语言:简体中文
Necaxa v Puebla
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Necaxa (主队)
预测 47.17%2.12公平赔率
EV -3.30%
优势 -1.61%
Kelly -3.14%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.05
博彩公司预测分布
45.92%47.04%47.29%47.98%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.821.951.952.0554.95%51.38%51.28%48.78%最小值均值中位数最大值
Puebla (客队)
预测 26.97%3.71公平赔率
EV -3.18%
优势 -0.886%
Kelly -1.23%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.59
博彩公司预测分布
26.24%26.99%26.95%27.73%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.153.393.403.5931.75%29.54%29.41%27.86%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 25.86%3.87公平赔率
EV -3.03%
优势 -0.809%
Kelly -1.10%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.75
博彩公司预测分布
25.14%25.98%25.76%27.83%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.253.543.603.7530.77%28.21%27.78%26.67%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Necaxa (主队)：47.17%；Puebla (客队)：26.97%；平局：25.86%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.87。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为3.75，期望值为-3.03%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (47 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.45%EV -3.30%E -1.61%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.60%EV -6.96%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.95%EV -5.10%E -1.39%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-06 16:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.45%EV -3.30%E -1.61%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.60%EV -6.96%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.95%EV -5.10%E -1.39%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-06 16:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.45%EV -3.30%E -1.61%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.60%EV -6.96%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.95%EV -5.10%E -1.39%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-07 22:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.28%EV -5.18%E -2.58%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.47%EV -3.18%E -0.886%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.25%EV -6.39%E -1.77%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-09 03:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -5.65%E -2.83%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -3.03%E -0.809%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-09 01:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -5.65%E -2.83%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.61%E -1.60%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.91%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-09 14:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -5.65%E -2.83%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -4.33%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-08 08:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -5.65%E -2.83%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV -5.62%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-09 06:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -5.65%E -2.83%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -5.61%E -1.60%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -14.67%E -4.45%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 12:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.29%EV -6.13%E -3.08%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -6.96%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.43%EV -4.33%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-08 08:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.76%EV -6.60%E -3.33%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -5.61%E -1.60%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -3.03%E -0.809%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-09 15:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.02%EV -6.60%E -3.33%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.75%EV -6.15%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%EV -8.20%E -2.31%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-09 14:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.56%EV -6.60%E -3.33%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -6.96%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -10.79%E -3.13%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-07 06:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.56%EV -6.60%E -3.33%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -6.96%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -10.79%E -3.13%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-07 06:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.64%EV -7.07%E -3.59%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.29%EV -3.72%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.91%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-06 19:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.85%EV -7.54%E -3.85%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -5.61%E -1.60%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -4.33%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-08 06:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.85%EV -7.54%E -3.85%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -5.61%E -1.60%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -4.33%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-08 06:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.27%EV -7.54%E -3.85%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.63%EV -6.15%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.10%EV -8.20%E -2.31%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-09 14:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -8.01%E -4.11%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -5.61%E -1.60%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.33%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 01:04 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -8.01%E -4.11%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -6.91%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-08 05:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -8.01%E -4.11%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -6.91%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-08 05:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -8.01%E -4.11%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -6.91%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-09 11:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -8.01%E -4.11%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -8.20%E -2.31%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-08 01:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.09%EV -8.01%E -4.11%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -9.65%E -2.88%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.51%EV -6.91%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 15:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.01%E -4.11%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.00%E -3.33%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -6.91%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-08 08:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.72%EV -8.01%E -4.11%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.61%EV -11.00%E -3.33%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -8.20%E -2.31%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-09 17:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.41%EV -8.48%E -4.37%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.91%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-08 06:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -8.96%E -4.64%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -6.91%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-08 06:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -8.96%E -4.64%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -6.91%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-08 06:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -8.96%E -4.64%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -6.91%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-08 06:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -8.96%E -4.64%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -6.91%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-08 06:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -8.96%E -4.64%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -6.91%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-08 06:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -8.96%E -4.64%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -6.91%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-08 06:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -9.90%E -5.18%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.00%E -3.33%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -9.50%E -2.71%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-09 15:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -9.90%E -5.18%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -12.35%E -3.80%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -9.50%E -2.71%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-09 01:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.33%EV -9.90%E -5.18%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -13.70%E -4.28%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.02%EV -12.08%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-07 16:56 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.16%EV -9.90%E -5.18%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -11.00%E -3.33%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -15.96%E -4.91%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-07 16:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.16%EV -9.90%E -5.18%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -11.00%E -3.33%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -15.96%E -4.91%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-07 16:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.16%EV -9.90%E -5.18%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -11.00%E -3.33%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -15.96%E -4.91%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-07 16:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.16%EV -9.90%E -5.18%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -11.00%E -3.33%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -15.96%E -4.91%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-07 16:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.33%EV -10.84%E -5.74%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -11.00%E -3.33%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -9.50%E -2.71%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-08 06:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.09%EV -11.31%E -6.02%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.24%EV -12.35%E -3.80%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.66%EV -10.79%E -3.13%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-08 06:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.09%EV -11.31%E -6.02%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.24%EV -12.35%E -3.80%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.66%EV -10.79%E -3.13%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-08 06:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.09%EV -11.31%E -6.02%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.24%EV -12.35%E -3.80%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.66%EV -10.79%E -3.13%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-08 06:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.71%EV -11.79%E -6.30%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 26.79%EV -10.19%E -3.06%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -9.50%E -2.71%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-08 04:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.32%EV -12.73%E -6.88%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.94%EV -12.35%E -3.80%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.75%EV -12.08%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-09-09 09:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 47.15%EV -14.14%E -7.77%K -17.25%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.24%EV -15.05%E -4.78%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.61%EV -13.38%E -3.99%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-09-08 06:50 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (6)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.11% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.45% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.45% | 2.1% | 2026-09-09 16:16 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.21% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.75% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.03% | 3.8% | 2026-09-09 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.21% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.75% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.03% | 3.8% | 2026-09-09 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.21% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.75% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.03% | 3.8% | 2026-09-09 11:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.21% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.75% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.03% | 3.8% | 2026-09-09 15:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.62% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.72% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.65% | 3.9% | 2026-09-09 13:11 |