语言:简体中文
León v Pachuca
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
León (主队)
预测 31.71%3.15公平赔率
EV -2.66%
优势 -0.867%
Kelly -1.29%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.07
博彩公司预测分布
31.12%31.77%31.70%32.79%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.752.902.903.0736.36%34.42%34.48%32.57%最小值均值中位数最大值
Pachuca (客队)
预测 40.14%2.49公平赔率
EV -1.66%
优势 -0.676%
Kelly -1.14%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.45
博彩公司预测分布
38.82%40.06%40.14%40.83%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.162.302.302.4546.30%43.56%43.48%40.82%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 28.15%3.55公平赔率
EV -1.46%
优势 -0.418%
Kelly -0.585%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.50
博彩公司预测分布
26.76%28.17%28.16%29.37%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.003.273.303.5033.33%30.63%30.30%28.57%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：León (主队)：31.71%；Pachuca (客队)：40.14%；平局：28.15%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.55。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为3.50，期望值为-1.46%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (49 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.47%EV -2.66%E -0.867%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.60%EV -4.47%E -1.88%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.93%EV -2.59%E -0.748%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-02 00:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.47%EV -2.66%E -0.867%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.60%EV -4.47%E -1.88%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.93%EV -2.59%E -0.748%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-02 00:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.75%EV -3.30%E -1.08%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.02%EV -2.86%E -1.18%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 28.23%EV -3.43%E -1.00%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-02 00:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.19%EV -3.30%E -1.08%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.83%EV -6.47%E -2.78%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -4.28%E -1.26%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.19%EV -3.30%E -1.08%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.83%EV -6.47%E -2.78%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -4.28%E -1.26%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -4.88%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -5.67%E -2.41%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -7.09%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-02 00:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -4.88%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -7.68%E -3.34%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.09%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-02 00:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -6.47%E -2.19%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.67%E -2.41%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -4.28%E -1.26%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-02 00:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -6.47%E -2.19%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.65%EV -5.67%E -2.41%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.76%EV -8.78%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-02 00:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -6.47%E -2.19%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.59%EV -8.48%E -3.72%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.09%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -6.47%E -2.19%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.59%EV -8.48%E -3.72%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.09%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-02 00:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -6.47%E -2.19%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.59%EV -8.48%E -3.72%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.09%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -6.47%E -2.19%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.59%EV -8.48%E -3.72%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.09%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -6.47%E -2.19%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.59%EV -8.48%E -3.72%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.09%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-02 00:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -6.47%E -2.19%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.59%EV -8.48%E -3.72%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.09%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -6.47%E -2.19%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.59%EV -8.48%E -3.72%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.09%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-02 00:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -6.47%E -2.19%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.59%EV -8.48%E -3.72%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.09%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -6.47%E -2.19%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -7.68%E -3.34%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.91%E -3.10%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-02 00:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.63%EV -7.10%E -2.42%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.77%EV -6.47%E -2.78%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.60%EV -8.78%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-02 00:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.00%EV -7.42%E -2.54%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.26%EV -4.47%E -1.88%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -8.50%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-02 00:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.00%EV -7.42%E -2.54%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.26%EV -4.47%E -1.88%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -8.50%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-02 00:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.81%EV -7.42%E -2.54%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -5.67%E -2.41%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.67%EV -8.78%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-01 17:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.79%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.82%EV -1.66%E -0.676%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.39%EV -5.69%E -1.70%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-01 17:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -5.67%E -2.41%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.09%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-02 00:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -7.68%E -3.34%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -4.28%E -1.26%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-02 00:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -7.68%E -3.34%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -7.09%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -7.68%E -3.34%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -7.09%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-02 00:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -5.67%E -2.41%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.91%E -3.10%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-02 00:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -7.68%E -3.34%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -9.91%E -3.10%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-02 00:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -9.68%E -4.30%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -8.50%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -9.68%E -4.30%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -8.50%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -9.68%E -4.30%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -9.91%E -3.10%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-02 00:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -8.69%E -3.02%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.68%E -3.34%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -1.46%E -0.418%K -0.585%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-02 00:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -8.69%E -3.02%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.68%E -3.34%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -1.46%E -0.418%K -0.585%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-02 00:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.33%EV -8.69%E -3.02%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.47%EV -10.49%E -4.70%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -9.91%E -3.10%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.18%EV -9.00%E -3.14%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.68%EV -11.69%E -5.31%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 28.14%EV -10.47%E -3.29%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-02 00:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -9.64%E -3.38%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -5.67%E -2.41%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -7.09%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -9.64%E -3.38%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -9.68%E -4.30%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -5.69%E -1.70%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-02 00:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -11.22%E -4.01%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -7.68%E -3.34%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -9.91%E -3.10%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -11.22%E -4.01%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -7.68%E -3.34%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -9.91%E -3.10%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -11.22%E -4.01%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -11.69%E -5.31%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -7.09%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-02 00:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -11.22%E -4.01%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -11.69%E -5.31%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -9.91%E -3.10%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-02 00:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -11.22%E -4.01%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.16%EV -9.68%E -4.30%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -15.54%E -5.18%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-02 00:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -11.22%E -4.01%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.16%EV -9.68%E -4.30%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -15.54%E -5.18%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-02 00:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -11.22%E -4.01%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.16%EV -9.68%E -4.30%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -15.54%E -5.18%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-02 00:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -11.22%E -4.01%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.16%EV -9.68%E -4.30%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -15.54%E -5.18%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-02 00:44 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.40%EV -11.22%E -4.01%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 40.70%EV -13.30%E -6.16%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.91%EV -11.32%E -3.59%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-02 00:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -12.81%E -4.66%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.31%EV -9.68%E -4.30%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -12.72%E -4.10%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.70%EV -12.81%E -4.66%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.18%EV -12.90%E -5.94%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.12%EV -12.72%E -4.10%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-08-02 00:45 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (6)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.48% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.62% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90% | 1.0% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.48% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.62% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90% | 1.0% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.48% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.62% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90% | 1.0% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.48% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.62% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90% | 1.0% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.72% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.56% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.72% | 1.0% | 2026-08-02 00:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.24% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.66% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.10% | 1.7% | 2026-08-02 00:55 |