Idioma:Español
León v Pachuca
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
León (Local)
Predicción 31.71%3.15momio equitativo
EV -2.66%
Ventaja -0.867%
Kelly -1.29%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.07
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.12%31.77%31.70%32.79%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.752.902.903.0736.36%34.42%34.48%32.57%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Pachuca (Visitante)
Predicción 40.14%2.49momio equitativo
EV -1.66%
Ventaja -0.676%
Kelly -1.14%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.82%40.06%40.14%40.83%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.162.302.302.4546.30%43.56%43.48%40.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 28.15%3.55momio equitativo
EV -1.46%
Ventaja -0.418%
Kelly -0.585%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.76%28.17%28.16%29.37%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.003.273.303.5033.33%30.63%30.30%28.57%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: León (Local): 31.71%; Pachuca (Visitante): 40.14%; Empate: 28.15%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.55. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.50, con un valor esperado de -1.46%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.47%EV -2.66%E -0.867%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.60%EV -4.47%E -1.88%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.93%EV -2.59%E -0.748%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-02 00:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.47%EV -2.66%E -0.867%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.60%EV -4.47%E -1.88%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.93%EV -2.59%E -0.748%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-02 00:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.75%EV -3.30%E -1.08%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.02%EV -2.86%E -1.18%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 28.23%EV -3.43%E -1.00%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-02 00:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.19%EV -3.30%E -1.08%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.83%EV -6.47%E -2.78%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -4.28%E -1.26%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.19%EV -3.30%E -1.08%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.83%EV -6.47%E -2.78%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -4.28%E -1.26%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -4.88%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -5.67%E -2.41%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -7.09%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-02 00:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -4.88%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -7.68%E -3.34%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.09%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-02 00:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -6.47%E -2.19%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.67%E -2.41%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -4.28%E -1.26%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-02 00:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -6.47%E -2.19%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.65%EV -5.67%E -2.41%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.76%EV -8.78%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-02 00:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -6.47%E -2.19%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.59%EV -8.48%E -3.72%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.09%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -6.47%E -2.19%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.59%EV -8.48%E -3.72%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.09%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-02 00:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -6.47%E -2.19%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.59%EV -8.48%E -3.72%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.09%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -6.47%E -2.19%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.59%EV -8.48%E -3.72%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.09%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -6.47%E -2.19%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.59%EV -8.48%E -3.72%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.09%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-02 00:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -6.47%E -2.19%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.59%EV -8.48%E -3.72%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.09%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -6.47%E -2.19%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.59%EV -8.48%E -3.72%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.09%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-02 00:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -6.47%E -2.19%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.59%EV -8.48%E -3.72%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.09%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -6.47%E -2.19%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -7.68%E -3.34%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.91%E -3.10%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-02 00:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.63%EV -7.10%E -2.42%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.77%EV -6.47%E -2.78%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.60%EV -8.78%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-02 00:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.00%EV -7.42%E -2.54%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.26%EV -4.47%E -1.88%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -8.50%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-02 00:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.00%EV -7.42%E -2.54%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.26%EV -4.47%E -1.88%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -8.50%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-02 00:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.81%EV -7.42%E -2.54%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -5.67%E -2.41%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.67%EV -8.78%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-01 17:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.79%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.82%EV -1.66%E -0.676%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.39%EV -5.69%E -1.70%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-01 17:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -5.67%E -2.41%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.09%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-02 00:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -7.68%E -3.34%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -4.28%E -1.26%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-02 00:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -7.68%E -3.34%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -7.09%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -7.68%E -3.34%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -7.09%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-02 00:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -5.67%E -2.41%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.91%E -3.10%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-02 00:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -7.68%E -3.34%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -9.91%E -3.10%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-02 00:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -9.68%E -4.30%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -8.50%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -9.68%E -4.30%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -8.50%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -9.68%E -4.30%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -9.91%E -3.10%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-02 00:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -8.69%E -3.02%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.68%E -3.34%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -1.46%E -0.418%K -0.585%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-02 00:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -8.69%E -3.02%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.68%E -3.34%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -1.46%E -0.418%K -0.585%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-02 00:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.33%EV -8.69%E -3.02%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.47%EV -10.49%E -4.70%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -9.91%E -3.10%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.18%EV -9.00%E -3.14%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.68%EV -11.69%E -5.31%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 28.14%EV -10.47%E -3.29%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-02 00:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -9.64%E -3.38%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -5.67%E -2.41%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -7.09%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -9.64%E -3.38%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -9.68%E -4.30%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -5.69%E -1.70%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-02 00:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -11.22%E -4.01%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -7.68%E -3.34%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -9.91%E -3.10%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -11.22%E -4.01%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -7.68%E -3.34%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -9.91%E -3.10%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -11.22%E -4.01%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -11.69%E -5.31%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -7.09%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-02 00:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -11.22%E -4.01%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -11.69%E -5.31%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -9.91%E -3.10%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-02 00:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -11.22%E -4.01%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.16%EV -9.68%E -4.30%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -15.54%E -5.18%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-02 00:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -11.22%E -4.01%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.16%EV -9.68%E -4.30%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -15.54%E -5.18%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-02 00:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -11.22%E -4.01%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.16%EV -9.68%E -4.30%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -15.54%E -5.18%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-02 00:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -11.22%E -4.01%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.16%EV -9.68%E -4.30%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -15.54%E -5.18%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-02 00:44 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.40%EV -11.22%E -4.01%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 40.70%EV -13.30%E -6.16%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.91%EV -11.32%E -3.59%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-02 00:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -12.81%E -4.66%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.31%EV -9.68%E -4.30%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -12.72%E -4.10%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.70%EV -12.81%E -4.66%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.18%EV -12.90%E -5.94%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.12%EV -12.72%E -4.10%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-08-02 00:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.48% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.62% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90% | 1.0% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.48% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.62% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90% | 1.0% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.48% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.62% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90% | 1.0% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.48% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.62% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90% | 1.0% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.72% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.56% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.72% | 1.0% | 2026-08-02 00:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.24% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.66% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.10% | 1.7% | 2026-08-02 00:55 |