Language:English
Necaxa v Puebla
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Necaxa (Local)
Prediction 47.17%2.12fair odd
EV -3.30%
Edge -1.61%
Kelly -3.14%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.92%47.04%47.29%47.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.821.951.952.0554.95%51.38%51.28%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Puebla (Visit)
Prediction 26.97%3.71fair odd
EV -3.18%
Edge -0.886%
Kelly -1.23%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.59
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.24%26.99%26.95%27.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.393.403.5931.75%29.54%29.41%27.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.86%3.87fair odd
EV -3.03%
Edge -0.809%
Kelly -1.10%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.14%25.98%25.76%27.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.543.603.7530.77%28.21%27.78%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Necaxa (Local): 47.17%; Puebla (Visit): 26.97%; Draw: 25.86%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.87. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.75, with an expected value of -3.03%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.45%EV -3.30%E -1.61%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.60%EV -6.96%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.95%EV -5.10%E -1.39%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-06 16:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.45%EV -3.30%E -1.61%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.60%EV -6.96%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.95%EV -5.10%E -1.39%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-06 16:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.45%EV -3.30%E -1.61%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.60%EV -6.96%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.95%EV -5.10%E -1.39%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-07 22:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.28%EV -5.18%E -2.58%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.47%EV -3.18%E -0.886%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.25%EV -6.39%E -1.77%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-09 03:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -5.65%E -2.83%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -3.03%E -0.809%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-09 01:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -5.65%E -2.83%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.61%E -1.60%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.91%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-09 14:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -5.65%E -2.83%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -4.33%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-08 08:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -5.65%E -2.83%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV -5.62%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-09 06:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -5.65%E -2.83%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -5.61%E -1.60%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -14.67%E -4.45%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 12:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.29%EV -6.13%E -3.08%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -6.96%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.43%EV -4.33%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-08 08:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.76%EV -6.60%E -3.33%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -5.61%E -1.60%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -3.03%E -0.809%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-09 15:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.02%EV -6.60%E -3.33%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.75%EV -6.15%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%EV -8.20%E -2.31%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-09 14:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.56%EV -6.60%E -3.33%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -6.96%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -10.79%E -3.13%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-07 06:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.56%EV -6.60%E -3.33%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -6.96%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -10.79%E -3.13%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-07 06:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.64%EV -7.07%E -3.59%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.29%EV -3.72%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.91%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-06 19:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.85%EV -7.54%E -3.85%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -5.61%E -1.60%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -4.33%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-08 06:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.85%EV -7.54%E -3.85%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -5.61%E -1.60%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -4.33%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-08 06:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.27%EV -7.54%E -3.85%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.63%EV -6.15%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.10%EV -8.20%E -2.31%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-09 14:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -8.01%E -4.11%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -5.61%E -1.60%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.33%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 01:04 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -8.01%E -4.11%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -6.91%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-08 05:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -8.01%E -4.11%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -6.91%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-08 05:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -8.01%E -4.11%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -6.91%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-09 11:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -8.01%E -4.11%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -8.20%E -2.31%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-08 01:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.09%EV -8.01%E -4.11%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -9.65%E -2.88%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.51%EV -6.91%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 15:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.01%E -4.11%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.00%E -3.33%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -6.91%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-08 08:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.72%EV -8.01%E -4.11%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.61%EV -11.00%E -3.33%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -8.20%E -2.31%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-09 17:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.41%EV -8.48%E -4.37%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.91%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-08 06:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -8.96%E -4.64%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -6.91%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-08 06:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -8.96%E -4.64%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -6.91%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-08 06:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -8.96%E -4.64%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -6.91%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-08 06:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -8.96%E -4.64%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -6.91%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-08 06:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -8.96%E -4.64%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -6.91%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-08 06:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -8.96%E -4.64%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -6.91%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-08 06:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -9.90%E -5.18%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.00%E -3.33%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -9.50%E -2.71%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-09 15:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -9.90%E -5.18%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -12.35%E -3.80%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -9.50%E -2.71%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-09 01:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.33%EV -9.90%E -5.18%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -13.70%E -4.28%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.02%EV -12.08%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-07 16:56 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.16%EV -9.90%E -5.18%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -11.00%E -3.33%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -15.96%E -4.91%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-07 16:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.16%EV -9.90%E -5.18%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -11.00%E -3.33%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -15.96%E -4.91%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-07 16:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.16%EV -9.90%E -5.18%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -11.00%E -3.33%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -15.96%E -4.91%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-07 16:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.16%EV -9.90%E -5.18%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -11.00%E -3.33%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -15.96%E -4.91%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-07 16:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.33%EV -10.84%E -5.74%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -11.00%E -3.33%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -9.50%E -2.71%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-08 06:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.09%EV -11.31%E -6.02%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.24%EV -12.35%E -3.80%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.66%EV -10.79%E -3.13%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-08 06:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.09%EV -11.31%E -6.02%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.24%EV -12.35%E -3.80%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.66%EV -10.79%E -3.13%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-08 06:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.09%EV -11.31%E -6.02%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.24%EV -12.35%E -3.80%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.66%EV -10.79%E -3.13%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-08 06:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.71%EV -11.79%E -6.30%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 26.79%EV -10.19%E -3.06%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -9.50%E -2.71%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-08 04:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.32%EV -12.73%E -6.88%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.94%EV -12.35%E -3.80%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.75%EV -12.08%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-09-09 09:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 47.15%EV -14.14%E -7.77%K -17.25%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.24%EV -15.05%E -4.78%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.61%EV -13.38%E -3.99%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-09-08 06:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.11% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.45% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.45% | 2.1% | 2026-09-09 16:16 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.21% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.75% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.03% | 3.8% | 2026-09-09 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.21% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.75% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.03% | 3.8% | 2026-09-09 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.21% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.75% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.03% | 3.8% | 2026-09-09 11:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.21% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.75% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.03% | 3.8% | 2026-09-09 15:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.62% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.72% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.65% | 3.9% | 2026-09-09 13:11 |