Idioma:Español
Necaxa v Puebla
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Necaxa (Local)
Predicción 47.17%2.12momio equitativo
EV -3.30%
Ventaja -1.61%
Kelly -3.14%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.05
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.92%47.04%47.29%47.98%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.821.951.952.0554.95%51.38%51.28%48.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Puebla (Visitante)
Predicción 26.97%3.71momio equitativo
EV -3.18%
Ventaja -0.886%
Kelly -1.23%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.59
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.24%26.99%26.95%27.73%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.153.393.403.5931.75%29.54%29.41%27.86%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 25.86%3.87momio equitativo
EV -3.03%
Ventaja -0.809%
Kelly -1.10%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.14%25.98%25.76%27.83%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.253.543.603.7530.77%28.21%27.78%26.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Necaxa (Local): 47.17%; Puebla (Visitante): 26.97%; Empate: 25.86%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.87. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.75, con un valor esperado de -3.03%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.45%EV -3.30%E -1.61%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.60%EV -6.96%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.95%EV -5.10%E -1.39%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-06 16:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.45%EV -3.30%E -1.61%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.60%EV -6.96%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.95%EV -5.10%E -1.39%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-06 16:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.45%EV -3.30%E -1.61%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.60%EV -6.96%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.95%EV -5.10%E -1.39%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-07 22:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.28%EV -5.18%E -2.58%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.47%EV -3.18%E -0.886%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.25%EV -6.39%E -1.77%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-09 03:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -5.65%E -2.83%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -3.03%E -0.809%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-09 01:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -5.65%E -2.83%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.61%E -1.60%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.91%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-09 14:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -5.65%E -2.83%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -4.33%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-08 08:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -5.65%E -2.83%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV -5.62%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-09 06:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -5.65%E -2.83%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -5.61%E -1.60%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -14.67%E -4.45%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 12:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.29%EV -6.13%E -3.08%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -6.96%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.43%EV -4.33%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-08 08:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.76%EV -6.60%E -3.33%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -5.61%E -1.60%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -3.03%E -0.809%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-09 15:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.02%EV -6.60%E -3.33%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.75%EV -6.15%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%EV -8.20%E -2.31%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-09 14:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.56%EV -6.60%E -3.33%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -6.96%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -10.79%E -3.13%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-07 06:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.56%EV -6.60%E -3.33%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -6.96%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -10.79%E -3.13%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-07 06:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.64%EV -7.07%E -3.59%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.29%EV -3.72%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.91%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-06 19:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.85%EV -7.54%E -3.85%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -5.61%E -1.60%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -4.33%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-08 06:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.85%EV -7.54%E -3.85%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -5.61%E -1.60%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -4.33%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-08 06:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.27%EV -7.54%E -3.85%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.63%EV -6.15%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.10%EV -8.20%E -2.31%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-09 14:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -8.01%E -4.11%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -5.61%E -1.60%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.33%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 01:04 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -8.01%E -4.11%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -6.91%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-08 05:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -8.01%E -4.11%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -6.91%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-08 05:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -8.01%E -4.11%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -6.91%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-09 11:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -8.01%E -4.11%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -8.20%E -2.31%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-08 01:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.09%EV -8.01%E -4.11%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -9.65%E -2.88%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.51%EV -6.91%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 15:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.01%E -4.11%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.00%E -3.33%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -6.91%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-08 08:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.72%EV -8.01%E -4.11%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.61%EV -11.00%E -3.33%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -8.20%E -2.31%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-09 17:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.41%EV -8.48%E -4.37%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.91%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-08 06:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -8.96%E -4.64%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -6.91%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-08 06:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -8.96%E -4.64%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -6.91%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-08 06:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -8.96%E -4.64%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -6.91%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-08 06:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -8.96%E -4.64%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -6.91%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-08 06:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -8.96%E -4.64%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -6.91%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-08 06:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -8.96%E -4.64%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -6.91%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-08 06:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -9.90%E -5.18%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.00%E -3.33%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -9.50%E -2.71%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-09 15:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -9.90%E -5.18%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -12.35%E -3.80%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -9.50%E -2.71%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-09 01:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.33%EV -9.90%E -5.18%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -13.70%E -4.28%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.02%EV -12.08%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-07 16:56 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.16%EV -9.90%E -5.18%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -11.00%E -3.33%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -15.96%E -4.91%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-07 16:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.16%EV -9.90%E -5.18%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -11.00%E -3.33%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -15.96%E -4.91%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-07 16:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.16%EV -9.90%E -5.18%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -11.00%E -3.33%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -15.96%E -4.91%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-07 16:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.16%EV -9.90%E -5.18%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -11.00%E -3.33%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -15.96%E -4.91%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-07 16:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.33%EV -10.84%E -5.74%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -11.00%E -3.33%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -9.50%E -2.71%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-08 06:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.09%EV -11.31%E -6.02%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.24%EV -12.35%E -3.80%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.66%EV -10.79%E -3.13%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-08 06:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.09%EV -11.31%E -6.02%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.24%EV -12.35%E -3.80%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.66%EV -10.79%E -3.13%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-08 06:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.09%EV -11.31%E -6.02%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.24%EV -12.35%E -3.80%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.66%EV -10.79%E -3.13%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-08 06:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.71%EV -11.79%E -6.30%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 26.79%EV -10.19%E -3.06%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -9.50%E -2.71%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-08 04:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.32%EV -12.73%E -6.88%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.94%EV -12.35%E -3.80%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.75%EV -12.08%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-09-09 09:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 47.15%EV -14.14%E -7.77%K -17.25%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.24%EV -15.05%E -4.78%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.61%EV -13.38%E -3.99%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-09-08 06:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.11% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.45% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.45% | 2.1% | 2026-09-09 16:16 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.21% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.75% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.03% | 3.8% | 2026-09-09 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.21% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.75% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.03% | 3.8% | 2026-09-09 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.21% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.75% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.03% | 3.8% | 2026-09-09 11:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.21% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.75% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.03% | 3.8% | 2026-09-09 15:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.62% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.72% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.65% | 3.9% | 2026-09-09 13:11 |