Langue:Français
Necaxa v Puebla
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Necaxa (Local)
Prévision 47.17%2.12cote équitable
EV -3.30%
Avantage -1.61%
Kelly -3.14%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.05
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.92%47.04%47.29%47.98%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.821.951.952.0554.95%51.38%51.28%48.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Puebla (Visiteur)
Prévision 26.97%3.71cote équitable
EV -3.18%
Avantage -0.886%
Kelly -1.23%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.59
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.24%26.99%26.95%27.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.153.393.403.5931.75%29.54%29.41%27.86%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 25.86%3.87cote équitable
EV -3.03%
Avantage -0.809%
Kelly -1.10%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.14%25.98%25.76%27.83%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.253.543.603.7530.77%28.21%27.78%26.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Necaxa (Local) : 47.17% ; Puebla (Visiteur) : 26.97% ; Match nul : 25.86%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.87. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.75, pour une espérance de -3.03% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.
Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.45%EV -3.30%E -1.61%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.60%EV -6.96%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.95%EV -5.10%E -1.39%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-06 16:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.45%EV -3.30%E -1.61%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.60%EV -6.96%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.95%EV -5.10%E -1.39%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-06 16:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.45%EV -3.30%E -1.61%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.60%EV -6.96%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.95%EV -5.10%E -1.39%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-07 22:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.28%EV -5.18%E -2.58%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.47%EV -3.18%E -0.886%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.25%EV -6.39%E -1.77%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-09 03:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -5.65%E -2.83%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -3.03%E -0.809%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-09 01:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -5.65%E -2.83%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.61%E -1.60%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.91%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-09 14:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -5.65%E -2.83%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -4.33%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-08 08:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -5.65%E -2.83%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV -5.62%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-09 06:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -5.65%E -2.83%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -5.61%E -1.60%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -14.67%E -4.45%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 12:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.29%EV -6.13%E -3.08%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -6.96%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.43%EV -4.33%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-08 08:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.76%EV -6.60%E -3.33%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -5.61%E -1.60%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -3.03%E -0.809%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-09 15:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.02%EV -6.60%E -3.33%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.75%EV -6.15%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%EV -8.20%E -2.31%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-09 14:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.56%EV -6.60%E -3.33%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -6.96%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -10.79%E -3.13%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-07 06:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.56%EV -6.60%E -3.33%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -6.96%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -10.79%E -3.13%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-07 06:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.64%EV -7.07%E -3.59%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.29%EV -3.72%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.91%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-06 19:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.85%EV -7.54%E -3.85%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -5.61%E -1.60%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -4.33%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-08 06:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.85%EV -7.54%E -3.85%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -5.61%E -1.60%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -4.33%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-08 06:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.27%EV -7.54%E -3.85%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.63%EV -6.15%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.10%EV -8.20%E -2.31%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-09 14:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -8.01%E -4.11%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -5.61%E -1.60%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.33%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 01:04 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -8.01%E -4.11%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -6.91%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-08 05:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -8.01%E -4.11%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -6.91%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-08 05:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -8.01%E -4.11%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -6.91%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-09 11:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -8.01%E -4.11%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -8.20%E -2.31%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-08 01:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.09%EV -8.01%E -4.11%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -9.65%E -2.88%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.51%EV -6.91%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 15:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.01%E -4.11%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.00%E -3.33%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -6.91%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-08 08:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.72%EV -8.01%E -4.11%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.61%EV -11.00%E -3.33%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -8.20%E -2.31%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-09 17:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.41%EV -8.48%E -4.37%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.91%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-08 06:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -8.96%E -4.64%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -6.91%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-08 06:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -8.96%E -4.64%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -6.91%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-08 06:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -8.96%E -4.64%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -6.91%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-08 06:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -8.96%E -4.64%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -6.91%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-08 06:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -8.96%E -4.64%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -6.91%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-08 06:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -8.96%E -4.64%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -6.91%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-08 06:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -9.90%E -5.18%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.00%E -3.33%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -9.50%E -2.71%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-09 15:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -9.90%E -5.18%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -12.35%E -3.80%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -9.50%E -2.71%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-09 01:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.33%EV -9.90%E -5.18%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -13.70%E -4.28%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.02%EV -12.08%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-07 16:56 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.16%EV -9.90%E -5.18%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -11.00%E -3.33%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -15.96%E -4.91%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-07 16:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.16%EV -9.90%E -5.18%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -11.00%E -3.33%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -15.96%E -4.91%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-07 16:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.16%EV -9.90%E -5.18%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -11.00%E -3.33%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -15.96%E -4.91%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-07 16:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.16%EV -9.90%E -5.18%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -11.00%E -3.33%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -15.96%E -4.91%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-07 16:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.33%EV -10.84%E -5.74%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -11.00%E -3.33%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -9.50%E -2.71%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-08 06:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.09%EV -11.31%E -6.02%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.24%EV -12.35%E -3.80%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.66%EV -10.79%E -3.13%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-08 06:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.09%EV -11.31%E -6.02%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.24%EV -12.35%E -3.80%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.66%EV -10.79%E -3.13%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-08 06:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.09%EV -11.31%E -6.02%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.24%EV -12.35%E -3.80%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.66%EV -10.79%E -3.13%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-08 06:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.71%EV -11.79%E -6.30%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 26.79%EV -10.19%E -3.06%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -9.50%E -2.71%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-08 04:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.32%EV -12.73%E -6.88%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.94%EV -12.35%E -3.80%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.75%EV -12.08%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-09-09 09:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 47.15%EV -14.14%E -7.77%K -17.25%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.24%EV -15.05%E -4.78%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.61%EV -13.38%E -3.99%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-09-08 06:50 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.11% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.45% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.45% | 2.1% | 2026-09-09 16:16 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.21% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.75% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.03% | 3.8% | 2026-09-09 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.21% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.75% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.03% | 3.8% | 2026-09-09 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.21% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.75% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.03% | 3.8% | 2026-09-09 11:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.21% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.75% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.03% | 3.8% | 2026-09-09 15:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.62% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.72% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.65% | 3.9% | 2026-09-09 13:11 |