Язык:Русский
Necaxa v Puebla
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Necaxa (Хозяева)
Прогноз 47.17%2.12справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.30%
Преимущество -1.61%
Kelly -3.14%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.05
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
45.92%47.04%47.29%47.98%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.821.951.952.0554.95%51.38%51.28%48.78%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Puebla (Гости)
Прогноз 26.97%3.71справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.18%
Преимущество -0.886%
Kelly -1.23%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.59
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
26.24%26.99%26.95%27.73%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.153.393.403.5931.75%29.54%29.41%27.86%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 25.86%3.87справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.03%
Преимущество -0.809%
Kelly -1.10%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.75
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
25.14%25.98%25.76%27.83%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.253.543.603.7530.77%28.21%27.78%26.67%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Necaxa (Хозяева): 47.17%; Puebla (Гости): 26.97%; Ничья: 25.86%. Для исхода «Ничья» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 3.87. Ни один подходящий букмекер не предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня: лучший составлял 3.75, математическое ожидание — -3.03%; положительного ожидания не было.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (47 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.45%EV -3.30%E -1.61%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.60%EV -6.96%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.95%EV -5.10%E -1.39%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-06 16:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.45%EV -3.30%E -1.61%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.60%EV -6.96%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.95%EV -5.10%E -1.39%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-06 16:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.45%EV -3.30%E -1.61%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.60%EV -6.96%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.95%EV -5.10%E -1.39%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-07 22:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.28%EV -5.18%E -2.58%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.47%EV -3.18%E -0.886%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.25%EV -6.39%E -1.77%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-09 03:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -5.65%E -2.83%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -3.03%E -0.809%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-09 01:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -5.65%E -2.83%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.61%E -1.60%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.91%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-09 14:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -5.65%E -2.83%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -4.33%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-08 08:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -5.65%E -2.83%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV -5.62%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-09 06:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -5.65%E -2.83%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -5.61%E -1.60%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -14.67%E -4.45%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 12:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.29%EV -6.13%E -3.08%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -6.96%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.43%EV -4.33%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-08 08:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.76%EV -6.60%E -3.33%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -5.61%E -1.60%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -3.03%E -0.809%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-09 15:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.02%EV -6.60%E -3.33%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.75%EV -6.15%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%EV -8.20%E -2.31%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-09 14:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.56%EV -6.60%E -3.33%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -6.96%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -10.79%E -3.13%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-07 06:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.56%EV -6.60%E -3.33%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -6.96%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -10.79%E -3.13%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-07 06:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.64%EV -7.07%E -3.59%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.29%EV -3.72%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.91%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-06 19:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.85%EV -7.54%E -3.85%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -5.61%E -1.60%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -4.33%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-08 06:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.85%EV -7.54%E -3.85%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -5.61%E -1.60%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -4.33%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-08 06:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.27%EV -7.54%E -3.85%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.63%EV -6.15%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.10%EV -8.20%E -2.31%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-09 14:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -8.01%E -4.11%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -5.61%E -1.60%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.33%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 01:04 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -8.01%E -4.11%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -6.91%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-08 05:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -8.01%E -4.11%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -6.91%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-08 05:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -8.01%E -4.11%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -6.91%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-09 11:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -8.01%E -4.11%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -8.20%E -2.31%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-08 01:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.09%EV -8.01%E -4.11%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -9.65%E -2.88%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.51%EV -6.91%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 15:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.01%E -4.11%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.00%E -3.33%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -6.91%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-08 08:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.72%EV -8.01%E -4.11%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.61%EV -11.00%E -3.33%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -8.20%E -2.31%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-09 17:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.41%EV -8.48%E -4.37%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.91%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-08 06:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -8.96%E -4.64%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -6.91%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-08 06:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -8.96%E -4.64%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -6.91%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-08 06:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -8.96%E -4.64%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -6.91%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-08 06:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -8.96%E -4.64%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -6.91%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-08 06:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -8.96%E -4.64%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -6.91%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-08 06:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -8.96%E -4.64%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -6.91%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-08 06:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -9.90%E -5.18%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.00%E -3.33%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -9.50%E -2.71%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-09 15:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -9.90%E -5.18%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -12.35%E -3.80%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -9.50%E -2.71%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-09 01:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.33%EV -9.90%E -5.18%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -13.70%E -4.28%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.02%EV -12.08%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-07 16:56 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.16%EV -9.90%E -5.18%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -11.00%E -3.33%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -15.96%E -4.91%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-07 16:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.16%EV -9.90%E -5.18%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -11.00%E -3.33%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -15.96%E -4.91%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-07 16:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.16%EV -9.90%E -5.18%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -11.00%E -3.33%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -15.96%E -4.91%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-07 16:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.16%EV -9.90%E -5.18%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -11.00%E -3.33%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -15.96%E -4.91%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-07 16:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.33%EV -10.84%E -5.74%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -11.00%E -3.33%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -9.50%E -2.71%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-08 06:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.09%EV -11.31%E -6.02%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.24%EV -12.35%E -3.80%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.66%EV -10.79%E -3.13%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-08 06:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.09%EV -11.31%E -6.02%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.24%EV -12.35%E -3.80%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.66%EV -10.79%E -3.13%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-08 06:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.09%EV -11.31%E -6.02%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.24%EV -12.35%E -3.80%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.66%EV -10.79%E -3.13%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-08 06:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.71%EV -11.79%E -6.30%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 26.79%EV -10.19%E -3.06%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -9.50%E -2.71%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-08 04:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.32%EV -12.73%E -6.88%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.94%EV -12.35%E -3.80%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.75%EV -12.08%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-09-09 09:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 47.15%EV -14.14%E -7.77%K -17.25%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.24%EV -15.05%E -4.78%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.61%EV -13.38%E -3.99%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-09-08 06:50 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (6)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.11% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.45% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.45% | 2.1% | 2026-09-09 16:16 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.21% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.75% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.03% | 3.8% | 2026-09-09 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.21% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.75% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.03% | 3.8% | 2026-09-09 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.21% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.75% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.03% | 3.8% | 2026-09-09 11:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.21% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.75% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.03% | 3.8% | 2026-09-09 15:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.62% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.72% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.65% | 3.9% | 2026-09-09 13:11 |