Язык:Русский
León v Pachuca
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
León (Хозяева)
Прогноз 31.71%3.15справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.66%
Преимущество -0.867%
Kelly -1.29%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.07
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
31.12%31.77%31.70%32.79%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.752.902.903.0736.36%34.42%34.48%32.57%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Pachuca (Гости)
Прогноз 40.14%2.49справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.66%
Преимущество -0.676%
Kelly -1.14%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.45
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
38.82%40.06%40.14%40.83%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.162.302.302.4546.30%43.56%43.48%40.82%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 28.15%3.55справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.46%
Преимущество -0.418%
Kelly -0.585%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.50
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
26.76%28.17%28.16%29.37%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.003.273.303.5033.33%30.63%30.30%28.57%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: León (Хозяева): 31.71%; Pachuca (Гости): 40.14%; Ничья: 28.15%. Для исхода «Ничья» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 3.55. Ни один подходящий букмекер не предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня: лучший составлял 3.50, математическое ожидание — -1.46%; положительного ожидания не было.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (49 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.47%EV -2.66%E -0.867%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.60%EV -4.47%E -1.88%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.93%EV -2.59%E -0.748%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-02 00:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.47%EV -2.66%E -0.867%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.60%EV -4.47%E -1.88%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.93%EV -2.59%E -0.748%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-02 00:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.75%EV -3.30%E -1.08%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.02%EV -2.86%E -1.18%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 28.23%EV -3.43%E -1.00%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-02 00:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.19%EV -3.30%E -1.08%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.83%EV -6.47%E -2.78%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -4.28%E -1.26%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.19%EV -3.30%E -1.08%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.83%EV -6.47%E -2.78%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -4.28%E -1.26%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -4.88%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -5.67%E -2.41%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -7.09%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-02 00:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -4.88%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -7.68%E -3.34%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.09%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-02 00:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -6.47%E -2.19%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.67%E -2.41%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -4.28%E -1.26%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-02 00:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -6.47%E -2.19%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.65%EV -5.67%E -2.41%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.76%EV -8.78%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-02 00:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -6.47%E -2.19%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.59%EV -8.48%E -3.72%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.09%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -6.47%E -2.19%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.59%EV -8.48%E -3.72%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.09%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-02 00:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -6.47%E -2.19%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.59%EV -8.48%E -3.72%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.09%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -6.47%E -2.19%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.59%EV -8.48%E -3.72%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.09%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -6.47%E -2.19%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.59%EV -8.48%E -3.72%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.09%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-02 00:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -6.47%E -2.19%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.59%EV -8.48%E -3.72%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.09%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -6.47%E -2.19%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.59%EV -8.48%E -3.72%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.09%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-02 00:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -6.47%E -2.19%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.59%EV -8.48%E -3.72%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.09%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -6.47%E -2.19%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -7.68%E -3.34%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.91%E -3.10%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-02 00:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.63%EV -7.10%E -2.42%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.77%EV -6.47%E -2.78%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.60%EV -8.78%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-02 00:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.00%EV -7.42%E -2.54%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.26%EV -4.47%E -1.88%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -8.50%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-02 00:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.00%EV -7.42%E -2.54%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.26%EV -4.47%E -1.88%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -8.50%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-02 00:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.81%EV -7.42%E -2.54%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -5.67%E -2.41%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.67%EV -8.78%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-01 17:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.79%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.82%EV -1.66%E -0.676%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.39%EV -5.69%E -1.70%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-01 17:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -5.67%E -2.41%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.09%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-02 00:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -7.68%E -3.34%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -4.28%E -1.26%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-02 00:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -7.68%E -3.34%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -7.09%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -7.68%E -3.34%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -7.09%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-02 00:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -5.67%E -2.41%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.91%E -3.10%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-02 00:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -7.68%E -3.34%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -9.91%E -3.10%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-02 00:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -9.68%E -4.30%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -8.50%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -9.68%E -4.30%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -8.50%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -9.68%E -4.30%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -9.91%E -3.10%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-02 00:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -8.69%E -3.02%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.68%E -3.34%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -1.46%E -0.418%K -0.585%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-02 00:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -8.69%E -3.02%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.68%E -3.34%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -1.46%E -0.418%K -0.585%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-02 00:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.33%EV -8.69%E -3.02%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.47%EV -10.49%E -4.70%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -9.91%E -3.10%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.18%EV -9.00%E -3.14%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.68%EV -11.69%E -5.31%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 28.14%EV -10.47%E -3.29%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-02 00:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -9.64%E -3.38%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -5.67%E -2.41%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -7.09%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -9.64%E -3.38%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -9.68%E -4.30%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -5.69%E -1.70%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-02 00:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -11.22%E -4.01%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -7.68%E -3.34%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -9.91%E -3.10%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -11.22%E -4.01%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -7.68%E -3.34%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -9.91%E -3.10%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -11.22%E -4.01%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -11.69%E -5.31%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -7.09%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-02 00:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -11.22%E -4.01%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -11.69%E -5.31%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -9.91%E -3.10%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-02 00:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -11.22%E -4.01%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.16%EV -9.68%E -4.30%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -15.54%E -5.18%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-02 00:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -11.22%E -4.01%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.16%EV -9.68%E -4.30%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -15.54%E -5.18%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-02 00:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -11.22%E -4.01%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.16%EV -9.68%E -4.30%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -15.54%E -5.18%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-02 00:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -11.22%E -4.01%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.16%EV -9.68%E -4.30%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -15.54%E -5.18%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-02 00:44 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.40%EV -11.22%E -4.01%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 40.70%EV -13.30%E -6.16%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.91%EV -11.32%E -3.59%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-02 00:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -12.81%E -4.66%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.31%EV -9.68%E -4.30%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -12.72%E -4.10%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.70%EV -12.81%E -4.66%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.18%EV -12.90%E -5.94%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.12%EV -12.72%E -4.10%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-08-02 00:45 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (6)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.48% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.62% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90% | 1.0% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.48% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.62% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90% | 1.0% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.48% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.62% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90% | 1.0% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.48% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.62% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90% | 1.0% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.72% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.56% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.72% | 1.0% | 2026-08-02 00:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.24% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.66% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.10% | 1.7% | 2026-08-02 00:55 |