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-01 00:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 6.11I 16.37%NM 15.75%EV -1.79%E -0.293%K -0.350%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.16%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 4.79I 20.88%NM 20.09%EV +0.502%E +0.105%K +0.132%G +0.001% | 3.9% | 2026-08-01 00:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -3.56%E -0.593%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.60%EV -6.21%E -4.17%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.60%EV -3.48%E -0.758%K -0.968%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-01 00:34 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -3.56%E -0.593%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.94%EV -8.73%E -6.02%K -19.40%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -5.58%E -1.24%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-01 00:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -3.56%E -0.593%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.83%EV -9.99%E -6.99%K -23.23%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.72%EV -1.39%E -0.295%K -0.375%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-01 00:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.95I 16.81%NM 15.57%EV -4.36%E -0.733%K -0.881%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.03%EV -7.47%E -5.08%K -15.90%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -9.15%E -2.11%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-01 00:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -5.16%E -0.875%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.58%EV -4.32%E -2.85%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -12.93%E -3.11%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-01 00:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -5.16%E -0.875%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.58%EV -4.32%E -2.85%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -12.93%E -3.11%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-01 00:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.81%EV -5.16%E -0.875%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.90%EV -8.10%E -5.55%K -17.61%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -3.48%E -0.758%K -0.968%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-01 00:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.38%EV -6.77%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.28%EV -2.44%E -1.57%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35%EV -10.83%E -2.55%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 00:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.38%EV -6.77%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.28%EV -2.44%E -1.57%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35%EV -10.83%E -2.55%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 00:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -7.57%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -5.58%E -1.24%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-01 00:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -7.57%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -5.58%E -1.24%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-01 00:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -7.57%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -9.15%E -2.11%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-01 00:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -7.57%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -13.98%E -3.41%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-01 00:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.70%EV -7.57%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.27%EV -8.73%E -6.02%K -19.40%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -13.98%E -3.41%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-01 00:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.14%EV -8.38%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.43%EV -8.73%E -6.02%K -19.40%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.44%EV -5.58%E -1.24%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-01 00:34 |
| GTbets🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.95%EV -9.99%E -1.78%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.46%EV -4.32%E -2.85%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 4.61I 21.69%NM 20.59%EV -3.27%E -0.710%K -0.907%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 00:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.62%EV -9.99%E -1.78%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -4.32%E -2.85%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.16%EV -11.88%E -2.83%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-01 00:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.55%EV -9.99%E -1.78%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -4.95%E -3.28%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -11.88%E -2.83%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-01 00:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.55%EV -9.99%E -1.78%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -4.95%E -3.28%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -11.88%E -2.83%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-01 00:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.55%EV -9.99%E -1.78%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -4.95%E -3.28%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -11.88%E -2.83%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-01 00:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.55%EV -9.99%E -1.78%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -4.95%E -3.28%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -11.88%E -2.83%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-01 00:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.55%EV -9.99%E -1.78%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -4.95%E -3.28%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -11.88%E -2.83%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-01 00:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.55%EV -9.99%E -1.78%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -4.95%E -3.28%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -11.88%E -2.83%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-01 00:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.40%EV -9.99%E -1.78%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -13.98%E -3.41%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-01 00:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.36%EV -9.99%E -1.78%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.33%EV -7.47%E -5.08%K -15.90%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.31%EV -9.78%E -2.27%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-01 00:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.59%E -2.11%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -11.88%E -2.83%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-01 00:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -11.59%E -2.11%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.19%EV -6.21%E -4.17%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%EV -13.98%E -3.41%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-01 00:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -11.59%E -2.11%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.19%EV -6.21%E -4.17%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%EV -13.98%E -3.41%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-01 00:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -11.59%E -2.11%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -16.07%E -4.02%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-01 00:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.35%EV -11.59%E -2.11%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.17%EV -7.47%E -5.08%K -15.90%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -16.07%E -4.02%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-01 00:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.18%EV -11.59%E -2.11%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.58%EV -11.88%E -8.48%K -29.70%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.23%EV -7.68%E -1.75%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-01 00:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.18%EV -11.59%E -2.11%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.58%EV -11.88%E -8.48%K -29.70%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.23%EV -7.68%E -1.75%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-01 00:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.28%EV -13.20%E -2.44%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.47%EV -9.99%E -6.99%K -23.23%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.25%EV -17.12%E -4.33%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-01 00:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.39%EV -14.81%E -2.79%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 62.93%EV -13.14%E -9.52%K -34.57%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.68%EV -11.88%E -2.83%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-08-01 00:53 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.13%EV -15.61%E -2.97%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.40%EV -2.44%E -1.57%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.47%EV -2.44%E -0.524%K -0.667%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-01 00:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.03%EV -15.61%E -2.97%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.67%EV -8.73%E -6.02%K -19.40%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -11.88%E -2.83%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-01 00:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.67%EV -15.61%E -2.97%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.50%EV -11.88%E -8.48%K -29.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.83%EV -11.88%E -2.83%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-01 00:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -19.63%E -3.93%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -9.36%E -6.50%K -21.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -16.07%E -4.02%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-01 00:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -19.63%E -3.93%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -9.36%E -6.50%K -21.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -16.07%E -4.02%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-01 00:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -19.63%E -3.93%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -9.36%E -6.50%K -21.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -16.07%E -4.02%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-01 00:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -19.63%E -3.93%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -9.36%E -6.50%K -21.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -16.07%E -4.02%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-01 00:35 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.41% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.46% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.13% | 1.4% | 2026-08-01 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.41% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.46% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.13% | 1.4% | 2026-08-01 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.41% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.46% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.13% | 1.4% | 2026-08-01 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.41% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.46% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.13% | 1.4% | 2026-08-01 00:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.72% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.63% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.65% | 1.8% | 2026-08-01 00:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.28% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.76% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.96% | 2.3% | 2026-08-01 00:55 |