La scuola delle quote

León v Pachuca

2026-08-02 01:00 UTC — Liga MX

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21 bookmaker (9 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

León (Casa)

Previsione 32.75%3.05quota equa
EV -4.38%
Vantaggio -1.50%
Kelly -2.28%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.92

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
31.95%32.71%32.75%34.09%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.602.782.802.9238.46%35.92%35.71%34.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pachuca (Trasferta)

Previsione 39.92%2.51quota equa
EV -4.20%
Vantaggio -1.75%
Kelly -3.00%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
38.84%39.89%40.05%40.64%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.202.302.302.4045.45%43.57%43.48%41.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 27.34%3.66quota equa
EV -4.32%
Vantaggio -1.24%
Kelly -1.73%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.68%27.39%27.20%28.53%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.323.353.5032.26%30.13%29.85%28.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (21 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
NordicBet2.92I 34.25%NM 31.95%EV -4.38%E -1.50%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -7.39%E -3.19%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -8.42%E -2.51%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-23 08:28
Betsson2.92I 34.25%NM 31.95%EV -4.38%E -1.50%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -7.39%E -3.19%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -8.42%E -2.51%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-23 08:29
Fanatics2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -5.04%E -1.74%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -7.06%E -2.08%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-20 19:35
1xBet2.86I 34.97%NM 32.59%EV -6.35%E -2.22%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.83%EV -6.59%E -2.82%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.58%EV -7.60%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-20 19:35
Coolbet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31%EV -6.67%E -2.34%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.56%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -4.32%E -1.24%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 19:35
Marathon Bet2.84I 35.21%NM 32.63%EV -7.00%E -2.47%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.95%EV -7.39%E -3.19%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.42%EV -7.60%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-20 19:35
SportsBet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -8.31%E -2.97%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -6.19%E -2.64%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -4.32%E -1.24%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-20 19:35
FanDuel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -8.31%E -2.97%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -6.19%E -2.64%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -4.32%E -1.24%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-20 19:34
betano_uk2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -8.31%E -2.97%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.19%E -3.56%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.06%E -2.08%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-26 01:13
Bet Victor2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -8.31%E -2.97%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.19%E -3.56%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.06%E -2.08%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-26 01:13
Unibet (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -8.31%E -2.97%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.19%E -3.56%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.06%E -2.08%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-26 03:14
LeoVegas2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -9.95%E -3.62%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -10.19%E -4.53%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -7.06%E -2.08%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-26 01:04
Fliff2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -9.95%E -3.62%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -10.19%E -4.53%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -9.79%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-26 02:42
Betclic (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.51%EV -9.95%E -3.62%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.64%EV -12.18%E -5.54%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 26.85%EV -8.97%E -2.69%K -3.85%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-25 01:03
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -9.95%E -3.62%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.31%EV -10.19%E -4.53%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -15.26%E -4.92%K -7.27%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-20 19:35
888sport2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -9.95%E -3.62%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.31%EV -10.19%E -4.53%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -15.26%E -4.92%K -7.27%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-20 19:35
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -9.95%E -3.62%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.31%EV -10.19%E -4.53%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -15.26%E -4.92%K -7.27%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-20 19:35
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -9.95%E -3.62%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.31%EV -10.19%E -4.53%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -15.26%E -4.92%K -7.27%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-20 19:35
Paddy Power2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -11.59%E -4.29%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -8.19%E -3.56%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -9.79%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-20 19:32
betfred_uk2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -14.20%E -5.42%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -8.19%E -3.56%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -9.79%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-26 01:09
Sky Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 33.11%EV -14.86%E -5.72%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.13%EV -12.18%E -5.54%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.77%EV -15.26%E -4.92%K -7.27%G +0.000%16.2%2026-07-20 19:35
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (1)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets2.62I 38.17%NM 32.72%2.14I 46.73%NM 40.06%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.22%16.6%2026-07-24 15:20