Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

León v Pachuca

Início: 2026-08-02 01:00 UTC

Final: León 1–0 Pachuca

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

49 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

León (Local)

Previsão 31.71%3.15odd justa
EV -2.66%
Vantagem -0.867%
Kelly -1.29%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.07

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.12%31.77%31.70%32.79%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.752.902.903.0736.36%34.42%34.48%32.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Pachuca (Visitante)

Previsão 40.14%2.49odd justa
EV -1.66%
Vantagem -0.676%
Kelly -1.14%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.45

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.82%40.06%40.14%40.83%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.162.302.302.4546.30%43.56%43.48%40.82%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 28.15%3.55odd justa
EV -1.46%
Vantagem -0.418%
Kelly -0.585%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.76%28.17%28.16%29.37%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.003.273.303.5033.33%30.63%30.30%28.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: León (Local): 31.71%; Pachuca (Visitante): 40.14%; Empate: 28.15%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.55. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.50, com valor esperado de -1.46%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (49 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
LowVig.ag🎯3.07I 32.57%NM 31.47%EV -2.66%E -0.867%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.60%EV -4.47%E -1.88%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.93%EV -2.59%E -0.748%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-02 00:49
BetOnline.ag🎯3.07I 32.57%NM 31.47%EV -2.66%E -0.867%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.60%EV -4.47%E -1.88%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.93%EV -2.59%E -0.748%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-02 00:49
Pinnacle🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.75%EV -3.30%E -1.08%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.02%EV -2.86%E -1.18%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.23%EV -3.43%E -1.00%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-02 00:55
ATG (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.19%EV -3.30%E -1.08%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.83%EV -6.47%E -2.78%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -4.28%E -1.26%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 00:50
Svenska Spel🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.19%EV -3.30%E -1.08%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.83%EV -6.47%E -2.78%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -4.28%E -1.26%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 00:50
BetUS🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -4.88%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -5.67%E -2.41%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -7.09%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 00:55
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -4.88%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -7.68%E -3.34%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.09%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 00:15
DraftKings🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -6.47%E -2.19%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.67%E -2.41%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -4.28%E -1.26%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 00:04
1xBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -6.47%E -2.19%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.65%EV -5.67%E -2.41%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.76%EV -8.78%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-02 00:55
Grosvenor🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -6.47%E -2.19%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.59%EV -8.48%E -3.72%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.09%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-02 00:50
Unibet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -6.47%E -2.19%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.59%EV -8.48%E -3.72%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.09%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-02 00:49
BetRivers🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -6.47%E -2.19%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.59%EV -8.48%E -3.72%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.09%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-02 00:50
Casumo🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -6.47%E -2.19%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.59%EV -8.48%E -3.72%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.09%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-02 00:50
TABtouch🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -6.47%E -2.19%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.59%EV -8.48%E -3.72%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.09%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-02 00:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -6.47%E -2.19%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.59%EV -8.48%E -3.72%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.09%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-02 00:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -6.47%E -2.19%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.59%EV -8.48%E -3.72%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.09%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-02 00:49
betPARX🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -6.47%E -2.19%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.59%EV -8.48%E -3.72%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.09%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-02 00:50
Tipico (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -6.47%E -2.19%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -7.68%E -3.34%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.91%E -3.10%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-02 00:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 31.63%EV -7.10%E -2.42%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.77%EV -6.47%E -2.78%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.60%EV -8.78%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 00:55
NordicBet🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.00%EV -7.42%E -2.54%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.26%EV -4.47%E -1.88%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -8.50%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 00:35
Betsson🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.00%EV -7.42%E -2.54%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.26%EV -4.47%E -1.88%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -8.50%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 00:35
GTbets🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 31.81%EV -7.42%E -2.54%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -5.67%E -2.41%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.67%EV -8.78%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-01 17:04
Coolbet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.79%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.82%EV -1.66%E -0.676%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.39%EV -5.69%E -1.70%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 17:05
FanDuel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -5.67%E -2.41%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.09%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-02 00:49
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -7.68%E -3.34%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -4.28%E -1.26%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-02 00:09
LeoVegas🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -7.68%E -3.34%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -7.09%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-02 00:50
Betway🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -7.68%E -3.34%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -7.09%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-02 00:45
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -5.67%E -2.41%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.91%E -3.10%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-02 00:45
Everygame🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -7.68%E -3.34%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -9.91%E -3.10%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-02 00:44
LiveScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -9.68%E -4.30%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -8.50%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-02 00:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -9.68%E -4.30%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -8.50%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-02 00:50
Fliff🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -9.68%E -4.30%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -9.91%E -3.10%K -4.50%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-02 00:20
betano_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -8.69%E -3.02%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.68%E -3.34%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -1.46%E -0.418%K -0.585%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 00:54
Bet Victor🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -8.69%E -3.02%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.68%E -3.34%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -1.46%E -0.418%K -0.585%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 00:54
Virgin Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.33%EV -8.69%E -3.02%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.47%EV -10.49%E -4.70%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -9.91%E -3.10%K -4.50%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-02 00:50
Betclic (FR)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 31.18%EV -9.00%E -3.14%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.68%EV -11.69%E -5.31%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.14%EV -10.47%E -3.29%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-02 00:39
SportsBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -9.64%E -3.38%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -5.67%E -2.41%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -7.09%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 00:50
Bet Right🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -9.64%E -3.38%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -9.68%E -4.30%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -5.69%E -1.70%K -2.42%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-02 00:15
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -11.22%E -4.01%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -7.68%E -3.34%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -9.91%E -3.10%K -4.50%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-02 00:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -11.22%E -4.01%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -7.68%E -3.34%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -9.91%E -3.10%K -4.50%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-02 00:50
betfred_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -11.22%E -4.01%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -11.69%E -5.31%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -7.09%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-02 00:15
Neds🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -11.22%E -4.01%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -11.69%E -5.31%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -9.91%E -3.10%K -4.50%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-02 00:20
William Hill🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -11.22%E -4.01%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.16%EV -9.68%E -4.30%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -15.54%E -5.18%K -7.77%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-02 00:44
888sport🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -11.22%E -4.01%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.16%EV -9.68%E -4.30%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -15.54%E -5.18%K -7.77%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-02 00:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -11.22%E -4.01%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.16%EV -9.68%E -4.30%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -15.54%E -5.18%K -7.77%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-02 00:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -11.22%E -4.01%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.16%EV -9.68%E -4.30%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -15.54%E -5.18%K -7.77%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-02 00:44
PMU (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.40%EV -11.22%E -4.01%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 40.70%EV -13.30%E -6.16%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.91%EV -11.32%E -3.59%K -5.26%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-02 00:45
Sky Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -12.81%E -4.66%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.31%EV -9.68%E -4.30%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -12.72%E -4.10%K -6.06%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-02 00:50
NetBet (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.70%EV -12.81%E -4.66%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 40.18%EV -12.90%E -5.94%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.12%EV -12.72%E -4.10%K -6.06%G +0.000%14.7%2026-08-02 00:45
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.48%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.62%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%1.0%2026-08-02 00:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.48%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.62%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%1.0%2026-08-02 00:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.48%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.62%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%1.0%2026-08-02 00:50
Matchbook3.05I 32.79%NM 32.48%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.62%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%1.0%2026-08-02 00:50
Kalshi3.12I 32.05%NM 31.72%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.56%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.72%1.0%2026-08-02 00:15
Smarkets3.05I 32.79%NM 32.24%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.66%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.10%1.7%2026-08-02 00:55