Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
avec la cote maximale 3.07
avec la cote maximale 2.45
avec la cote maximale 3.50
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : León (Local) : 31.71% ; Pachuca (Visiteur) : 40.14% ; Match nul : 28.15%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.55. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.50, pour une espérance de -1.46% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.47%EV -2.66%E -0.867%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.60%EV -4.47%E -1.88%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.93%EV -2.59%E -0.748%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-02 00:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.47%EV -2.66%E -0.867%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.60%EV -4.47%E -1.88%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.93%EV -2.59%E -0.748%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-02 00:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.75%EV -3.30%E -1.08%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.02%EV -2.86%E -1.18%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 28.23%EV -3.43%E -1.00%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-02 00:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.19%EV -3.30%E -1.08%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.83%EV -6.47%E -2.78%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -4.28%E -1.26%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.19%EV -3.30%E -1.08%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.83%EV -6.47%E -2.78%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -4.28%E -1.26%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -4.88%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -5.67%E -2.41%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -7.09%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-02 00:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -4.88%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -7.68%E -3.34%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.09%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-02 00:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -6.47%E -2.19%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.67%E -2.41%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -4.28%E -1.26%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-02 00:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -6.47%E -2.19%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.65%EV -5.67%E -2.41%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.76%EV -8.78%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-02 00:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -6.47%E -2.19%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.59%EV -8.48%E -3.72%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.09%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -6.47%E -2.19%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.59%EV -8.48%E -3.72%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.09%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-02 00:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -6.47%E -2.19%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.59%EV -8.48%E -3.72%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.09%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -6.47%E -2.19%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.59%EV -8.48%E -3.72%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.09%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -6.47%E -2.19%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.59%EV -8.48%E -3.72%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.09%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-02 00:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -6.47%E -2.19%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.59%EV -8.48%E -3.72%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.09%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -6.47%E -2.19%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.59%EV -8.48%E -3.72%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.09%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-02 00:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -6.47%E -2.19%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.59%EV -8.48%E -3.72%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.09%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -6.47%E -2.19%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -7.68%E -3.34%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.91%E -3.10%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-02 00:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.63%EV -7.10%E -2.42%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.77%EV -6.47%E -2.78%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.60%EV -8.78%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-02 00:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.00%EV -7.42%E -2.54%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.26%EV -4.47%E -1.88%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -8.50%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-02 00:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.00%EV -7.42%E -2.54%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.26%EV -4.47%E -1.88%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -8.50%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-02 00:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.81%EV -7.42%E -2.54%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -5.67%E -2.41%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.67%EV -8.78%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-01 17:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.79%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.82%EV -1.66%E -0.676%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.39%EV -5.69%E -1.70%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-01 17:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -5.67%E -2.41%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.09%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-02 00:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -7.68%E -3.34%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -4.28%E -1.26%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-02 00:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -7.68%E -3.34%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -7.09%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -7.68%E -3.34%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -7.09%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-02 00:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -5.67%E -2.41%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.91%E -3.10%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-02 00:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -7.68%E -3.34%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -9.91%E -3.10%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-02 00:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -9.68%E -4.30%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -8.50%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -9.68%E -4.30%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -8.50%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -9.68%E -4.30%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -9.91%E -3.10%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-02 00:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -8.69%E -3.02%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.68%E -3.34%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -1.46%E -0.418%K -0.585%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-02 00:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -8.69%E -3.02%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.68%E -3.34%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -1.46%E -0.418%K -0.585%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-02 00:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.33%EV -8.69%E -3.02%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.47%EV -10.49%E -4.70%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -9.91%E -3.10%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.18%EV -9.00%E -3.14%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.68%EV -11.69%E -5.31%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 28.14%EV -10.47%E -3.29%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-02 00:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -9.64%E -3.38%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -5.67%E -2.41%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -7.09%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -9.64%E -3.38%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -9.68%E -4.30%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -5.69%E -1.70%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-02 00:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -11.22%E -4.01%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -7.68%E -3.34%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -9.91%E -3.10%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -11.22%E -4.01%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -7.68%E -3.34%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -9.91%E -3.10%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -11.22%E -4.01%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -11.69%E -5.31%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -7.09%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-02 00:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -11.22%E -4.01%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -11.69%E -5.31%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -9.91%E -3.10%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-02 00:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -11.22%E -4.01%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.16%EV -9.68%E -4.30%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -15.54%E -5.18%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-02 00:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -11.22%E -4.01%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.16%EV -9.68%E -4.30%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -15.54%E -5.18%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-02 00:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -11.22%E -4.01%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.16%EV -9.68%E -4.30%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -15.54%E -5.18%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-02 00:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -11.22%E -4.01%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.16%EV -9.68%E -4.30%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -15.54%E -5.18%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-02 00:44 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.40%EV -11.22%E -4.01%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 40.70%EV -13.30%E -6.16%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.91%EV -11.32%E -3.59%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-02 00:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -12.81%E -4.66%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.31%EV -9.68%E -4.30%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -12.72%E -4.10%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.70%EV -12.81%E -4.66%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.18%EV -12.90%E -5.94%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.12%EV -12.72%E -4.10%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-08-02 00:45 |
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.48% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.62% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90% | 1.0% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.48% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.62% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90% | 1.0% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.48% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.62% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90% | 1.0% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.48% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.62% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90% | 1.0% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.72% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.56% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.72% | 1.0% | 2026-08-02 00:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.24% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.66% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.10% | 1.7% | 2026-08-02 00:55 |