Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Necaxa v Puebla

Inizio: 2026-09-12 01:00 UTC

Finale: Necaxa 0–1 Puebla

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

47 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Necaxa (Casa)

Previsione 47.17%2.12quota equa
EV -3.30%
Vantaggio -1.61%
Kelly -3.14%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.05

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
45.92%47.04%47.29%47.98%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.821.951.952.0554.95%51.38%51.28%48.78%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Puebla (Trasferta)

Previsione 26.97%3.71quota equa
EV -3.18%
Vantaggio -0.886%
Kelly -1.23%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.59

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.24%26.99%26.95%27.73%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.153.393.403.5931.75%29.54%29.41%27.86%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 25.86%3.87quota equa
EV -3.03%
Vantaggio -0.809%
Kelly -1.10%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.14%25.98%25.76%27.83%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.253.543.603.7530.77%28.21%27.78%26.67%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Necaxa (Casa): 47.17%; Puebla (Trasferta): 26.97%; Pareggio: 25.86%. Per Pareggio, questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.87. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 3.75, con un valore atteso del -3.03%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (47 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
LowVig.ag🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.45%EV -3.30%E -1.61%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.60%EV -6.96%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.95%EV -5.10%E -1.39%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 16:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.45%EV -3.30%E -1.61%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.60%EV -6.96%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.95%EV -5.10%E -1.39%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 16:50
BetUS🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.45%EV -3.30%E -1.61%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.60%EV -6.96%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.95%EV -5.10%E -1.39%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 22:05
Pinnacle🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.28%EV -5.18%E -2.58%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.47%EV -3.18%E -0.886%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.25%EV -6.39%E -1.77%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-09 03:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -5.65%E -2.83%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -3.03%E -0.809%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-09 01:04
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -5.65%E -2.83%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.61%E -1.60%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.91%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 14:40
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -5.65%E -2.83%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -4.33%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-08 08:54
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -5.65%E -2.83%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV -5.62%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-09 06:59
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -5.65%E -2.83%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -5.61%E -1.60%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -14.67%E -4.45%K -6.38%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 12:20
SportsBet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.29%EV -6.13%E -3.08%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -6.96%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.43%EV -4.33%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-08 08:55
Coolbet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.76%EV -6.60%E -3.33%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -5.61%E -1.60%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -3.03%E -0.809%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-09 15:25
1xBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.02%EV -6.60%E -3.33%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.75%EV -6.15%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%EV -8.20%E -2.31%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-09 14:00
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.56%EV -6.60%E -3.33%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -6.96%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -10.79%E -3.13%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-07 06:50
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.56%EV -6.60%E -3.33%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -6.96%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -10.79%E -3.13%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-07 06:50
GTbets🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.64%EV -7.07%E -3.59%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.29%EV -3.72%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.91%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 19:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.85%EV -7.54%E -3.85%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -5.61%E -1.60%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -4.33%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-08 06:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.85%EV -7.54%E -3.85%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -5.61%E -1.60%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -4.33%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-08 06:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.27%EV -7.54%E -3.85%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.63%EV -6.15%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.10%EV -8.20%E -2.31%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-09 14:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -8.01%E -4.11%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -5.61%E -1.60%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.33%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-09 01:04
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -8.01%E -4.11%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -6.91%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-08 05:29
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -8.01%E -4.11%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -6.91%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-08 05:29
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -8.01%E -4.11%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -6.91%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-09 11:24
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -8.01%E -4.11%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -8.20%E -2.31%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-08 01:10
Bet Right🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.09%EV -8.01%E -4.11%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -9.65%E -2.88%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.51%EV -6.91%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 15:25
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.01%E -4.11%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.00%E -3.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -6.91%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-08 08:50
LeoVegas🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.72%EV -8.01%E -4.11%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.61%EV -11.00%E -3.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -8.20%E -2.31%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-09 17:20
Unibet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.41%EV -8.48%E -4.37%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.91%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-08 06:50
BetRivers🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -8.96%E -4.64%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -6.91%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-08 06:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -8.96%E -4.64%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -6.91%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-08 06:50
Casumo🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -8.96%E -4.64%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -6.91%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-08 06:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -8.96%E -4.64%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -6.91%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-08 06:50
Grosvenor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -8.96%E -4.64%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -6.91%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-08 06:50
betPARX🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -8.96%E -4.64%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -6.91%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-08 06:50
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -9.90%E -5.18%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.00%E -3.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -9.50%E -2.71%K -3.80%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-09 15:25
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -9.90%E -5.18%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -12.35%E -3.80%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -9.50%E -2.71%K -3.80%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-09 01:04
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.33%EV -9.90%E -5.18%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -13.70%E -4.28%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.02%EV -12.08%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-07 16:56
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.16%EV -9.90%E -5.18%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -11.00%E -3.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -15.96%E -4.91%K -7.09%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-07 16:50
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.16%EV -9.90%E -5.18%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -11.00%E -3.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -15.96%E -4.91%K -7.09%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-07 16:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.16%EV -9.90%E -5.18%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -11.00%E -3.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -15.96%E -4.91%K -7.09%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-07 16:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.16%EV -9.90%E -5.18%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -11.00%E -3.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -15.96%E -4.91%K -7.09%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-07 16:50
TABtouch🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 47.33%EV -10.84%E -5.74%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -11.00%E -3.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -9.50%E -2.71%K -3.80%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-08 06:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.09%EV -11.31%E -6.02%K -12.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.24%EV -12.35%E -3.80%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.66%EV -10.79%E -3.13%K -4.40%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-08 06:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.09%EV -11.31%E -6.02%K -12.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.24%EV -12.35%E -3.80%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.66%EV -10.79%E -3.13%K -4.40%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-08 06:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.09%EV -11.31%E -6.02%K -12.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.24%EV -12.35%E -3.80%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.66%EV -10.79%E -3.13%K -4.40%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-08 06:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.71%EV -11.79%E -6.30%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 26.79%EV -10.19%E -3.06%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -9.50%E -2.71%K -3.80%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-08 04:59
NetBet (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.32%EV -12.73%E -6.88%K -14.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.94%EV -12.35%E -3.80%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.75%EV -12.08%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-09 09:04
PMU (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 47.15%EV -14.14%E -7.77%K -17.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.24%EV -15.05%E -4.78%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.61%EV -13.38%E -3.99%K -5.69%G +0.000%16.5%2026-09-08 06:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.11%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.45%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.45%2.1%2026-09-09 16:16
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 47.21%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.75%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.03%3.8%2026-09-09 11:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 47.21%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.75%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.03%3.8%2026-09-09 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 47.21%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.75%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.03%3.8%2026-09-09 11:55
Matchbook◎2.04I 49.02%NM 47.21%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.75%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.03%3.8%2026-09-09 15:05
Smarkets◎2.02I 49.50%NM 47.62%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.72%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.65%3.9%2026-09-09 13:11